Realized P&L
+$3.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
7,816
Trades
39,878
lifetime
Volume
$495.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$581
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 13:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Other
92% 93% +$2,320
Politics
8% 85% +$784
Sports
1% 93% +$44
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Crypto
0% 57% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +90 $85 94¢ $85 +$0 11-01 12:55
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +48 $47 99¢ $47 +$0 10-31 10:57
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +48 $47 96¢ $46 -$1 10-31 10:58
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $35 98¢ $35 +$0 11-01 01:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +33 $31 96¢ $32 +$1 10-26 14:06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +33 $30 88¢ $29 -$1 10-31 11:15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $29 94¢ $28 -$1 10-27 23:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 11-01 06:11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +24 $23 97¢ $23 +$1 09-28 09:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +18 $15 80¢ $14 $0 10-31 23:32
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 $0 10-28 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-30 22:38
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $12 98¢ $12 $0 10-28 02:11
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$0 10-28 21:42
EU dissolves before 2027? No +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 06-24 15:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 $0 09-23 14:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +12 $11 97¢ $12 +$0 09-22 01:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 10-27 11:31
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $11 94¢ $11 +$0 11-01 12:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $11 +$0 10-28 21:40
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $11 92¢ $11 $0 11-01 12:59
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $11 92¢ $11 $0 11-01 12:58
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 10-28 23:32
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $11 88¢ $11 $0 11-01 12:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 10-28 21:43
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +12 $10 85¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-27 11:32
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $9 97¢ $9 $0 11-01 13:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $8 93¢ $8 +$0 09-15 16:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $0 11-01 12:57