Realized P&L (24h)
+$301
Unrealized P&L
+$4.15K
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved (24h)
342
Trades (24h)
2,465
209,365 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$20.7K
$1.90M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$35.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-29 07:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$14,613
Politics
8% 69% -$1,786
Sports
4% 65% -$26
Tech
1% 63% -$658
Crypto
1% 58% -$605
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,933 $1,274 100¢ $3.9K +$2,660 10-27 23:41
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,238 $3,227 100¢ $3.2K +$7 10-27 20:00
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,753 $2,545 66¢ $2.5K -$59 10-29 06:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,054 $1,834 92¢ $1.9K +$66 10-03 00:59
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,741 $1,139 98¢ $1.7K +$568 10-28 12:02
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,358 $1,305 96¢ $1.3K +$5 10-27 22:45
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,273 $1,264 100¢ $1.3K +$8 10-28 01:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,240 $1,235 100¢ $1.2K +$2 10-29 02:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,218 $1,203 100¢ $1.2K +$9 10-29 06:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,194 $1,167 98¢ $1.2K -$2 10-29 07:25
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,986 $1,215 58¢ $1.1K -$69 10-28 19:48
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,134 $813 97¢ $1.1K +$289 10-29 04:54
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,048 $885 34¢ $1.0K +$136 10-29 04:56
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,029 $1,026 97¢ $995 -$31 10-13 20:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,208 $981 80¢ $967 -$14 10-29 06:30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,209 $958 42¢ $939 -$19 10-28 18:52
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +960 $912 97¢ $931 +$19 10-28 20:47
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +893 $889 100¢ $891 +$2 10-13 20:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,074 $777 78¢ $843 +$67 10-29 02:51
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +774 $772 100¢ $772 $0 10-29 01:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,186 $875 62¢ $741 -$133 10-28 21:52
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +741 $666 100¢ $738 +$72 10-28 00:46
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +848 $665 86¢ $733 +$69 10-01 14:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +691 $551 100¢ $690 +$139 10-27 23:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +688 $682 99¢ $682 +$0 10-23 08:15
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +692 $664 97¢ $674 +$10 10-29 06:31
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +874 $694 77¢ $672 -$22 09-14 06:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +903 $470 68¢ $618 +$148 10-27 07:12
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +616 $615 100¢ $615 +$0 10-23 08:15
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +614 $395 100¢ $614 +$218 10-28 00:15