Realized P&L
+$25.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.87K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
59,212
Trades
228,462
lifetime
Volume
$2.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$25.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-10 10:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
85% 59% +$18,306
Politics
11% 67% +$4,784
Sports
3% 64% +$1,304
Tech
1% 65% +$1,162
Crypto
1% 59% -$165
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,804 $2,606 66¢ $2.5K -$79 11-10 03:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,975 $1,421 92¢ $1.8K +$406 11-06 13:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,723 $1,702 100¢ $1.7K +$13 11-10 09:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,686 $1,679 100¢ $1.7K +$2 11-10 09:01
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,594 $346 99¢ $1.6K +$1,233 11-04 02:28
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,286 $1,351 32¢ $1.4K +$42 11-09 22:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,130 $1,127 99¢ $1.1K -$7 11-06 11:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,129 $1,108 95¢ $1.1K -$37 11-10 09:50
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +814 $661 97¢ $791 +$131 11-07 14:38
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +763 $636 98¢ $749 +$113 11-10 01:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +700 $513 99¢ $694 +$181 11-03 21:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,009 $193 66¢ $661 +$467 11-06 14:57
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? No +634 $420 100¢ $632 +$212 11-04 00:54
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14? Yes +635 $611 99¢ $628 +$17 11-07 19:09
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +679 $451 90¢ $612 +$162 11-06 13:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +613 $604 100¢ $610 +$5 11-10 07:57
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +600 $593 100¢ $599 +$5 11-05 15:36
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +709 $586 82¢ $585 -$2 11-08 20:37
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +577 $576 100¢ $576 +$1 11-06 01:52
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +539 $529 100¢ $538 +$8 11-09 21:35
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +577 $234 90¢ $517 +$283 08-29 23:27
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +802 $425 60¢ $477 +$52 11-10 07:05
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +480 $452 99¢ $477 +$25 11-06 21:07
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-14? No +468 $464 99¢ $465 +$1 11-10 05:02
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +455 $450 99¢ $452 +$2 11-09 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +491 $424 90¢ $440 +$16 11-09 04:12
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +486 $435 86¢ $421 -$14 11-08 23:43
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +410 $402 99¢ $407 +$5 11-10 06:18
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +994 $783 40¢ $394 -$389 11-06 14:58
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08? No +388 $365 99¢ $386 +$21 11-08 10:46