Realized P&L (7d)
-$514
Unrealized P&L
+$3.94K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved (7d)
3,128
Trades (7d)
16,396
208,423 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$174.3K
$1.90M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$36.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-28 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$14,671
Politics
8% 69% -$1,786
Sports
4% 65% +$18
Tech
1% 63% -$658
Crypto
1% 58% -$605
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,933 $1,274 100¢ $3.9K +$2,660 10-27 23:41
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,238 $3,227 100¢ $3.2K +$7 10-27 20:00
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,450 $2,345 68¢ $2.3K -$16 10-28 16:10
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,214 $2,039 91¢ $2.0K -$27 10-28 04:01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,054 $1,834 92¢ $1.9K +$66 10-03 00:59
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,741 $1,139 99¢ $1.7K +$586 10-28 12:02
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,358 $1,305 96¢ $1.3K -$3 10-27 22:45
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,273 $1,264 100¢ $1.3K +$8 10-28 01:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,182 $1,177 100¢ $1.2K +$2 10-28 18:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,168 $1,153 99¢ $1.2K +$8 10-28 18:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,986 $1,215 56¢ $1.1K -$94 10-28 19:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,094 $1,069 98¢ $1.1K -$2 10-28 18:04
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,029 $1,026 97¢ $996 -$30 10-13 20:23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,209 $958 44¢ $983 +$25 10-28 18:52
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,116 $797 88¢ $981 +$184 10-28 21:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,100 $887 86¢ $948 +$61 10-28 20:34
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,887 $831 32¢ $938 +$107 10-28 21:09
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +960 $912 96¢ $927 +$14 10-28 20:47
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +893 $889 100¢ $891 +$2 10-13 20:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,042 $751 82¢ $860 +$109 10-28 18:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,186 $875 63¢ $747 -$127 10-28 21:52
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +741 $666 99¢ $735 +$69 10-28 00:46
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +848 $665 85¢ $721 +$56 10-01 14:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +691 $551 100¢ $691 +$140 10-27 23:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +688 $682 99¢ $683 +$1 10-23 08:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +874 $694 77¢ $672 -$22 09-14 06:19
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +641 $639 100¢ $639 $0 10-27 09:53
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +648 $622 97¢ $630 +$8 10-28 13:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +903 $470 68¢ $618 +$148 10-27 07:12
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +616 $615 100¢ $615 +$0 10-23 08:15