Realized P&L
+$11.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$685
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
53,498
Trades
204,599
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$32.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$13,980
Politics
8% 69% -$1,673
Sports
4% 65% +$18
Tech
1% 63% -$658
Crypto
1% 58% -$608
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,455 $2,444 100¢ $2.4K +$3 10-27 09:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,214 $2,202 100¢ $2.2K +$10 10-26 11:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,929 $2,020 70¢ $2.1K +$45 10-27 09:39
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,964 $1,957 100¢ $2.0K -$2 10-27 08:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,054 $1,834 92¢ $1.9K +$46 10-03 00:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,860 $1,371 94¢ $1.7K +$369 10-27 09:58
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,741 $1,582 97¢ $1.7K +$102 10-27 08:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,507 $1,722 64¢ $1.6K -$107 10-27 03:54
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,351 $1,298 96¢ $1.3K +$1 10-24 07:14
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,029 $1,026 97¢ $996 -$30 10-13 20:23
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +1,136 $924 84¢ $959 +$35 10-27 06:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,052 $843 91¢ $956 +$112 10-27 01:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +931 $926 99¢ $923 -$3 10-24 19:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,551 $724 36¢ $906 +$182 10-26 17:48
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +893 $889 100¢ $891 +$2 10-13 20:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +877 $864 99¢ $872 +$8 10-26 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +874 $855 97¢ $851 -$4 10-24 19:39
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +874 $829 96¢ $837 +$8 10-26 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,095 $817 68¢ $750 -$67 10-27 03:43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,350 $550 55¢ $736 +$186 10-25 22:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +688 $682 99¢ $683 +$1 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +848 $665 80¢ $683 +$18 10-01 14:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +874 $694 76¢ $668 -$26 09-14 06:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,237 $708 30¢ $660 -$48 10-26 23:54
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +641 $639 100¢ $638 $0 10-27 09:53
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +636 $632 99¢ $631 -$1 10-27 07:10
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +616 $615 100¢ $615 $0 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +903 $470 66¢ $600 +$130 10-27 07:12
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +601 $588 100¢ $600 +$12 10-25 20:10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,289 $885 46¢ $589 -$295 10-26 13:35