Realized P&L
+$25.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.71K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
58,898
Trades
227,536
lifetime
Volume
$2.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$23.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-09 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Other
85% 59% +$18,177
Politics
11% 67% +$4,794
Sports
3% 64% +$1,304
Crypto
1% 59% -$169
Tech
1% 65% +$1,162
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,717 $2,549 67¢ $2.5K -$53 11-06 07:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,586 $1,579 99¢ $1.6K -$5 11-06 14:29
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,594 $346 99¢ $1.6K +$1,226 11-04 02:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,975 $1,421 78¢ $1.5K +$110 11-06 13:36
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,263 $1,344 34¢ $1.4K +$84 11-08 15:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,427 $1,409 99¢ $1.4K +$9 11-06 14:37
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,130 $1,127 99¢ $1.1K -$5 11-06 11:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,018 $1,000 99¢ $1.0K +$12 11-06 13:30
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +814 $661 98¢ $793 +$133 11-07 14:38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +700 $513 98¢ $688 +$175 11-03 21:28
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? No +634 $420 100¢ $632 +$212 11-04 00:54
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14? Yes +635 $611 98¢ $623 +$11 11-07 19:09
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +679 $451 91¢ $615 +$164 11-06 13:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,009 $193 60¢ $610 +$417 11-06 14:57
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +600 $593 100¢ $599 +$5 11-05 15:36
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +709 $586 83¢ $588 +$2 11-08 20:37
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +577 $576 100¢ $576 +$1 11-06 01:52
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +577 $234 89¢ $514 +$280 08-29 23:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +507 $499 99¢ $503 +$4 11-06 01:58
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +487 $366 98¢ $478 +$112 11-09 00:55
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +480 $452 99¢ $476 +$23 11-06 21:07
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +486 $435 93¢ $451 +$15 11-08 23:43
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +697 $360 64¢ $449 +$89 11-08 18:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,900 $509 24¢ $447 -$63 11-06 14:29
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +424 $315 100¢ $422 +$107 11-07 13:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +994 $783 42¢ $422 -$361 11-06 14:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +491 $424 83¢ $410 -$14 11-09 04:12
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +403 $395 99¢ $398 +$3 11-08 22:50
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08? No +388 $365 98¢ $381 +$17 11-08 10:46
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +368 $366 99¢ $364 -$1 11-09 10:27