Realized P&L
+$25.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.43K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
54,611
Trades
211,559
lifetime
Volume
$1.95M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$36.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-30 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 168 days
Categories
Other
86% 60% +$25,629
Politics
9% 70% -$2,126
Sports
4% 66% +$1,519
Tech
1% 63% -$472
Crypto
1% 56% +$512
Pop-Culture
0% 74% +$313
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2983 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,004 $3,989 100¢ $4.0K +$10 10-27 20:00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,695 $1,231 100¢ $3.7K +$2,464 10-27 20:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,489 $3,150 68¢ $3.1K -$97 10-30 07:28
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,451 $1,102 99¢ $1.4K +$335 10-28 13:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,172 $1,563 60¢ $1.3K -$249 10-30 14:54
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,261 $1,222 98¢ $1.2K +$8 10-30 06:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,384 $208 88¢ $1.2K +$1,011 10-30 13:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,041 $1,052 59¢ $1.2K +$161 10-30 02:28
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,769 $1,181 32¢ $1.2K +$6 10-30 07:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,177 $1,164 99¢ $1.2K +$4 10-29 13:09
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,109 $836 100¢ $1.1K +$273 10-28 01:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,126 $1,101 98¢ $1.1K +$5 10-30 05:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,351 $1,015 74¢ $1.0K -$9 10-30 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,149 $898 86¢ $983 +$85 10-28 08:35
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +991 $959 98¢ $974 +$15 10-30 11:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,296 $703 39¢ $900 +$197 10-30 14:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,115 $1,014 40¢ $857 -$157 10-29 19:51
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +851 $799 99¢ $841 +$42 10-30 06:50
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +858 $856 97¢ $835 -$21 09-22 10:54
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +831 $829 100¢ $830 +$1 09-16 14:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +829 $822 99¢ $823 +$1 10-29 11:34
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +819 $607 100¢ $817 +$210 10-28 00:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +842 $757 94¢ $787 +$31 10-03 00:59
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +728 $686 99¢ $723 +$37 10-28 02:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +874 $656 82¢ $713 +$56 10-29 17:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +709 $706 100¢ $707 +$1 10-28 22:05
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +694 $690 100¢ $693 +$3 10-28 00:47
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +710 $695 98¢ $692 -$2 10-30 13:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +681 $678 100¢ $678 $0 10-30 05:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +682 $633 94¢ $644 +$12 10-30 14:52