Far-Plan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-02 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Tech

92% — —

Other

7% 0% $-55

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-23	$-19	90¢	$-20	$-2	06-02 05:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	32	$2.7K	2,351	2,620	-270	open	—	06-15 13:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	19	$1.6K	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	06-24 19:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	19	$1.2K	737	699	+38	open	—	06-15 07:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	4	$902	490	490	+0	open	—	06-24 17:32
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	10	$797	456	456	+0	open	—	06-05 21:22
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	22	$607	448	448	+0	open	—	06-30 01:52
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	6	$599	615	615	+0	open	—	06-11 06:27
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	9	$563	594	594	+0	open	—	06-11 06:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	12	$476	300	300	+0	open	—	06-30 18:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	6	$396	310	310	+0	open	—	06-30 16:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	5	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	06-29 23:21
will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	6	$342	470	0	+470	open	—	07-02 08:03
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	8	$298	218	218	+0	open	—	06-24 18:38
will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	9	$270	288	30	+258	open	—	06-08 18:31
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	8	$268	210	210	+0	open	—	06-07 10:36
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510	3	$239	101	181	-80	open	—	06-06 07:31
will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	5	$228	180	60	+120	open	—	07-01 21:13
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	13	$223	567	550	+16	open	—	04-26 12:27
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	5	$207	106	105	+0	open	—	04-27 19:09
will claude be restored for international customers by june 30 20260629151305732	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	07-01 12:49
gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	3	$181	101	101	+0	open	—	06-27 08:48
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	9	$166	210	210	+0	open	—	06-07 10:25
will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260630195126944	3	$137	142	0	+142	open	—	07-02 18:19
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	11	$119	634	0	+634	open	—	04-28 10:01
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	7	$93	55	55	+0	open	—	06-06 07:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	4	$92	80	80	+0	open	—	05-24 06:39
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	04-27 18:47
will apple announce a new product line during the wwdc 2026 keynote	5	$76	83	20	+63	open	—	06-08 19:05
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	9	$72	86	86	+0	open	—	05-24 15:51
will apple announce a standalone siri app during the wwdc 2026 keynote	3	$68	214	200	+14	open	—	06-08 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 18:19:37	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260630195126944	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x60edb6…
07-02 08:03:55	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa37ba5…
07-02 04:37:11	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260630195126944	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4cfd44…
07-02 04:35:20	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x460994…
07-02 04:35:13	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	No	BUY	64	65¢	$42	0x85eeac…
07-02 04:32:38	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1d9c26…
07-01 23:15:46	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	No	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0x66dd54…
07-01 21:13:50	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6d0188…
07-01 20:06:31	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x2a8dd9…
07-01 19:54:44	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa6b19d…
07-01 19:53:16	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xc32210…
07-01 19:50:55	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260630195126944	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf6b0d7…
07-01 19:03:05	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	No	BUY	107	51¢	$55	0x1e7d84…
07-01 18:43:47	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x420f3d…
07-01 12:49:55	will claude be restored for international customers by june 30 20260629151305732	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x089847…
06-30 22:20:55	will claude be restored for international customers by june 30 20260629151305732	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd7b26d…
06-30 18:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x156496…
06-30 17:01:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xf002be…
06-30 16:52:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x649c15…
06-30 16:33:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xd72a20…
06-30 16:30:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	228	62¢	$141	0xdf82c9…
06-30 16:26:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xa4cfc7…
06-30 16:20:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	72	62¢	$45	0x52aba4…
06-30 15:54:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	21	78¢	$16	0x01f4a9…
06-30 15:54:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	80	78¢	$62	0xc62e9f…
06-30 15:54:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	49	78¢	$38	0x6219aa…
06-30 07:53:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0xd413b3…
06-30 07:40:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	183	80¢	$146	0x9a8d18…
06-30 06:48:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xad6db5…
06-30 06:47:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	294	66¢	$194	0xbbbcc7…
06-30 02:02:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xeb5492…
06-30 01:52:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	92	85¢	$78	0x233c2a…
06-30 00:00:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x12ee23…
06-29 23:21:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	138	92¢	$126	0xccaaa8…
06-29 22:23:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0x45b840…
06-29 20:38:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd3c3bd…
06-29 18:14:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0xdb0923…
06-29 18:08:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	29	84¢	$25	0x29ab3f…
06-29 18:02:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x79e107…
06-29 18:00:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	36	85¢	$30	0xc603a9…
06-29 17:15:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	34	93¢	$31	0x1139fd…
06-29 17:15:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xc0d58e…
06-27 08:48:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	101	90¢	$91	0x086e5e…
06-27 07:12:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0xffc1c4…
06-26 21:15:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	43	90¢	$38	0x0a0614…
06-26 07:10:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xc3acb3…
06-25 21:56:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x21bb45…
06-25 20:25:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb6cab0…
06-25 20:25:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x5921c8…
06-24 23:08:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x9fbcbb…
06-24 23:02:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	144	88¢	$127	0x70ae89…
06-24 21:36:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	160	88¢	$141	0x91e274…
06-24 19:19:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	113	60¢	$68	0xdb8f98…
06-24 19:13:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x56b7d0…
06-24 19:09:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xa22967…
06-24 19:07:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x1aebc7…
06-24 18:38:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	111	68¢	$75	0xdf8579…
06-24 17:32:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	SELL	290	95¢	$276	0x79c6d8…
06-24 17:28:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	BUY	290	95¢	$276	0xc4ecd6…
06-24 17:20:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x08c18b…
06-24 17:19:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	85	67¢	$57	0x017ff9…
06-24 17:18:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x03ff89…
06-24 17:18:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x54f6bd…
06-24 17:08:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x322eed…
06-24 17:07:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xc5c65b…
06-24 17:07:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x63a9dc…
06-24 11:16:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0xdd4a02…
06-24 05:56:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xc82192…
06-24 05:55:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x5cde7d…
06-24 05:54:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xe46bcd…
06-24 05:53:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xa21e9a…
06-24 05:51:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xe1b7ba…
06-24 05:49:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x57397f…
06-24 05:47:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xe984f6…
06-24 05:45:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x0991c1…
06-24 05:43:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x5efa20…
06-24 05:41:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xef4126…
06-24 05:39:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xf8f7f5…
06-24 05:03:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x63bc4b…
06-24 04:51:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x7a5836…
06-23 18:06:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x423873…
06-23 17:36:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x24e22a…
06-23 17:29:56	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x50be7e…
06-20 19:52:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	357	71¢	$254	0xd445e2…
06-16 09:10:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x54a997…
06-16 08:46:48	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	330	78¢	$257	0xb69875…
06-16 08:38:57	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x4905fb…
06-16 01:28:45	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x5282aa…
06-15 13:34:15	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	SELL	330	78¢	$258	0xefdd65…
06-15 13:23:39	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	SELL	290	60¢	$174	0xbe4701…
06-15 13:19:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xaaab88…
06-15 13:04:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x6ce053…
06-15 12:53:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xbb3efb…
06-15 12:43:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	SELL	24	60¢	$15	0x987b6b…
06-15 12:27:45	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x49bbf8…
06-15 12:08:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xa2fa39…
06-15 11:50:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf11397…
06-15 11:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x224972…
06-15 11:25:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x427631…
06-15 11:12:42	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xa397ce…