Realized P&L
+$3.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
7,811
Trades
39,848
lifetime
Volume
$495.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$576
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 01:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Other
92% 93% +$2,317
Politics
8% 85% +$781
Sports
1% 93% +$44
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Crypto
0% 57% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +78 $73 94¢ $74 +$1 10-31 11:14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +69 $68 100¢ $69 +$1 10-31 11:16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +48 $47 98¢ $47 +$0 10-31 10:57
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $35 97¢ $35 +$0 11-01 01:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +33 $31 96¢ $32 +$1 10-26 14:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 10-28 21:40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +33 $30 91¢ $30 -$1 10-31 11:15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-27 23:33
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 09-28 09:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +18 $15 82¢ $15 $0 10-31 23:32
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No +15 $14 93¢ $14 $0 10-28 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-30 22:38
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 10-28 21:42
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 10-28 02:11
EU dissolves before 2027? No +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 06-24 15:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 $0 09-23 14:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +12 $11 97¢ $12 +$0 09-22 01:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 10-27 11:31
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +12 $11 96¢ $12 +$0 10-28 21:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 $0 10-28 21:40
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 $0 10-28 23:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +12 $10 85¢ $10 $0 10-28 21:43
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +12 $10 85¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $0 10-27 11:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $8 91¢ $8 +$0 09-15 16:42
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 10-27 02:47
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$0 10-30 02:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$1 10-31 04:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-20 01:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:36