Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72c2…b7ffb9
whale bot cold 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$674
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved (30d)
10,347
Trades (30d)
42,462
204,422 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$380.3K
$1.85M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$32.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 07:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$13,959
Politics
8% 69% -$1,673
Sports
4% 65% +$18
Tech
1% 63% -$658
Crypto
1% 58% -$608
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,405 $2,394 100¢ $2.4K +$3 10-27 02:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,214 $2,202 100¢ $2.2K +$10 10-26 11:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,889 $1,992 70¢ $2.0K +$45 10-27 07:51
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,924 $1,918 100¢ $1.9K -$1 10-27 06:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,054 $1,834 92¢ $1.9K +$46 10-03 00:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,820 $1,333 94¢ $1.7K +$369 10-27 02:48
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,507 $1,722 65¢ $1.6K -$86 10-27 03:54
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,661 $1,505 97¢ $1.6K +$102 10-27 05:50
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,351 $1,298 96¢ $1.3K -$3 10-24 07:14
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,029 $1,026 97¢ $996 -$30 10-13 20:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,052 $843 91¢ $955 +$112 10-27 01:48
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +1,136 $924 82¢ $937 +$13 10-27 06:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +931 $926 99¢ $922 -$4 10-24 19:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,551 $724 36¢ $906 +$182 10-26 17:48
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +893 $889 100¢ $891 +$2 10-13 20:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +877 $864 99¢ $872 +$8 10-26 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +874 $855 97¢ $851 -$4 10-24 19:39
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +874 $829 96¢ $835 +$6 10-26 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,095 $817 68¢ $750 -$67 10-27 03:43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,350 $550 55¢ $736 +$186 10-25 22:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +688 $682 99¢ $683 +$1 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +848 $665 80¢ $683 +$18 10-01 14:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +874 $694 76¢ $669 -$26 09-14 06:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,237 $708 30¢ $660 -$48 10-26 23:54
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +636 $632 99¢ $630 -$2 10-27 07:10
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +616 $615 100¢ $615 $0 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +903 $470 66¢ $600 +$130 10-27 07:12
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +601 $588 100¢ $600 +$12 10-25 20:10
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +592 $590 100¢ $589 -$1 10-23 02:44
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,289 $885 46¢ $588 -$297 10-26 13:35