Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$303

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,226

lifetime

Volume

$108.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-28 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 50% +$303

Other

11% — —

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	32	$9.3K	4,813	4,813	+0	open	—	06-17 23:58
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	57	$8.4K	5,853	5,853	+0	open	—	07-13 14:42
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	84	$7.7K	9,160	2,121	+7,039	open	—	06-17 22:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	81	$7.6K	5,711	5,711	+0	open	—	06-21 22:23
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	222	$6.7K	6,207	6,207	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	225	$5.8K	6,149	6,149	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	155	$5.4K	4,642	4,319	+323	Yes	+$377	04-25 21:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	25	$4.7K	5,528	0	+5,528	open	—	06-22 02:45
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	83	$4.4K	5,696	5,696	+0	open	—	06-21 22:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	121	$4.4K	3,991	3,991	+0	open	—	04-25 17:01
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	105	$4.0K	9,949	10,048	-98	open	—	06-17 23:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	122	$3.8K	4,041	4,041	+0	open	—	04-25 17:01
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	55	$3.4K	5,481	2,275	+3,206	open	—	07-13 14:17
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	27	$3.2K	1,764	1,764	+0	open	—	07-08 04:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	100	$2.3K	3,209	3,207	+2	No	$-74	04-25 21:00
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-11 00:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	57	$1.7K	1,511	1,511	+0	open	—	04-25 21:00
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	3	$1.5K	1,500	228	+1,272	open	—	06-11 00:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	16	$1.3K	869	869	+0	open	—	07-14 17:46
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	3	$1.2K	984	533	+450	open	—	06-11 14:31
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	28	$1.2K	1,106	1,106	+0	open	—	07-15 15:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	68	$1.1K	2,046	2,546	-500	open	—	07-06 18:53
israel closes its airspace by june 8	7	$1.1K	580	559	+21	open	—	06-08 12:13
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$971	500	500	+0	open	—	06-22 01:37
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	7	$966	934	934	+0	open	—	07-27 13:19
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	2	$877	480	480	+0	open	—	07-19 09:47
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	24	$829	5,040	0	+5,040	open	—	06-22 02:45
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	19	$776	1,196	1,196	+0	open	—	07-14 17:47
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	3	$682	400	400	+0	open	—	07-28 09:43
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	9	$680	342	342	+0	open	—	07-27 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 09:43:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x5fb0e3…
07-27 19:08:40	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	108	48¢	$52	0x7a2d98…
07-27 19:08:31	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	SELL	117	89¢	$104	0x5d9488…
07-27 18:34:40	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x7f561c…
07-27 18:26:37	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	262	38¢	$99	0xf9f0f2…
07-27 14:57:10	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x83f0ec…
07-27 13:19:37	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	No	SELL	501	99¢	$495	0xd16ddc…
07-27 11:48:07	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x0457c2…
07-27 09:19:43	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0x9bb364…
07-27 08:52:33	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6bb65a…
07-27 08:52:30	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51639d…
07-27 08:52:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2df581…
07-27 08:52:27	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ef36e…
07-27 08:52:27	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74b5a2…
07-27 08:44:55	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	No	BUY	501	87¢	$435	0x216979…
07-27 07:07:30	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc03846…
07-27 06:39:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe30fec…
07-27 06:15:21	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xd97a9a…
07-27 04:47:12	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0xdf2c5f…
07-27 04:39:19	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	BUY	342	99¢	$338	0x142e10…
07-27 04:38:57	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0xb4ddf0…
07-27 04:38:45	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	SELL	393	3¢	$12	0x1fc608…
07-27 04:38:16	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x858668…
07-27 04:29:57	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x7d75a2…
07-27 04:29:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	Yes	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x0742f3…
07-27 04:29:27	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	297	88¢	$261	0x3c2bf7…
07-27 01:26:34	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	316	2¢	$7	0x4800f9…
07-26 05:01:31	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	316	6¢	$19	0x9b39ac…
07-26 02:11:42	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x8e69e3…
07-26 02:11:28	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x3a5932…
07-26 02:08:37	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xc53407…
07-24 17:19:31	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x913134…
07-24 17:09:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	2,976	0¢	$3	0x4c1866…
07-24 17:08:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x8a5f20…
07-24 17:07:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8f7558…
07-24 17:06:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	1,951	0¢	$2	0x37ea50…
07-24 17:06:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x01292d…
07-24 17:06:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x121c93…
07-24 17:05:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xcd344e…
07-24 17:04:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	239	0¢	$0	0x2ed9c9…
07-24 17:02:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3cc36e…
07-24 17:01:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd0ebb7…
07-24 17:00:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xce1082…
07-24 17:00:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	2,004	0¢	$2	0x7e305b…
07-24 17:00:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	1,182	0¢	$1	0x858771…
07-24 17:00:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0xae431b…
07-24 17:00:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xc402b5…
07-24 17:00:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	1,921	0¢	$2	0x92dc22…
07-24 17:00:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	1,950	0¢	$2	0x9e3879…
07-24 17:00:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	1,764	0¢	$2	0x8e919f…
07-24 17:00:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd36353…
07-24 16:59:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x76d047…
07-24 16:59:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x770fa4…
07-24 16:59:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	1,651	0¢	$5	0xf2b472…
07-24 16:59:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x1d3584…
07-24 16:58:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	348	0¢	$1	0xd92930…
07-24 16:58:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0xf1b992…
07-24 16:58:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x6e9b88…
07-24 16:58:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	438	0¢	$1	0x5f01e0…
07-24 16:58:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	1,412	0¢	$3	0x7f3f04…
07-24 16:57:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xb8597d…
07-24 16:57:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xd16be0…
07-24 16:55:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	1,041	1¢	$10	0x264f18…
07-24 16:54:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x810704…
07-23 17:28:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	98	19¢	$19	0x2c915b…
07-23 17:23:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xbe386c…
07-23 16:27:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x2a00e6…
07-23 16:24:09	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	103	20¢	$21	0x8fe194…
07-23 16:20:49	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	BUY	335	5¢	$18	0x624c59…
07-23 16:20:12	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	103	20¢	$21	0x005602…
07-23 13:53:57	will spy dip to 720 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x4080a9…
07-23 13:53:37	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa3cee5…
07-23 13:22:10	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xb25eb3…
07-23 08:35:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	123	11¢	$13	0xd6a611…
07-23 07:46:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x20aed7…
07-23 06:58:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xd2e470…
07-23 06:58:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x709218…
07-21 14:35:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf5f599…
07-20 20:02:12	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeb4003…
07-20 20:01:58	meta up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8f21a7…
07-20 17:10:31	googl up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd1edb6…
07-20 17:09:43	msft up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x28171f…
07-20 17:07:46	aapl up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x549547…
07-20 16:27:30	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x49187b…
07-20 16:04:21	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xd457a5…
07-20 16:04:12	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x852e77…
07-20 15:29:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x4edaac…
07-20 15:29:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xce7ecc…
07-20 15:29:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xbab6e0…
07-20 15:29:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x608267…
07-20 15:29:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x442a61…
07-20 15:29:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xa5d641…
07-20 15:29:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x5d3c3e…
07-20 15:24:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x10d2a4…
07-20 15:24:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x4bd719…
07-20 15:22:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x131e45…
07-20 05:05:07	will nvda reach 224 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	99	18¢	$18	0xd135b6…
07-20 03:30:18	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x22a43c…
07-20 03:28:49	will nvda reach 232 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	176	8¢	$14	0x03874b…
07-19 15:45:34	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x2f4b03…