Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.26K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved (7d)
2,834
Trades (7d)
16,831
213,695 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$172.9K
$1.94M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$35.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-31 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
86% 59% +$17,660
Politics
9% 71% +$5,340
Sports
3% 66% +$3,797
Tech
1% 67% +$558
Crypto
1% 60% +$789
Pop-Culture
0% 81% +$104
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2977 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,706 $3,694 100¢ $3.7K +$7 10-27 20:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,453 $1,028 100¢ $3.5K +$2,425 10-27 23:02
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,542 $2,530 71¢ $2.5K -$27 10-30 07:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,601 $1,550 98¢ $1.6K +$26 10-31 06:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,520 $1,488 98¢ $1.5K +$6 10-31 05:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,383 $1,239 57¢ $1.4K +$126 10-30 09:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,334 $1,318 99¢ $1.3K +$7 10-31 08:16
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,296 $1,241 98¢ $1.3K +$26 10-31 13:25
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,202 $944 100¢ $1.2K +$257 10-28 02:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,193 $1,188 100¢ $1.2K +$1 10-31 08:16
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,761 $1,190 30¢ $1.1K -$62 10-31 03:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,501 $1,143 72¢ $1.1K -$55 10-31 00:57
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,022 $625 100¢ $1.0K +$392 10-28 09:04
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,020 $939 100¢ $1.0K +$76 10-28 01:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,437 $984 68¢ $985 +$1 10-31 14:59
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +980 $943 98¢ $961 +$18 10-30 23:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,253 $762 72¢ $896 +$135 10-29 17:53
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +887 $881 100¢ $886 +$4 10-28 01:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,186 $964 74¢ $876 -$88 09-23 04:47
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,100 $730 72¢ $787 +$58 10-27 23:50
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +909 $645 84¢ $768 +$123 10-15 22:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +782 $339 97¢ $760 +$421 10-29 17:31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,748 $807 43¢ $751 -$56 10-29 17:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +1,126 $676 66¢ $743 +$68 10-30 17:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +729 $388 100¢ $728 +$340 10-29 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,278 $737 31¢ $714 -$23 10-31 15:37
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +737 $706 96¢ $709 +$3 10-24 07:14
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +693 $681 100¢ $691 +$10 10-31 16:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +926 $661 71¢ $658 -$3 10-30 18:34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +806 $609 80¢ $649 +$40 10-29 21:40