Realized P&L
+$28.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.67K
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
54,043
Trades
207,782
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$39.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-28 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
87% 60% +$23,309
Politics
8% 72% +$1,864
Sports
3% 66% +$2,119
Crypto
1% 60% +$1,841
Tech
1% 67% -$241
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3001 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,258 $1,505 100¢ $4.2K +$2,731 10-27 20:48
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,852 $2,837 100¢ $2.8K +$12 10-27 20:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,751 $2,343 96¢ $2.6K +$297 10-27 16:14
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,628 $2,510 68¢ $2.5K -$59 10-28 16:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,209 $2,194 100¢ $2.2K +$11 10-26 17:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,011 $2,001 100¢ $2.0K +$3 10-27 17:01
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,752 $1,546 91¢ $1.6K +$46 10-28 04:29
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,584 $991 98¢ $1.6K +$561 10-28 09:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,525 $1,253 94¢ $1.4K +$184 10-28 13:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,065 $1,464 66¢ $1.4K -$102 10-28 07:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,234 $1,229 100¢ $1.2K +$0 10-28 17:24
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,277 $1,224 96¢ $1.2K $0 10-24 07:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,771 $1,211 44¢ $1.2K -$5 10-28 10:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,198 $1,155 97¢ $1.2K +$2 10-28 13:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,149 $1,123 97¢ $1.1K -$4 10-28 17:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,200 $1,044 92¢ $1.1K +$54 08-09 19:14
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +981 $701 98¢ $967 +$266 10-28 01:12
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +992 $990 97¢ $960 -$30 09-28 14:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +839 $829 99¢ $835 +$6 10-28 17:24
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +790 $730 99¢ $780 +$50 10-28 01:27
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +713 $598 99¢ $706 +$108 10-16 13:10
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +709 $324 98¢ $694 +$371 10-26 11:21
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,123 $689 32¢ $679 -$9 10-28 17:20
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +805 $633 84¢ $672 +$39 10-01 14:58
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +820 $597 82¢ $670 +$72 10-28 14:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +840 $654 77¢ $644 -$9 09-16 14:01
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +603 $597 100¢ $602 +$5 10-28 02:04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,058 $625 56¢ $597 -$28 10-28 15:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $495 80¢ $596 +$101 10-25 15:34
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +596 $592 100¢ $595 +$3 10-16 08:09