Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72c2…b7ffb9
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.14K
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved
53,317
Trades
203,539
lifetime
Volume
$1.85M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$46.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-26 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$14,292
Politics
8% 69% -$1,357
Sports
4% 65% +$18
Tech
1% 63% -$658
Crypto
1% 58% -$608
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 3076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,165 $5,129 100¢ $5.2K +$31 10-26 22:49
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,591 $3,709 100¢ $4.6K +$877 10-26 22:49
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,171 $3,758 100¢ $4.2K +$409 10-26 22:48
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,542 $2,537 100¢ $2.5K +$3 10-26 17:56
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,294 $2,284 100¢ $2.3K +$7 10-26 13:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,253 $2,243 100¢ $2.2K +$3 10-26 11:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,214 $2,202 100¢ $2.2K +$10 10-26 11:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,054 $1,834 92¢ $1.9K +$46 10-03 00:59
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,529 $1,736 68¢ $1.7K -$4 10-26 23:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,808 $1,322 94¢ $1.7K +$369 10-26 17:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,390 $1,645 65¢ $1.5K -$101 10-26 15:50
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,518 $1,513 99¢ $1.5K -$5 10-26 14:39
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,351 $1,298 97¢ $1.3K +$13 10-24 07:14
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,029 $1,026 97¢ $995 -$31 10-13 20:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,030 $823 92¢ $951 +$128 10-26 21:42
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +1,172 $846 79¢ $926 +$79 10-26 23:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +931 $926 99¢ $922 -$4 10-24 19:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,551 $724 35¢ $893 +$169 10-26 17:48
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +893 $889 100¢ $891 +$2 10-13 20:23
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +877 $876 100¢ $876 +$0 10-26 18:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +877 $864 99¢ $872 +$8 10-26 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +874 $855 97¢ $851 -$4 10-24 19:39
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +866 $822 95¢ $826 +$4 10-26 01:33
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,350 $550 56¢ $749 +$199 10-25 22:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,085 $811 69¢ $749 -$62 10-24 23:20
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,237 $708 32¢ $705 -$3 10-26 23:54
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +848 $665 80¢ $683 +$18 10-01 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +688 $682 99¢ $682 +$0 10-23 08:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +874 $694 77¢ $675 -$19 09-14 06:19
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +653 $652 100¢ $652 $0 10-24 20:04