(anonymous) 0x652bff…b3f5c2
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$822
Hit rate
78.4%
Resolved
380
Trades
6,316
lifetime
Volume
$208.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$9.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 10-30 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
44% 54% +$2,879
Other
33% 39% +$2,360
Tech
22% 57% +$2,504
Crypto
1% 35% +$826
Sports
0% 100% +$80
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,082 $2,614 66¢ $2.7K +$101 10-29 17:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +4,201 $2,068 52¢ $2.2K +$138 10-30 18:47
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,110 $546 18¢ $719 +$173 10-30 13:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -706 -$555 85¢ $-603 -$49 06-14 21:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +400 $234 100¢ $399 +$165 10-02 09:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes -400 -$393 99¢ $-395 -$2 10-13 07:18
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50,096 $249 1¢ $276 +$26 10-23 08:12
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,066 $543 26¢ $272 -$271 10-19 02:02
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +315 -$3 83¢ $261 +$264 10-19 02:01
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +735 $173 31¢ $228 +$55 10-30 04:06
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +239 $114 70¢ $167 +$53 09-24 02:34
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,283 $115 12¢ $160 +$46 10-28 08:43
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +350 $170 45¢ $158 -$12 10-07 07:45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +162 $121 90¢ $146 +$25 10-19 06:13
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +788 $123 18¢ $138 +$15 10-30 16:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -716 -$139 15¢ $-104 +$35 06-14 21:09
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +1,242 $45 5¢ $59 +$14 10-16 18:05
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 $48 28¢ $55 +$7 10-28 08:34
russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad Yes +1,878 $77 3¢ $54 -$22 10-29 17:56
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +32,930 $33 0¢ $49 +$16 10-23 05:30
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +190 -$7 22¢ $43 +$50 10-28 02:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,000 $60 3¢ $32 -$28 09-21 05:40
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +27,626 $7 0¢ $28 +$21 10-28 07:28
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +400 -$28 6¢ $22 +$50 10-29 20:50
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +100 $20 18¢ $18 -$2 10-09 07:58
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +165 $41 11¢ $17 -$24 10-19 06:13
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4,534 $21 0¢ $16 -$5 10-27 01:12
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +548 $22 2¢ $14 -$8 10-28 16:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $22 14¢ $14 -$8 10-23 18:37
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +100 $13 12¢ $12 -$1 10-30 15:49