Motionless-Airbus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.37K

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

288

Trades

8,241

lifetime

Volume

$164.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$551

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-30 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Politics

65% 58% +$5,906

Other

32% 51% -$1,129

Crypto

3% 50% -$412

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-400	-$319	82¢	$-330	-$11	07-26 09:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-400	-$100	18¢	$-70	+$30	08-24 16:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	-832	-$158	8¢	$-62	+$96	05-17 23:31
iran oman hormuz agreement by december 31	Yes	+132	$52	34¢	$45	-$7	10-14 20:41
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+446	$54	3¢	$14	-$39	10-26 13:23
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+400	$54	2¢	$10	-$44	10-25 19:51
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+704	$147	1¢	$7	-$141	10-02 20:37
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,130	$22	0¢	$5	-$17	10-02 22:28
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+152	$11	3¢	$4	-$7	08-28 01:35
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,000	$9	0¢	$4	-$6	06-02 03:12
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Yes	+5	$0	6¢	$0	+$0	10-09 19:26
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$98	4¢	$0	+$98	06-19 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	137	$6.5K	4,352	4,321	+31	No	+$60	05-05 22:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	82	$4.4K	7,414	7,414	+0	No	+$329	06-15 00:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	145	$3.8K	3,278	3,277	+0	No	-$297	05-25 14:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	175	$3.6K	8,201	7,813	+388	Yes	+$847	08-11 22:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	146	$3.4K	4,014	3,908	+105	Yes	+$1,032	06-19 07:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	145	$2.5K	1,574	1,574	+0	No	+$112	07-13 14:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	143	$2.4K	3,331	2,564	+768	No	+$1,038	05-30 18:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	119	$2.2K	2,591	2,168	+423	Yes	+$49	04-14 16:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	97	$2.2K	2,511	2,184	+326	No	-$177	05-21 17:28
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	70	$2.1K	1,946	1,946	+0	No	+$26	07-24 14:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	81	$2.1K	4,083	3,864	+218	No	+$91	03-31 14:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	89	$2.0K	7,171	7,171	+0	open	—	09-10 23:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	66	$2.0K	3,228	4,028	-800	open	—	08-24 16:53
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	23	$2.0K	1,777	2,033	-256	Yes	+$953	06-07 20:51
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	59	$1.9K	1,364	1,364	+0	No	+$168	09-29 13:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	95	$1.9K	1,598	1,598	+0	No	+$498	06-01 14:35
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	52	$1.9K	1,441	824	+617	No	+$88	02-28 21:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	74	$1.8K	2,243	2,243	+0	No	-$102	07-28 22:41
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	32	$1.8K	5,123	5,123	+0	No	+$1,044	06-07 19:02
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	73	$1.7K	964	1,202	-238	No	+$97	03-15 07:21
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	123	$1.6K	12,791	12,760	+32	Yes	+$123	09-14 01:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	15	$1.6K	1,256	1,154	+102	Yes	+$262	06-08 11:53
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	71	$1.6K	2,888	2,774	+114	No	+$140	07-16 00:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	38	$1.6K	908	908	+0	No	+$72	07-29 12:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	69	$1.6K	2,791	2,770	+21	Yes	-$26	04-16 20:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	98	$1.5K	1,774	1,463	+311	No	-$103	09-30 11:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	59	$1.5K	3,057	906	+2,151	Yes	-$632	06-14 19:02
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	135	$1.5K	1,217	1,075	+142	Yes	+$45	05-15 17:25
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	130	$1.4K	1,474	855	+619	Yes	-$146	03-22 04:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	41	$1.4K	2,184	2,124	+60	No	+$373	04-01 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:12:55	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x378b6c…
10-30 17:41:37	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	9¢	$16	0x6f04ac…
10-30 13:59:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in November?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0x56b94f…
10-30 13:36:39	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8205bd…
10-30 08:00:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0xdce627…
10-30 07:36:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in November?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xbe3825…
10-30 07:36:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in November?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x1e427b…
10-30 07:36:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in November?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7525fa…
10-30 07:36:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in November?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4c9328…
10-30 01:46:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$11	0x2295e6…
10-29 14:51:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x1e8970…
10-29 14:51:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x6e8566…
10-29 13:09:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xadbd19…
10-29 13:05:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x2f97ca…
10-29 13:04:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x51684d…
10-29 13:03:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x39977b…
10-29 13:03:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x01039f…
10-29 13:02:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xd0575d…
10-29 09:45:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	SELL	59	62¢	$37	0xeac103…
10-29 06:23:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x4dae95…
10-29 05:06:25	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb37a83…
10-29 01:19:44	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xdcdfdc…
10-29 00:08:38	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf469ed…
10-29 00:08:28	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x2962d7…
10-29 00:08:22	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xf15612…
10-29 00:00:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	SELL	107	69¢	$74	0x8fddd9…
10-28 23:49:59	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	No	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xce56e9…
10-28 20:06:34	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	No	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x976449…
10-28 20:05:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x2f517d…
10-28 20:03:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xe45fe7…
10-28 20:03:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0xd2f1a3…
10-28 20:03:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x4c6358…
10-28 20:03:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x451b6d…
10-28 20:03:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x7e4e79…
10-28 20:03:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x4c6442…
10-28 20:03:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x249b24…
10-28 20:03:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x22e08b…
10-28 20:03:07	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x04bda1…
10-28 20:03:05	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x102a6f…
10-28 20:02:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0x0ded1f…
10-28 20:02:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x56e946…
10-28 20:02:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x98df19…
10-28 20:02:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x16f3e7…
10-28 20:00:07	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0xd0b6da…
10-28 18:36:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x11a6dd…
10-28 17:58:59	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x4a2c13…
10-28 17:57:34	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x21e51b…
10-28 04:34:25	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xc5e4a6…
10-27 13:51:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x9d3070…
10-27 13:35:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x586051…
10-27 13:32:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x0186cd…
10-27 13:29:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xbdbf31…
10-27 13:28:47	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x0b0fd5…
10-27 13:25:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	47	56¢	$27	0x232cc5…
10-27 11:42:57	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x68e9b9…
10-27 10:50:09	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xdb2082…
10-27 10:45:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xc083ab…
10-27 08:22:45	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x9f17dd…
10-27 08:11:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	No	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0xb07ee6…
10-26 22:00:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xede41c…
10-26 20:54:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x1ea007…
10-26 20:50:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xbf15ac…
10-26 19:50:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd383e1…
10-26 19:19:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x7e1b77…
10-26 18:21:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x4d796e…
10-26 18:20:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x6fd5ac…
10-26 18:13:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x21dd7b…
10-26 18:07:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$23	0x220730…
10-26 17:28:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6d12f7…
10-26 17:26:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	Yes	BUY	42	22¢	$9	0x3bcaff…
10-26 17:14:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	No	BUY	71	31¢	$22	0x8a1fa0…
10-26 14:08:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x207c0d…
10-26 14:02:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xde6975…
10-26 14:01:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in October?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x366876…
10-26 13:58:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xc3585a…
10-26 13:54:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in October?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x495ade…
10-26 13:52:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x1e15af…
10-26 13:51:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0x1bbc19…
10-26 13:50:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x257e3d…
10-26 13:47:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xd5c80a…
10-26 13:47:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in November?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xb9f543…
10-26 13:47:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xaad769…
10-26 13:44:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x7c1af4…
10-26 13:39:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xb0d3bf…
10-26 13:39:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	Yes	SELL	116	16¢	$18	0xd70af6…
10-26 13:38:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x4dfc85…
10-26 13:37:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xea61b5…
10-26 13:37:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x651566…
10-26 13:32:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	No	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x82b72d…
10-26 13:31:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x1c3ac1…
10-26 13:30:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0x71e4b1…
10-26 13:30:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	No	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x37625f…
10-26 13:30:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb0aebc…
10-26 13:30:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	28¢	$14	0x99b566…
10-26 13:27:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$4	0xb4d311…
10-26 13:23:36	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	815	4¢	$33	0x6a0647…
10-26 13:21:33	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x1970ae…
10-26 13:18:48	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	7¢	$16	0xf813a9…
10-26 11:00:17	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xda5980…
10-26 09:45:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xbb77da…