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Realized P&L (90d)
+$14.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.52K
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved (90d)
32,529
Trades (90d)
135,807
218,420 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.18M
$2.01M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$27.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-04 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$18,354
Politics
10% 70% +$6,430
Sports
3% 66% +$3,823
Tech
1% 68% +$884
Crypto
1% 60% +$793
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$97
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2977 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,787 $2,692 66¢ $2.5K -$180 11-04 17:26
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,989 $995 98¢ $1.9K +$954 11-04 16:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +1,695 $1,227 97¢ $1.6K +$417 11-04 20:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,641 $1,607 99¢ $1.6K +$21 11-04 15:26
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,459 $1,420 100¢ $1.5K +$37 11-04 19:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,374 $1,358 100¢ $1.4K +$10 11-04 16:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,351 $1,345 100¢ $1.3K +$2 11-04 16:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,055 $1,286 32¢ $1.3K +$32 11-04 17:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,531 $1,166 78¢ $1.2K +$35 11-04 16:35
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +1,166 $435 100¢ $1.2K +$724 11-03 23:43
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,095 $1,083 100¢ $1.1K +$10 11-02 22:49
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,059 $757 92¢ $979 +$222 11-03 22:05
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +884 $383 100¢ $882 +$499 11-04 01:54
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,186 $964 72¢ $853 -$111 09-23 04:47
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +909 $645 90¢ $813 +$169 10-15 22:16
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +789 $688 98¢ $773 +$85 11-04 19:29
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +738 $607 98¢ $722 +$115 11-04 20:10
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +643 $641 100¢ $643 +$2 09-16 14:01
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +647 $644 98¢ $637 -$7 10-30 18:59
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +571 $464 88¢ $500 +$36 10-28 21:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +500 $485 99¢ $495 +$10 10-23 14:30
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +529 $365 92¢ $484 +$119 11-04 08:35
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +635 $498 74¢ $467 -$31 11-04 12:11
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +444 $108 92¢ $410 +$302 11-04 02:39
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +527 $249 71¢ $372 +$123 11-04 05:22
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +374 $371 99¢ $371 $0 11-04 13:40
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +317 $314 100¢ $316 +$1 10-19 11:33
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +319 $318 97¢ $310 -$8 10-16 08:09
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +312 $257 100¢ $310 +$53 11-04 02:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,364 $425 22¢ $307 -$118 11-04 16:31