Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on November 11?
open
Total volume
$815
$211 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,568
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-11
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-11 23:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $57
vs crowd: 0% YES on $558)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $0 | $306 | $306 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | $241 | $240 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $1 | $56 | $55 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $220 | $220 |
| Median | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $255 | $255 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +220 | $220 | $220 | 5 | 11-11 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | +140 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 11-10 22:17 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-10 22:17 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 11-11 17:28 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-11 11:57 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-11 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-11 22:59 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-11 22:48 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-11 19:08 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-11 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 23:07 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-11 22:57 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-11 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 02:00 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-11 16:52 |
| Ashamed-Gas 0xb460…6424 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-11 17:35 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-11 22:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 23:07:39 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xd5df26… |
| 11-11 23:07:39 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0xd5df26… |
| 11-11 23:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5df26… |
| 11-11 23:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x0a3a…e990 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd5df26… |
| 11-11 23:07:30 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xaabee9… |
| 11-11 23:07:30 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xaabee9… |
| 11-11 23:07:19 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x174632… |
| 11-11 23:07:19 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x174632… |
| 11-11 22:59:01 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7087cc… |
| 11-11 22:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7087cc… |
| 11-11 22:58:30 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa0eb4d… |
| 11-11 22:58:30 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa0eb4d… |
| 11-11 22:57:28 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5027b5… |
| 11-11 22:57:28 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5027b5… |
| 11-11 22:48:45 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x13bd48… |
| 11-11 22:48:45 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x13bd48… |
| 11-11 22:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xf8db…ca1d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d77c2… |
| 11-11 22:01:58 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x2d77c2… |
| 11-11 21:26:52 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa515f1… |
| 11-11 21:26:52 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa515f1… |
| 11-11 19:08:19 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x3003c1… |
| 11-11 19:08:19 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3003c1… |
| 11-11 19:08:19 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x3003c1… |
| 11-11 19:08:19 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3003c1… |
| 11-11 17:35:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e295b… |
| 11-11 17:35:03 | Ashamed-Gas 0xb460…6424 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x7e295b… |
| 11-11 17:28:58 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xce0b93… |
| 11-11 17:28:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce0b93… |
| 11-11 17:28:58 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce0b93… |
| 11-11 16:52:07 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4407b… |
| 11-11 16:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x07a37b… |
| 11-11 16:52:07 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd4407b… |
| 11-11 16:52:07 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07a37b… |
| 11-11 15:52:09 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x29169f… |
| 11-11 15:52:09 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29169f… |
| 11-11 13:54:15 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x081fd2… |
| 11-11 13:54:15 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x081fd2… |
| 11-11 11:57:43 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x8dea94… |
| 11-11 11:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8dea94… |
| 11-11 11:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10a187… |
| 11-11 11:40:01 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x10a187… |
| 11-11 02:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x0a3a…e990 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8d16d7… |
| 11-11 02:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d16d7… |
| 11-10 22:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8d591… |
| 11-10 22:17:06 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8d591… |
| 11-10 16:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x39893d… |
| 11-10 16:08:28 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 251 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x39893d… |