Realized P&L
+$25.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.14K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
59,144
Trades
228,164
lifetime
Volume
$2.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$24.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-10 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
85% 59% +$18,200
Politics
11% 67% +$4,784
Sports
3% 64% +$1,304
Tech
1% 65% +$1,162
Crypto
1% 59% -$165
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,804 $2,606 67¢ $2.5K -$65 11-10 03:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,975 $1,421 82¢ $1.6K +$189 11-06 13:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,586 $1,579 100¢ $1.6K +$0 11-06 14:29
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,594 $346 99¢ $1.6K +$1,229 11-04 02:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,427 $1,409 99¢ $1.4K +$8 11-06 14:37
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,286 $1,351 32¢ $1.4K +$42 11-09 22:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,130 $1,127 99¢ $1.1K -$5 11-06 11:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,018 $1,000 99¢ $1.0K +$13 11-06 13:30
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +814 $661 98¢ $796 +$135 11-07 14:38
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +763 $636 98¢ $748 +$112 11-10 01:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +700 $513 99¢ $692 +$179 11-03 21:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,009 $193 68¢ $691 +$498 11-06 14:57
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? No +634 $420 100¢ $632 +$213 11-04 00:54
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14? Yes +635 $611 99¢ $626 +$15 11-07 19:09
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +679 $451 90¢ $614 +$163 11-06 13:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +608 $599 100¢ $605 +$5 11-10 05:02
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +709 $586 84¢ $599 +$12 11-08 20:37
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +600 $593 100¢ $599 +$5 11-05 15:36
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +577 $576 100¢ $576 +$1 11-06 01:52
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +539 $529 100¢ $537 +$8 11-09 21:35
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +577 $234 89¢ $514 +$280 08-29 23:27
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +480 $452 99¢ $477 +$25 11-06 21:07
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-14? No +468 $464 99¢ $465 +$1 11-10 05:02
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +721 $376 64¢ $458 +$81 11-09 15:04
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +455 $450 99¢ $450 +$1 11-09 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +491 $424 90¢ $442 +$19 11-09 04:12
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +486 $435 87¢ $423 -$12 11-08 23:43
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +424 $315 100¢ $422 +$107 11-07 13:58
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +405 $397 100¢ $403 +$6 11-10 03:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,900 $509 20¢ $390 -$120 11-06 14:29