Realized P&L
+$28.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
53,571
Trades
204,753
lifetime
Volume
$1.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$33.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$23,300
Politics
8% 72% +$1,966
Sports
4% 65% +$2,011
Crypto
1% 60% +$1,839
Tech
1% 67% -$241
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3001 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,517 $2,504 100¢ $2.5K +$5 10-27 10:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,510 $2,117 94¢ $2.4K +$255 10-27 12:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,209 $2,194 100¢ $2.2K +$12 10-26 17:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,225 $2,237 64¢ $2.1K -$159 10-26 23:54
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,540 $1,743 76¢ $1.9K +$200 10-27 12:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,785 $1,776 100¢ $1.8K +$3 10-27 10:07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,496 $1,227 93¢ $1.4K +$163 10-27 09:31
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,434 $1,241 97¢ $1.4K +$148 10-27 12:17
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,277 $1,224 96¢ $1.2K -$2 10-24 07:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,162 $893 55¢ $1.2K +$286 10-26 00:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,665 $1,204 68¢ $1.1K -$64 10-26 14:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,200 $1,044 92¢ $1.1K +$54 08-09 19:14
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +1,244 $1,011 84¢ $1.1K +$40 10-27 06:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,034 $1,030 99¢ $1.0K -$4 10-22 11:48
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,013 $977 97¢ $983 +$6 10-26 21:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +993 $971 97¢ $967 -$4 10-24 19:34
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +992 $990 97¢ $961 -$29 09-28 14:24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,038 $922 24¢ $744 -$178 10-27 10:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +719 $710 99¢ $715 +$5 10-23 09:48
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +713 $598 98¢ $702 +$104 10-16 13:10
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +709 $324 98¢ $698 +$375 10-26 11:21
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +805 $633 80¢ $648 +$15 10-01 14:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +840 $654 76¢ $639 -$14 09-16 14:01
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +596 $592 100¢ $595 +$3 10-16 08:09
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +596 $567 99¢ $591 +$24 10-27 01:16
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,658 $531 36¢ $588 +$58 10-26 23:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $495 79¢ $585 +$89 10-25 15:34
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +543 $541 100¢ $541 +$0 10-21 15:37
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +647 $455 84¢ $540 +$85 10-21 23:37
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +517 $493 95¢ $493 +$0 10-23 02:41