Realized P&L
-$235
Unrealized P&L
+$1.46K
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,776
lifetime
Volume
$85.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.82K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-11 19:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75% 40% $-30
Other
25% 67% $-206
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -1,989 $-1,443 31¢ $-617 +$826 06-08 11:56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +598 $266 56¢ $338 +$72 06-10 21:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -607 $-624 56¢ $-337 +$287 06-08 11:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,397 $-6 13¢ $312 +$317 06-10 23:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +444 $293 66¢ $291 $-2 06-11 08:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +1,089 $250 20¢ $218 $-33 06-11 13:17
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +1,891 $175 11¢ $208 +$33 06-09 12:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +631 $233 24¢ $151 $-81 06-10 23:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +419 $85 34¢ $145 +$60 06-12 15:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,038 $99 $93 $-6 06-08 17:40
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -232 $-79 29¢ $-67 +$12 06-04 01:13
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes -292 $-22 15¢ $-42 $-20 06-07 10:50