Realized P&L
+$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.51K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
725
lifetime
Volume
$460.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$634
Open exposure
$288.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-30 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
75% 100% +$1,376
Politics
24% 100% +$243
Crypto
1% 100% +$4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +46,500 $46,076 100¢ $46.4K +$308 10-29 02:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +20,000 $19,920 100¢ $20.0K +$50 10-27 03:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20,000 $19,186 96¢ $19.2K +$64 10-28 13:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20,000 $19,168 96¢ $19.2K +$62 10-27 19:27
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +16,887 $16,683 100¢ $16.8K +$162 10-30 07:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +15,250 $15,148 100¢ $15.2K +$80 10-29 11:23
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +15,043 $14,927 99¢ $14.9K -$50 10-29 02:21
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,393 $10,362 100¢ $10.4K +$21 10-27 03:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +10,345 $10,023 99¢ $10.3K +$255 10-27 03:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,000 $9,872 98¢ $9.8K -$32 10-27 03:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10,000 $9,670 96¢ $9.6K -$115 10-24 16:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8,540 $8,068 94¢ $8.1K +$2 10-29 17:47
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +8,114 $7,708 97¢ $7.9K +$175 10-27 01:30
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +7,474 $7,122 96¢ $7.2K +$54 10-15 12:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,968 $6,522 94¢ $6.5K -$7 10-28 15:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,230 $6,724 88¢ $6.4K -$362 10-09 19:13
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +6,457 $6,208 97¢ $6.3K +$74 10-16 16:04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +6,137 $6,060 100¢ $6.1K +$58 10-29 19:57
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6,228 $5,851 96¢ $6.0K +$147 10-27 02:31
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5,699 $5,148 91¢ $5.2K +$38 10-15 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +5,000 $4,975 100¢ $5.0K +$18 10-27 03:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5,000 $4,800 100¢ $5.0K +$175 10-14 14:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,000 $4,750 94¢ $4.7K -$25 10-14 13:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,000 $4,300 86¢ $4.3K -$25 10-24 16:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,050 85¢ $4.2K +$200 10-24 16:03
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +4,236 $4,000 97¢ $4.1K +$104 10-13 20:54
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,945 97¢ $2.9K -$23 10-07 08:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +2,715 $2,644 100¢ $2.7K +$64 10-13 14:36
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +2,388 $2,372 100¢ $2.4K +$8 10-29 17:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,097 $1,890 92¢ $1.9K +$28 10-24 16:25