Realized P&L
-$42.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.74K
Hit rate
50.3%
Resolved
410
Trades
3,339
lifetime
Volume
$401.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$11.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 07:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
82% 42% -$43,498
Sports
12% 55% +$7
Politics
7% 100% +$684
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +4,957 $4,244 88¢ $4.3K +$93 10-26 20:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,812 $2,113 60¢ $2.3K +$174 10-28 12:10
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +1,637 $1,002 64¢ $1.1K +$54 10-27 06:29
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 No +1,046 $372 98¢ $1.0K +$654 10-28 22:41
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +725 $536 100¢ $723 +$188 10-20 18:37
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +677 $495 88¢ $592 +$97 10-26 16:07
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,252 $586 18¢ $569 -$17 10-28 22:41
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +353 -$123 99¢ $351 +$473 10-27 10:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +409 $331 84¢ $346 +$14 09-01 03:31
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,111 $232 24¢ $261 +$29 10-21 12:16
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +112 $92 88¢ $98 +$6 10-26 19:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +80 $50 64¢ $52 +$2 09-01 03:38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +45 $63 84¢ $38 -$25 10-22 17:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$0 09-03 14:56