Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.13K
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved (90d)
31,077
Trades (90d)
129,692
207,321 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.08M
$1.90M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$36.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-29 15:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$14,546
Politics
8% 69% -$1,786
Sports
4% 65% -$26
Tech
1% 63% -$658
Crypto
1% 58% -$605
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,933 $1,274 100¢ $3.9K +$2,660 10-27 23:41
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,238 $3,227 100¢ $3.2K +$7 10-27 20:00
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,753 $2,545 70¢ $2.6K +$91 10-29 06:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,054 $1,834 92¢ $1.9K +$66 10-03 00:59
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,741 $1,139 98¢ $1.7K +$577 10-28 12:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,360 $1,354 100¢ $1.4K +$2 10-29 14:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,358 $1,342 100¢ $1.4K +$9 10-29 13:33
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,358 $1,305 96¢ $1.3K +$1 10-27 22:45
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,273 $1,264 100¢ $1.3K +$8 10-28 01:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,294 $1,265 98¢ $1.3K +$3 10-29 13:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,986 $1,215 57¢ $1.1K -$82 10-28 19:48
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,134 $813 99¢ $1.1K +$314 10-29 04:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,208 $981 85¢ $1.0K +$43 10-29 06:30
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,029 $1,026 96¢ $986 -$40 10-13 20:23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,209 $958 44¢ $961 +$3 10-28 18:52
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,209 $935 30¢ $947 +$12 10-29 15:35
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +965 $917 97¢ $937 +$20 10-29 10:53
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +893 $889 100¢ $891 +$2 10-13 20:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,115 $808 78¢ $875 +$67 10-29 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,225 $900 65¢ $796 -$104 10-29 15:17
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +774 $772 100¢ $773 +$1 10-29 01:51
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +741 $666 99¢ $734 +$68 10-28 00:46
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +848 $665 86¢ $725 +$60 10-01 14:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +691 $551 100¢ $689 +$138 10-27 23:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +688 $682 99¢ $683 +$1 10-23 08:15
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +692 $664 98¢ $676 +$12 10-29 06:31
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +801 $610 84¢ $669 +$59 10-29 11:56
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +874 $694 76¢ $667 -$27 09-14 06:19
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No — +651 $637 98¢ $638 +$0 10-29 15:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +903 $470 70¢ $627 +$157 10-27 07:12