(anonymous) 0xf28dc9…29b24b
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$125
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
21.9%
Resolved
32
Trades
2,312
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$6.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 10-27 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
61% 54% -$106
Politics
34% 0% -$19
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,307 $966 74¢ $960 -$5 10-26 07:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +706 $591 90¢ $639 +$48 10-26 06:01
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +730 $531 77¢ $562 +$31 10-21 12:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +455 $403 97¢ $441 +$38 10-26 05:03
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +496 $359 80¢ $394 +$35 10-15 14:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,307 $352 26¢ $346 -$6 10-26 07:33
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +457 $298 63¢ $289 -$9 10-26 03:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +400 $241 67¢ $268 +$27 10-14 17:17
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +290 $261 83¢ $241 -$20 10-26 12:00
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +269 $188 84¢ $227 +$39 10-25 21:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +226 $93 100¢ $226 +$133 10-23 15:22
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +262 $194 74¢ $195 +$1 10-26 10:00
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +730 $205 23¢ $168 -$37 10-21 12:38
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +457 $162 37¢ $167 +$5 10-26 03:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +400 $167 33¢ $132 -$35 10-14 17:17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +150 $104 82¢ $123 +$19 10-15 20:32
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +200 $98 58¢ $116 +$18 10-26 10:43
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +166 $109 68¢ $113 +$4 10-22 18:48
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +496 $140 20¢ $102 -$39 10-15 14:01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +103 $100 98¢ $101 +$1 10-26 01:36
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +129 $101 77¢ $99 -$2 10-22 02:13
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +149 $94 56¢ $84 -$10 10-25 08:50
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $104 42¢ $84 -$20 10-26 10:43
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +324 $80 26¢ $83 +$3 10-26 10:35
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +150 $103 55¢ $82 -$21 10-26 17:10
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +100 $73 77¢ $77 +$4 10-25 16:33
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +150 $78 45¢ $67 -$10 10-26 17:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +706 $125 10¢ $67 -$57 10-26 06:01
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +149 $58 44¢ $65 +$7 10-25 08:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +102 $55 52¢ $53 -$2 10-27 00:06