Realized P&L
+$1.07K
Unrealized P&L
-$180
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
27
Trades
577
lifetime
Volume
$352.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$611
Open exposure
$223.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-27 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
73% 100% +$833
Politics
26% 100% +$234
Crypto
1% 100% +$4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +42,500 $42,088 100¢ $42.3K +$221 10-24 20:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +20,000 $19,920 100¢ $19.9K +$10 10-27 03:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15,515 $14,871 96¢ $14.9K +$8 10-27 09:54
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +10,671 $10,499 99¢ $10.6K +$103 10-25 19:50
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,393 $10,362 99¢ $10.3K -$42 10-27 03:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +10,345 $10,023 99¢ $10.2K +$203 10-27 03:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,000 $9,872 99¢ $9.9K -$17 10-27 03:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10,000 $9,670 94¢ $9.4K -$225 10-24 16:19
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +8,114 $7,708 97¢ $7.8K +$142 10-27 01:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +8,057 $7,726 96¢ $7.7K +$12 10-27 03:12
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +7,474 $7,122 97¢ $7.2K +$106 10-15 12:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +7,000 $6,620 94¢ $6.6K -$5 10-25 01:17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +6,457 $6,208 97¢ $6.3K +$52 10-16 16:04
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6,228 $5,851 97¢ $6.1K +$209 10-27 02:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,230 $6,724 76¢ $5.5K -$1,193 10-09 19:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +5,354 $5,282 99¢ $5.3K +$32 10-24 23:44
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5,699 $5,148 91¢ $5.2K +$38 10-15 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +5,000 $4,975 100¢ $5.0K +$10 10-27 03:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5,000 $4,800 100¢ $5.0K +$178 10-14 14:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,000 $4,750 94¢ $4.7K -$75 10-14 13:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,000 $4,300 86¢ $4.3K +$0 10-24 16:04
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +4,236 $4,000 97¢ $4.1K +$125 10-13 20:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,050 78¢ $3.9K -$150 10-24 16:03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,945 98¢ $2.9K -$15 10-07 08:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +2,715 $2,644 100¢ $2.7K +$61 10-13 14:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,097 $1,890 92¢ $1.9K +$28 10-24 16:25
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +1,321 $1,310 100¢ $1.3K +$7 10-25 11:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,278 $1,231 97¢ $1.2K +$8 10-14 13:56
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +554 $493 87¢ $480 -$14 10-14 08:06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +394 $389 99¢ $390 +$0 10-27 09:54