Far-Plan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

631

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-23 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Tech

78% — —

Other

22% 0% $-55

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-23	$-19	86¢	$-20	$-1	06-02 05:28
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes		+100	$12	11¢	$11	$-1	07-21 02:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	32	$2.7K	2,351	2,620	-270	open	—	06-15 13:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	19	$1.6K	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	06-24 19:19
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	19	$1.5K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	07-11 06:57
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	21	$1.4K	764	764	+0	open	—	07-19 22:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	19	$1.2K	737	699	+38	open	—	06-15 07:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	4	$902	490	490	+0	open	—	06-24 17:32
will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260630195126943	7	$811	470	470	+0	open	—	07-04 09:11
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	10	$797	456	456	+0	open	—	06-05 21:22
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	4	$795	409	409	+0	open	—	07-11 16:48
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	23	$778	764	764	+0	open	—	07-10 21:43
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	10	$649	416	416	+0	open	—	07-12 07:25
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	7	$639	400	400	+0	open	—	07-23 01:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	22	$607	448	448	+0	open	—	06-30 01:52
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	6	$599	615	615	+0	open	—	06-11 06:27
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	9	$563	594	594	+0	open	—	06-11 06:34
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260708011851342	3	$497	301	301	+0	open	—	07-10 02:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	12	$476	300	300	+0	open	—	06-30 18:00
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	12	$447	425	425	+0	open	—	07-10 21:52
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	18	$427	293	293	+0	open	—	07-20 20:28
will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260630195126945	7	$412	213	213	+0	open	—	07-04 09:10
will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	8	$402	316	290	+26	open	—	07-13 08:21
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260623205144680 546 515 119	7	$397	210	210	+0	open	—	07-08 20:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	6	$396	310	310	+0	open	—	06-30 16:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	9	$385	300	300	+0	open	—	07-19 21:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	5	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	06-29 23:21
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	8	$307	212	110	+102	open	—	07-15 07:00
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	7	$300	159	159	+0	open	—	07-10 23:15
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	8	$298	218	218	+0	open	—	06-24 18:38
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	11	$282	170	170	+0	open	—	07-12 13:30
will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260630195126944	4	$279	142	142	+0	open	—	07-04 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 12:36:19	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	SELL	114	44¢	$50	0xa71a85…
07-23 01:16:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	SELL	405	25¢	$101	0x577880…
07-23 01:11:15	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	SELL	258	77¢	$199	0x570ccd…
07-23 01:07:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x79a632…
07-22 20:33:15	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xb081db…
07-22 20:24:37	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x95ae91…
07-22 17:48:28	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc91fb2…
07-22 17:47:37	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0x628eab…
07-22 17:34:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	42	69¢	$29	0xb8051e…
07-22 16:07:16	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	SELL	88	74¢	$65	0x8910eb…
07-22 10:34:33	will elon post china on x this week 20260717142156667	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x6b6a49…
07-22 08:22:49	will elon post never on x this week 20260717142156663	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x623368…
07-21 17:24:37	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x1b4758…
07-21 02:29:06	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xde1d87…
07-21 02:15:57	will elon post china on x this week 20260717142156667	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xc36275…
07-20 20:28:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	175	90¢	$158	0xa218ca…
07-20 20:28:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8e8622…
07-20 19:48:48	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x6182f2…
07-20 19:48:19	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x39bb11…
07-20 19:39:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x179f18…
07-20 19:39:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xaea7c4…
07-20 19:39:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x572d58…
07-20 19:39:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x336bbb…
07-20 14:19:40	will elon post president on x this week 20260717142156659	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x2ad857…
07-20 11:39:36	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x33204a…
07-20 11:32:27	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x12ede4…
07-20 11:30:19	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x74cb88…
07-20 06:24:07	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xcd3475…
07-20 06:22:04	will elon post president on x this week 20260717142156659	No	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0x32c6f6…
07-20 06:21:48	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x7a3970…
07-20 06:21:46	will elon post soccer on x this week 20260717142156658	No	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0x030c29…
07-20 06:02:39	will elon post never on x this week 20260710173822740	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x062052…
07-19 22:08:39	will elon post crypto or bitcoin on x this week 20260717142325185	No	BUY	91	84¢	$76	0xe682ad…
07-19 22:00:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x7de304…
07-19 22:00:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa37a35…
07-19 21:59:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0xb7bc4a…
07-19 21:58:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x52d1e9…
07-19 21:58:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	63	88¢	$56	0x905095…
07-19 21:54:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x6cb4bd…
07-19 21:53:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x42fc68…
07-19 21:52:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x30bc39…
07-19 21:52:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x4415bf…
07-19 21:50:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x364d81…
07-19 21:50:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xb1bb90…
07-19 21:50:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xfdc088…
07-19 21:49:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x10517a…
07-19 21:46:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xfb9924…
07-19 21:46:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0x2aa325…
07-19 21:46:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x25a8c5…
07-19 21:45:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xe7c700…
07-19 21:45:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xdf6c44…
07-19 21:44:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x6065e4…
07-19 21:44:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	71	88¢	$62	0x001ebc…
07-19 21:44:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x94bc49…
07-19 21:00:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xacbac6…
07-19 20:36:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x08103b…
07-19 20:15:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd7d2d4…
07-19 20:15:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xef86c3…
07-19 19:35:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x676d72…
07-19 19:30:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x7d418e…
07-19 19:28:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x866f58…
07-19 19:28:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x07296b…
07-19 19:26:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xf12d6c…
07-19 19:26:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xccce8d…
07-19 19:26:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6020d9…
07-19 19:26:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xb1c82e…
07-19 18:28:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xdeabdd…
07-19 18:23:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xd8824f…
07-19 18:23:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x4d04c0…
07-19 17:54:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	105	68¢	$71	0x960776…
07-19 14:17:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x809f4c…
07-19 14:17:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb63e83…
07-19 11:58:36	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xf69e53…
07-19 06:11:16	will elon post football on x this week 20260710173822734	No	BUY	195	92¢	$179	0x858104…
07-19 06:10:58	will elon post soccer on x this week 20260710173822735	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3d23fc…
07-17 12:38:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7bb82a…
07-17 12:37:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbd0753…
07-17 12:37:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x5b1cf6…
07-17 12:37:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x6acb7b…
07-17 03:00:24	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x584257…
07-16 18:51:38	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe92778…
07-16 11:52:55	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	92	18¢	$17	0x4cef6b…
07-16 11:52:40	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xbdaae8…
07-16 08:19:59	will grok 5 be released by august 15 2026 20260710195520920	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa065e5…
07-16 05:47:53	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	117	22¢	$26	0xee1429…
07-16 04:22:04	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	117	18¢	$21	0x85d0ac…
07-16 04:21:52	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa415fc…
07-16 00:34:40	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x5492a9…
07-15 20:31:25	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x36134e…
07-15 11:56:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	273	30¢	$82	0x7ac075…
07-15 10:51:20	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf6d36a…
07-15 10:12:26	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x0495ec…
07-15 09:16:23	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf6aea9…
07-15 09:15:56	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x64000c…
07-15 09:15:56	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x23df23…
07-15 08:10:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xa0d69e…
07-15 08:10:11	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xf90922…
07-15 08:10:01	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xbf1286…
07-15 08:10:01	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x019cde…
07-15 08:09:59	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb470bd…