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Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.30K
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved (30d)
10,676
Trades (30d)
45,852
216,694 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$421.4K
$1.97M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$31.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-02 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Other
86% 60% +$18,409
Politics
9% 71% +$4,505
Sports
3% 66% +$3,823
Tech
1% 68% +$884
Crypto
1% 60% +$791
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$97
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2977 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,542 $2,530 66¢ $2.3K -$190 10-30 07:28
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +2,215 $2,135 97¢ $2.2K +$21 11-02 13:14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,973 $1,916 98¢ $1.9K +$25 11-02 20:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,520 $1,488 98¢ $1.5K +$2 10-31 05:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,383 $1,239 57¢ $1.4K +$113 10-30 09:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,354 $1,338 99¢ $1.3K +$8 10-31 22:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,761 $1,190 34¢ $1.3K +$70 10-31 03:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,203 $1,198 100¢ $1.2K +$1 10-31 22:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $992 39¢ $1.2K +$173 11-02 03:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,532 $956 76¢ $1.2K +$200 11-01 21:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,511 $1,150 74¢ $1.1K -$25 10-31 22:45
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +1,109 $1,070 98¢ $1.1K +$18 11-02 20:12
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,089 $1,054 97¢ $1.1K +$7 11-01 15:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +1,126 $676 89¢ $1.0K +$327 10-30 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,623 $1,105 60¢ $982 -$123 11-02 03:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +1,332 $831 66¢ $872 +$41 11-02 17:12
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,100 $730 78¢ $862 +$132 10-27 23:50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,186 $964 71¢ $847 -$117 09-23 04:47
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +909 $645 86¢ $777 +$132 10-15 22:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +782 $339 99¢ $774 +$435 10-29 17:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,053 $753 72¢ $763 +$10 11-02 16:41
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +773 $741 96¢ $746 +$5 11-01 12:54
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,748 $807 42¢ $743 -$65 10-29 17:49
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +693 $681 100¢ $691 +$10 10-31 16:58
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +806 $609 82¢ $665 +$56 10-29 21:40
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +647 $644 100¢ $644 $0 10-30 18:59
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +643 $641 100¢ $643 +$2 09-16 14:01
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +610 $571 96¢ $586 +$15 11-02 17:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +584 $542 96¢ $557 +$16 10-29 12:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +551 $539 97¢ $535 -$4 10-30 06:30