Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd71776…213b85
whale bot hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.52K
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
53,989
Trades
207,737
lifetime
Volume
$1.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$35.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-28 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$11,134
Politics
9% 71% +$281
Sports
3% 66% -$172
Crypto
1% 59% +$966
Tech
0% 63% -$510
Pop-Culture
0% 79% +$147
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3007 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,930 $1,552 100¢ $4.9K +$3,378 10-27 20:00
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,908 $3,896 100¢ $3.9K +$8 10-27 20:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,533 $1,711 67¢ $1.7K -$2 10-28 16:10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,968 $1,597 77¢ $1.5K -$83 09-28 08:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,602 $1,418 92¢ $1.5K +$64 10-03 00:59
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,632 $1,126 86¢ $1.4K +$285 10-28 20:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,220 $1,208 99¢ $1.2K +$6 10-28 18:04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,076 $1,137 56¢ $1.2K +$34 10-28 11:33
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,272 $1,074 91¢ $1.2K +$82 10-28 04:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,468 $1,018 32¢ $1.1K +$109 10-28 21:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,106 $1,084 98¢ $1.1K -$5 10-28 18:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,386 $872 68¢ $949 +$78 10-26 20:53
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +950 $883 99¢ $941 +$57 10-28 00:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +938 $933 100¢ $935 +$2 10-28 17:24
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +935 $740 100¢ $933 +$193 10-28 20:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +930 $611 98¢ $912 +$301 10-26 11:21
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +856 $545 98¢ $839 +$294 10-28 12:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +973 $703 82¢ $803 +$100 10-28 18:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +796 $789 99¢ $790 +$2 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +805 $766 97¢ $779 +$13 10-28 21:28
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +914 $413 84¢ $772 +$359 08-31 23:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,727 $727 44¢ $769 +$41 10-28 18:52
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +790 $789 97¢ $765 -$23 09-22 10:54
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,005 $799 74¢ $739 -$60 10-26 23:55
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +725 $722 100¢ $724 +$2 10-28 01:12
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +721 $543 100¢ $721 +$177 10-27 23:11
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +740 $708 97¢ $719 +$11 10-28 19:06
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +686 $672 99¢ $682 +$10 10-16 13:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +831 $616 82¢ $678 +$62 10-27 17:25
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +667 $630 98¢ $657 +$26 10-26 20:58