Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
Yes won
Total volume
$22,190
$12,108 in 24h
Trades
629
Unique wallets
145
Liquidity
$0
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-07-24
last 10-29 06:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.2¢
(top1%: 74% YES on $3.5K
vs crowd: 74% YES on $15.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $1.8K | $2.6K | $808 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 49 | $7.0K | $923 | +$6.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 48 | $2.5K | $471 | +$2.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $318 | $71 | +$247 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $2.5K | $909 | +$1.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $5.5K | $360 | +$5.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $75 | $0 | +$74 |
| Median | 11 | $201 | $7 | +$194 |
| Below median | 14 | $652 | $24 | +$629 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $40 | $326 | $287 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $1.9K | $249 | +$1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 34 | $646 | $2.2K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | +2,663 | $838 | $864 | 20 | 10-29 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xef97…ab2c | Yes | +2,634 | $2,631 | $2,631 | 1 | 10-29 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | +2,283 | $5 | $5 | 11 | 10-29 06:10 |
| Normal-Poet 0xc004…c095 | Yes | +1,441 | $1,396 | $1,396 | 2 | 10-28 17:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +1,032 | $149 | $149 | 17 | 10-29 05:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +697 | $389 | $389 | 25 | 10-28 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8637…39bd | Yes | +695 | $680 | $680 | 3 | 10-28 19:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +605 | $186 | $186 | 20 | 10-27 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | Yes | +560 | $559 | $559 | 1 | 10-29 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfc5…7921 | Yes | +560 | $558 | $558 | 1 | 10-29 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x11f8…ed31 | Yes | +440 | $155 | $155 | 3 | 09-30 22:25 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +418 | $293 | $498 | 3 | 09-04 16:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +347 | $88 | $88 | 13 | 09-15 03:51 |
| Giving-Task 0x5c27…1555 | No | +337 | $241 | $241 | 6 | 10-03 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x569a…8ca5 | Yes | +336 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 10-29 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4148…c6a6 | Yes | +307 | $160 | $160 | 8 | 10-19 16:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +238 | $56 | $56 | 5 | 09-11 01:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +205 | $6 | $6 | 8 | 10-28 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +184 | $125 | $125 | 4 | 10-01 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9539…267b | Yes | +125 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 09-30 20:54 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | No | +123 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 07-24 19:15 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +122 | $41 | $125 | 20 | 10-27 11:03 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +102 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 07-24 19:11 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | +102 | $44 | $67 | 2 | 07-27 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf28d…b24b | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-29 05:16 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 05:16 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-29 06:10 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +85 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 09-30 20:36 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +83 | $64 | $64 | 4 | 09-08 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +70 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-28 17:11 |
| Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | +70 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 10-01 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa34e…4296 | Yes | +61 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-28 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x652b…f5c2 | No | +53 | $42 | $88 | 2 | 09-26 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | No | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-28 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4148…c6a6 | No | +50 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-28 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +50 | $38 | $73 | 4 | 08-28 03:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x97ac…6ced | Yes | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-28 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +40 | $33 | $37 | 3 | 09-08 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-29 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 09-08 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4fe…8d1d | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-29 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-28 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e2a…81e6 | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-29 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | No | +30 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 10-28 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x05f7…b680 | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-13 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +23 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-24 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9539…267b | No | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-28 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-25 10:30 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-13 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa44a…cd7d | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-08 07:52 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-13 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4cc…7670 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-08 20:31 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-03 02:06 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $18 | 6 | 09-20 05:25 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $34 | 5 | 09-26 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4cc…7670 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-08 20:32 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-03 02:06 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-28 02:12 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-24 01:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xef97…ab2c | Yes | BUY | 2,634 | 100¢ | $2,631 | 0x99c334… |
| 10-29 06:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99c334… |
| 10-29 06:10:22 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99c334… |
| 10-29 06:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 934 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x99c334… |
| 10-29 06:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x64ff…2747 | Yes | SELL | 1,550 | 100¢ | $1,548 | 0x99c334… |
| 10-29 05:16:11 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x148067… |
| 10-29 05:16:11 | (anonymous) 0xf28d…b24b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x148067… |
| 10-29 05:16:11 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x148067… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0x2e2a…81e6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xa76a4d… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | Yes | BUY | 560 | 100¢ | $559 | 0xd7ef6d… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0x569a…8ca5 | Yes | BUY | 336 | 100¢ | $335 | 0xd9a1b5… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7ef6d… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa76a4d… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x521f1f… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd7ef6d… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xcfc5…7921 | Yes | BUY | 560 | 100¢ | $558 | 0xe51d72… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x521f1f… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xc4fe…8d1d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xab93cc… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab93cc… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe51d72… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 243 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd9a1b5… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x521f1f… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 274 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe51d72… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab93cc… |
| 10-29 05:15:08 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x521f1f… |
| 10-29 05:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x419cf4… |
| 10-29 05:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x8105…2702 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x419cf4… |
| 10-29 00:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 104 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x89eefe… |
| 10-29 00:53:40 | (anonymous) 0xf753…93c2 | No | BUY | 104 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x89eefe… |
| 10-29 00:53:34 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 99¢ | $95 | 0x68fb65… |
| 10-29 00:53:34 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 96 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x68fb65… |
| 10-28 21:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 128 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x0eae8b… |
| 10-28 21:41:47 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | SELL | 128 | 98¢ | $125 | 0x0eae8b… |
| 10-28 20:45:59 | (anonymous) 0x4cff…7cdb | Yes | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xc13f9f… |
| 10-28 20:45:59 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc13f9f… |
| 10-28 20:45:59 | Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | No | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc13f9f… |
| 10-28 20:36:05 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48c327… |
| 10-28 20:36:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48c327… |
| 10-28 20:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x288e6c… |
| 10-28 20:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x288e6c… |
| 10-28 19:39:56 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98dc52… |
| 10-28 19:39:56 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98dc52… |
| 10-28 19:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 170 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x71bb2b… |
| 10-28 19:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x8637…39bd | Yes | BUY | 170 | 98¢ | $167 | 0x71bb2b… |
| 10-28 19:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8eb4d3… |
| 10-28 19:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 131 | 98¢ | $128 | 0x8eb4d3… |
| 10-28 19:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x8637…39bd | Yes | BUY | 180 | 98¢ | $176 | 0x8eb4d3… |
| 10-28 19:33:07 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 320 | 98¢ | $313 | 0x3982ef… |
| 10-28 19:33:07 | Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | No | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3982ef… |
| 10-28 19:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x8637…39bd | Yes | BUY | 345 | 98¢ | $337 | 0x3982ef… |
| 10-28 19:00:56 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe0514d… |
| 10-28 19:00:56 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe0514d… |
| 10-28 18:59:56 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x1da772… |
| 10-28 18:59:56 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x1da772… |
| 10-28 18:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x2d2f1f… |
| 10-28 18:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x2d2f1f… |
| 10-28 18:27:02 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9aa4bb… |
| 10-28 18:27:02 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9aa4bb… |
| 10-28 18:17:26 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x584724… |
| 10-28 18:17:26 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x584724… |
| 10-28 18:10:52 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbc0801… |
| 10-28 18:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbc0801… |
| 10-28 18:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa2ed6c… |
| 10-28 18:06:25 | Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0xa2ed6c… |
| 10-28 18:06:25 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xa2ed6c… |
| 10-28 17:50:55 | Suburban-Stucco 0x205b…369c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7eb4b1… |
| 10-28 17:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x0dba…2db9 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7eb4b1… |
| 10-28 17:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x601f…bb82 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2bcce5… |
| 10-28 17:46:52 | Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2bcce5… |
| 10-28 17:46:52 | Far-Plan 0xcb48…be6d | No | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2bcce5… |
| 10-28 17:33:08 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xe191e0… |
| 10-28 17:33:08 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe191e0… |
| 10-28 17:32:52 | Reflecting-Pantology 0x4c4e…297b | No | SELL | 417 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xb7f693… |
| 10-28 17:32:52 | Homely-Saint 0x3d17…8d0a | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb7f693… |
| 10-28 17:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 412 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xb7f693… |
| 10-28 17:32:25 | Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | SELL | 69 | 97¢ | $67 | 0x48d974… |
| 10-28 17:32:25 | (anonymous) 0xbe1a…b3f8 | Yes | BUY | 519 | 96¢ | $500 | 0x48d974… |
| 10-28 17:32:25 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 396 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x48d974… |
| 10-28 17:32:25 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x48d974… |
| 10-28 17:32:25 | Homely-Saint 0x3d17…8d0a | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x48d974… |
| 10-28 17:31:47 | (anonymous) 0xd5da…50db | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa491d0… |
| 10-28 17:31:47 | Homely-Saint 0x3d17…8d0a | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa491d0… |
| 10-28 17:25:44 | (anonymous) 0xb88e…f80f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xadae60… |
| 10-28 17:25:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xadae60… |
| 10-28 17:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x77f712… |
| 10-28 17:24:28 | Normal-Poet 0xc004…c095 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x77f712… |
| 10-28 17:24:28 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x77f712… |
| 10-28 17:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 42 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa29fe1… |
| 10-28 17:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x97ac…6ced | Yes | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $40 | 0xa29fe1… |
| 10-28 17:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x36302a… |
| 10-28 17:23:16 | Impolite-Mode 0x09e2…29de | Yes | SELL | 245 | 97¢ | $238 | 0x36302a… |
| 10-28 17:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x36302a… |
| 10-28 17:23:16 | Normal-Poet 0xc004…c095 | Yes | BUY | 1,407 | 97¢ | $1,364 | 0x36302a… |
| 10-28 17:23:16 | Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | SELL | 619 | 97¢ | $601 | 0x36302a… |
| 10-28 17:23:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 518 | 3¢ | $16 | 0x36302a… |
| 10-28 17:22:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1f593d… |
| 10-28 17:22:28 | Normal-Poet 0xc004…c095 | No | SELL | 49 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1f593d… |
| 10-28 17:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 28 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1f593d… |
| 10-28 17:11:32 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x2b7369… |
| 10-28 17:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 53 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x2b7369… |