Realized P&L
-$235
Unrealized P&L
+$242
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,928
lifetime
Volume
$105.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$973
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-24 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
76% 40% $-30
Other
24% 67% $-206
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,263 $295 18¢ $396 +$101 07-23 21:58
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +4,100 $310 $287 $-23 07-23 13:56
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +1,485 $31 $97 +$65 07-19 22:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -300 $-78 29¢ $-85 $-7 07-20 19:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -66 $-59 72¢ $-47 +$12 07-24 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +62 $5 48¢ $30 +$25 07-05 15:02
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +511 $56 $28 $-28 06-26 16:48
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $-94 54¢ $3 +$97 06-19 21:34