Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd71776…213b85
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.85K
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
53,691
Trades
205,478
lifetime
Volume
$1.92M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$38.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-27 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$11,078
Politics
8% 71% +$284
Sports
3% 66% -$159
Crypto
1% 59% +$966
Tech
0% 63% -$510
Pop-Culture
0% 79% +$147
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3007 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,930 $1,552 98¢ $4.8K +$3,255 10-27 20:00
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,908 $3,896 100¢ $3.9K +$8 10-27 20:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,197 $2,659 96¢ $3.1K +$411 10-27 17:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,383 $2,373 100¢ $2.4K -$1 10-27 16:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,324 $2,310 100¢ $2.3K +$11 10-25 23:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,968 $1,597 79¢ $1.6K -$40 09-28 08:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,602 $1,418 92¢ $1.5K +$48 10-03 00:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,052 $1,390 65¢ $1.3K -$50 10-27 17:27
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,203 $1,007 96¢ $1.2K +$145 10-27 16:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,318 $971 34¢ $1.1K +$174 10-27 16:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +972 $954 98¢ $951 -$3 10-27 14:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,386 $872 68¢ $936 +$64 10-26 20:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +940 $929 99¢ $934 +$5 10-27 16:32
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +930 $611 98¢ $916 +$305 10-26 11:21
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +925 $731 99¢ $914 +$184 10-17 03:04
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,496 $613 56¢ $838 +$225 10-22 14:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +838 $834 100¢ $835 +$1 10-27 18:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +796 $789 99¢ $788 -$1 10-23 08:15
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +790 $789 97¢ $765 -$24 09-22 10:54
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +914 $413 80¢ $727 +$314 08-31 23:06
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +721 $543 100¢ $720 +$177 10-27 23:11
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,005 $799 72¢ $718 -$80 10-26 23:55
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +848 $789 83¢ $700 -$89 10-27 20:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,028 $763 66¢ $684 -$79 10-27 03:43
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +686 $672 99¢ $678 +$5 10-16 13:52
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +667 $630 99¢ $661 +$30 10-26 20:58
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +831 $616 79¢ $657 +$41 10-27 17:25
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +660 $631 96¢ $636 +$5 10-27 21:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,408 $777 44¢ $627 -$150 10-27 22:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +962 $641 62¢ $601 -$40 10-25 23:44