Motionless-Airbus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

5,463

lifetime

Volume

$118.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-13 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

76% 40% $-30

Other

24% 67% $-206

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	137	$6.5K	4,352	4,321	+31	No	+$60	05-05 22:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	81	$4.4K	7,414	7,344	+70	open	—	06-15 00:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	174	$3.6K	8,171	7,813	+357	open	—	08-11 22:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	145	$2.5K	1,574	1,574	+0	open	—	07-13 14:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	142	$2.4K	3,304	2,564	+741	open	—	05-30 18:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	119	$2.2K	2,591	2,168	+423	open	—	04-14 16:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	97	$2.2K	2,511	2,184	+326	open	—	05-21 17:28
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	70	$2.1K	1,946	1,946	+0	open	—	07-24 14:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	81	$2.1K	4,083	3,864	+218	open	—	03-31 14:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	31	$2.1K	813	2,802	-1,989	open	—	06-19 07:03
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	20	$1.9K	1,755	2,011	-256	open	—	06-07 20:51
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	52	$1.9K	1,441	824	+617	open	—	02-28 21:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	60	$1.8K	3,228	2,780	+447	open	—	08-12 23:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	74	$1.8K	2,243	2,243	+0	open	—	07-28 22:41
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	32	$1.8K	5,123	5,123	+0	open	—	06-07 19:02
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	73	$1.7K	964	1,202	-238	open	—	03-15 07:21
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	71	$1.6K	2,888	2,774	+114	open	—	07-16 00:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	38	$1.6K	908	908	+0	open	—	07-29 12:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	69	$1.6K	2,791	2,770	+21	open	—	04-16 20:28
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	134	$1.4K	1,217	1,068	+149	open	—	05-15 17:25
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	130	$1.4K	1,474	855	+619	open	—	03-22 04:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	41	$1.4K	2,184	2,124	+60	open	—	04-01 15:52
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	19	$1.4K	861	764	+97	open	—	04-08 03:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	117	$1.3K	880	903	-23	open	—	02-22 18:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	163	$1.3K	1,043	1,038	+5	open	—	04-26 20:15
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	80	$1.3K	635	1,803	-1,168	open	—	02-28 06:06
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	56	$1.3K	963	963	+0	open	—	07-19 19:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	56	$1.2K	5,825	2,469	+3,356	open	—	08-10 17:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	44	$1.2K	848	772	+76	open	—	05-28 20:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	111	$1.2K	1,387	1,387	+0	open	—	07-19 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:04:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	358	4¢	$14	0x20f864…
08-13 04:53:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	1,066	5¢	$53	0x1d8f9d…
08-12 23:54:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	17¢	$12	0x1bc179…
08-12 15:14:12	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xeaac47…
08-11 22:26:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe6c572…
08-11 21:09:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0xcedf10…
08-11 17:59:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xa5243f…
08-11 17:32:52	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	351	2¢	$8	0x3829f3…
08-11 17:08:27	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	463	2¢	$11	0x616c98…
08-11 17:01:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xd459e9…
08-11 17:01:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xeb4bd2…
08-10 20:40:19	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xe44c87…
08-10 20:39:03	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	190	4¢	$8	0x661a8b…
08-10 19:34:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	233	5¢	$12	0xd91384…
08-10 17:59:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	201	12¢	$24	0x5710fd…
08-09 22:38:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x342c23…
08-09 21:34:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	233	4¢	$9	0x99e39e…
08-09 21:13:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xb91792…
08-09 21:09:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	101	7¢	$7	0x0a1ac9…
08-09 21:08:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	152	10¢	$15	0x3f71f1…
08-09 20:37:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x7e277c…
08-09 20:07:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x0fff00…
08-09 17:01:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	103	9¢	$9	0xe9227a…
08-09 11:35:18	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xdac64d…
08-09 07:25:48	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x135836…
08-09 07:00:52	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	42	83¢	$35	0x465e0d…
08-09 05:52:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0x956ac6…
08-08 21:06:51	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x7ab568…
08-08 21:06:49	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x16c4d1…
08-08 20:56:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	179	16¢	$29	0xa98f4a…
08-08 19:49:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x31a417…
08-08 17:07:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	72	16¢	$11	0xa1f914…
08-08 16:54:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	48	15¢	$7	0x4d139c…
08-08 16:50:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	53	10¢	$5	0xeb0608…
08-08 16:48:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	28	9¢	$2	0xde8cf6…
08-08 16:39:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5b3e9c…
08-08 15:53:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x39aad5…
08-08 14:57:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	219	14¢	$31	0x644dc3…
08-08 13:58:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xb3ab06…
08-08 13:58:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x2db46c…
08-08 13:33:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf30ed3…
08-08 13:33:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	79	17¢	$13	0xabe0d6…
08-08 09:05:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xb5b037…
08-08 06:23:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	170	10¢	$17	0x1d0e00…
08-08 02:48:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x252d79…
08-07 22:22:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	118	12¢	$14	0x7d685a…
08-07 22:07:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xec04d5…
08-07 21:59:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xa88716…
08-07 21:26:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0xe1c9b6…
08-07 20:22:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0xb238f9…
08-07 20:11:18	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x0523d0…
08-07 19:58:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	82	17¢	$14	0xd52ab3…
08-07 19:40:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0x606488…
08-07 19:20:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	168	12¢	$20	0x8ef3aa…
08-07 15:39:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	89	15¢	$13	0xf37f6a…
08-07 14:49:07	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x6d4cc4…
08-07 12:11:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	64	12¢	$8	0x2a067f…
08-07 12:11:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0xb4b479…
08-07 07:37:49	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	126	6¢	$8	0xbe7d6b…
08-07 02:45:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	77	16¢	$12	0x937d63…
08-07 02:42:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfbdc32…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0x9a72ae…
08-06 22:42:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x99a57a…
08-06 22:00:18	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0xbe67ac…
08-06 22:00:03	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc119d1…
08-06 21:55:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x943146…
08-06 21:55:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x81504a…
08-06 21:55:47	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x281a7a…
08-06 21:51:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0x191bb6…
08-06 21:42:14	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	47	59¢	$28	0xa61282…
08-06 19:12:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	154	11¢	$17	0x676f27…
08-06 17:11:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	114	17¢	$19	0x5500c1…
08-06 16:22:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	330	16¢	$53	0x9a010e…
08-06 11:38:06	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xf9dda4…
08-05 13:03:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	201	15¢	$30	0x134b5c…
08-05 07:16:45	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x4fcc9a…
08-05 07:16:44	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x63e02e…
08-05 07:16:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	86	25¢	$21	0xc935e0…
08-05 07:16:41	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x26ee2f…
08-05 02:35:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	178	16¢	$28	0x5bbf9b…
08-04 22:30:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	166	17¢	$28	0x2a8f7a…
08-04 18:50:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	18¢	$27	0x6998ad…
08-04 17:29:47	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x7f9dba…
08-04 17:23:14	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x6574ad…
08-04 17:22:44	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdcbeb0…
08-04 17:22:14	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x621838…
08-04 16:47:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	126	19¢	$24	0x50ef0b…
08-04 15:51:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	52	78¢	$41	0x43202f…
08-04 15:44:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	333	11¢	$37	0x9c8151…
08-04 15:38:08	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x311de4…
08-04 15:28:27	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	76	32¢	$24	0x08266b…
08-04 15:28:24	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	74	33¢	$24	0x903ee2…
08-04 15:27:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	85	77¢	$66	0x141805…
08-04 14:59:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	69	76¢	$52	0x7c3e07…
08-04 14:51:51	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0xf17105…
08-04 14:50:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xab10a8…
08-04 13:46:26	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	842	11¢	$93	0xbbf447…
08-04 13:45:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	215	10¢	$22	0xa6a3ed…
08-04 06:40:44	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0xee6067…
08-04 04:46:17	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x0e9e3c…