Realized P&L
-$235
Unrealized P&L
-$152
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,342
lifetime
Volume
$94.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$310
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-04 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75% 40% $-30
Other
25% 67% $-206
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,470 $440 $185 $-255 07-03 14:45
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +511 $56 $46 $-10 06-26 16:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +211 $36 20¢ $41 +$5 07-03 22:01
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +406 $24 $35 +$10 07-03 22:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $-94 60¢ $3 +$98 06-19 21:34