Realized P&L
+$28.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
53,483
Trades
204,690
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$30.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$18,543
Politics
8% 71% +$5,519
Sports
4% 66% +$3,807
Tech
1% 66% -$254
Crypto
1% 60% +$795
Pop-Culture
0% 81% +$104
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2977 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,865 $2,854 100¢ $2.9K +$1 10-27 10:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,307 $2,297 100¢ $2.3K +$2 10-27 12:44
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,895 $2,007 76¢ $2.2K +$178 10-27 12:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,173 $2,158 100¢ $2.2K +$12 10-26 17:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,059 $1,660 94¢ $1.9K +$286 10-27 10:07
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,090 $1,540 64¢ $1.3K -$193 10-26 23:54
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,227 $1,075 97¢ $1.2K +$115 10-27 12:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,642 $826 36¢ $938 +$112 10-26 15:55
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +920 $758 98¢ $906 +$149 10-24 04:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,186 $964 76¢ $903 -$61 09-23 04:47
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +936 $892 96¢ $895 +$3 10-26 23:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +898 $884 99¢ $892 +$8 10-21 07:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +833 $831 100¢ $832 +$0 10-26 13:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +879 $672 93¢ $817 +$145 10-27 09:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $750 79¢ $790 +$40 10-26 08:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +777 $773 99¢ $771 -$2 10-23 09:48
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +909 $645 82¢ $750 +$105 10-15 22:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +755 $313 98¢ $743 +$431 10-26 11:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +753 $737 97¢ $733 -$4 10-22 16:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,092 $652 66¢ $726 +$74 10-22 02:37
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +737 $706 96¢ $705 -$1 10-24 07:14
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +806 $638 84¢ $677 +$39 10-27 12:26
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +674 $663 100¢ $671 +$9 10-19 05:26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,426 $747 46¢ $650 -$97 10-26 13:35
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +643 $641 100¢ $643 +$1 09-16 14:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +868 $625 68¢ $595 -$30 10-26 15:11
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +758 $545 74¢ $565 +$20 10-12 12:59
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,233 $703 24¢ $547 -$156 10-27 10:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +578 $534 93¢ $538 +$4 10-27 12:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +570 $233 91¢ $522 +$289 10-27 09:53