Realized P&L
+$25.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.04K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
59,620
Trades
230,056
lifetime
Volume
$2.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$25.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-11 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
85% 59% +$18,455
Politics
11% 67% +$4,743
Sports
3% 64% +$1,304
Tech
1% 65% +$1,162
Crypto
1% 59% -$152
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,884 $2,659 65¢ $2.5K -$129 11-10 11:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,023 $1,465 97¢ $2.0K +$496 11-10 13:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,733 $1,725 100¢ $1.7K +$3 11-10 13:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,723 $1,702 100¢ $1.7K +$14 11-10 09:07
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,594 $346 100¢ $1.6K +$1,245 11-04 02:28
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,286 $1,351 34¢ $1.5K +$127 11-09 22:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,130 $1,127 99¢ $1.1K -$5 11-06 11:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,149 $1,128 89¢ $1.0K -$106 11-10 13:30
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +814 $661 99¢ $804 +$143 11-07 14:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +774 $765 100¢ $771 +$6 11-11 14:51
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +763 $636 99¢ $756 +$120 11-10 01:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +700 $513 99¢ $693 +$180 11-03 21:28
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +736 $503 90¢ $659 +$156 11-11 14:06
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +754 $624 84¢ $637 +$14 11-10 22:51
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +600 $593 100¢ $599 +$5 11-05 15:36
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +577 $576 100¢ $576 +$1 11-06 01:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,009 $193 57¢ $575 +$382 11-06 14:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +577 $234 94¢ $543 +$309 08-29 23:27
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +544 $534 99¢ $541 +$7 11-10 10:41
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +839 $448 64¢ $541 +$93 11-11 10:33
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +497 $491 100¢ $495 +$4 11-10 11:17
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +500 $447 99¢ $493 +$46 11-10 10:50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +994 $783 48¢ $479 -$304 11-06 14:58
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +480 $452 99¢ $477 +$25 11-06 21:07
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-14? No +479 $475 99¢ $476 +$1 11-11 11:04
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +473 $470 99¢ $469 -$1 11-11 21:01
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +467 $458 99¢ $464 +$6 11-10 11:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +471 $463 98¢ $463 +$0 11-11 18:59
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw? No +586 $245 76¢ $442 +$197 11-11 02:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +491 $424 88¢ $431 +$7 11-09 04:12