Realized P&L
+$25.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.82K
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
58,754
Trades
227,069
lifetime
Volume
$2.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$24.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-09 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Other
85% 59% +$18,232
Politics
11% 67% +$4,794
Sports
3% 64% +$1,304
Crypto
1% 59% -$169
Tech
1% 65% +$1,162
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,717 $2,549 66¢ $2.5K -$79 11-06 07:50
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,594 $346 99¢ $1.6K +$1,230 11-04 02:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,586 $1,579 99¢ $1.6K -$3 11-06 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,975 $1,421 78¢ $1.5K +$110 11-06 13:36
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,263 $1,344 34¢ $1.4K +$84 11-08 15:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,427 $1,409 99¢ $1.4K +$7 11-06 14:37
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,130 $1,127 99¢ $1.1K -$6 11-06 11:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,018 $1,000 99¢ $1.0K +$13 11-06 13:30
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +979 $914 100¢ $975 +$61 11-06 14:16
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +814 $661 97¢ $792 +$131 11-07 14:38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +700 $513 98¢ $689 +$176 11-03 21:28
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? No +634 $420 100¢ $632 +$212 11-04 00:54
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +624 $618 100¢ $621 +$3 11-06 14:28
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14? Yes +635 $611 98¢ $621 +$9 11-07 19:09
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,009 $193 62¢ $620 +$427 11-06 14:57
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +679 $451 91¢ $616 +$165 11-06 13:13
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +709 $586 86¢ $610 +$23 11-08 20:37
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +600 $593 100¢ $599 +$5 11-05 15:36
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +577 $576 100¢ $576 +$1 11-06 01:52
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +577 $234 88¢ $508 +$274 08-29 23:27
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-11-06? No +509 $462 99¢ $504 +$42 11-06 12:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +507 $499 99¢ $504 +$5 11-06 01:58
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +487 $366 98¢ $478 +$112 11-09 00:55
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +480 $452 99¢ $476 +$23 11-06 21:07
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +486 $435 92¢ $447 +$12 11-08 23:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,900 $509 24¢ $447 -$63 11-06 14:29
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +697 $360 64¢ $442 +$82 11-08 18:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +994 $783 44¢ $441 -$341 11-06 14:58
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +424 $315 100¢ $422 +$106 11-07 13:58
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +403 $395 98¢ $397 +$2 11-08 22:50