Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$303

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,322

lifetime

Volume

$111.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-18 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% 50% +$303

Other

13% — —

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	32	$9.3K	4,813	4,813	+0	open	—	06-17 23:58
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	57	$8.4K	5,853	5,853	+0	open	—	07-13 14:42
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	84	$7.7K	9,160	2,121	+7,039	open	—	06-17 22:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	81	$7.6K	5,711	5,711	+0	open	—	06-21 22:23
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	222	$6.7K	6,207	6,207	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	225	$5.8K	6,149	6,149	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	155	$5.4K	4,642	4,319	+323	Yes	+$377	04-25 21:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	25	$4.7K	5,528	0	+5,528	open	—	06-22 02:45
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	83	$4.4K	5,696	5,696	+0	open	—	06-21 22:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	121	$4.4K	3,991	3,991	+0	open	—	04-25 17:01
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	105	$4.0K	9,949	10,048	-98	open	—	06-17 23:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	122	$3.8K	4,041	4,041	+0	open	—	04-25 17:01
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	55	$3.4K	5,481	2,275	+3,206	open	—	07-13 14:17
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	27	$3.2K	1,764	1,764	+0	open	—	07-08 04:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	100	$2.3K	3,209	3,207	+2	No	$-74	04-25 21:00
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-11 00:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	57	$1.7K	1,511	1,511	+0	open	—	04-25 21:00
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	3	$1.5K	1,500	228	+1,272	open	—	06-11 00:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	16	$1.3K	869	869	+0	open	—	07-14 17:46
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	3	$1.2K	984	533	+450	open	—	06-11 14:31
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	28	$1.2K	1,106	1,106	+0	open	—	07-15 15:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	68	$1.1K	2,046	2,546	-500	open	—	07-06 18:53
will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	6	$1.1K	966	859	+107	open	—	08-07 02:40
israel closes its airspace by june 8	7	$1.1K	580	559	+21	open	—	06-08 12:13
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$971	500	500	+0	open	—	06-22 01:37
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	7	$966	934	934	+0	open	—	07-27 13:19
Fed rate hike in 2026?	51	$914	713	713	+0	open	—	08-04 17:57
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	2	$877	480	480	+0	open	—	07-19 09:47
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	24	$829	5,040	0	+5,040	open	—	06-22 02:45
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	19	$776	1,196	1,196	+0	open	—	07-14 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 13:34:45	btc updown 5m 1787059800	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x133182…
08-18 12:41:21	will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x82c469…
08-18 08:44:19	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x0e17fe…
08-18 08:44:18	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x024729…
08-18 08:40:21	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xb9b907…
08-18 08:33:49	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x953743…
08-18 08:32:40	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x2d67d4…
08-18 08:32:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xb04148…
08-18 08:32:31	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xbc1d6d…
08-18 08:23:52	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x4dac02…
08-18 08:19:30	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	287	37¢	$106	0x9f893a…
08-18 07:55:06	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	202	64¢	$129	0x22ea81…
08-17 18:01:12	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xacf7ec…
08-17 18:00:34	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	SELL	85	20¢	$17	0xc14dba…
08-17 17:49:36	will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264	Yes	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x3a9013…
08-17 10:13:33	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	151	91¢	$137	0xbb221b…
08-17 10:13:22	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	156	10¢	$16	0xa7eba7…
08-17 07:39:45	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xc97243…
08-16 19:01:18	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbcd337…
08-16 18:48:09	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	518	12¢	$62	0xb9af48…
08-16 18:47:06	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x65d73f…
08-16 18:46:46	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xaef716…
08-16 18:45:07	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xa651c9…
08-16 18:42:40	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	103	20¢	$21	0x0b5b4d…
08-16 18:38:33	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	181	91¢	$164	0x5c6b71…
08-16 18:38:30	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	187	10¢	$19	0x77ba45…
08-15 19:45:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xa48d09…
08-15 17:42:55	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xe40270…
08-15 16:12:04	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x71d9f4…
08-15 16:07:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x1d80bd…
08-15 16:07:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	70	83¢	$58	0x4ed916…
08-15 15:36:52	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	207	18¢	$37	0x6432d7…
08-13 12:55:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x97c689…
08-13 09:16:40	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$4	0xd5fc65…
08-13 09:09:22	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	204	54¢	$109	0xde094a…
08-12 15:12:52	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa83b66…
08-11 19:06:10	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x588c52…
08-10 14:19:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	46	13¢	$6	0x535796…
08-09 21:38:55	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x3be894…
08-07 08:39:18	btc updown 5m 1786091700	Up	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x6dd530…
08-07 02:46:07	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723225144065	Yes	BUY	103	22¢	$23	0x3c7097…
08-07 02:40:57	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	555	97¢	$538	0xa5ea7d…
08-07 01:59:51	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6af265…
08-07 01:13:00	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	555	51¢	$282	0x7cb837…
08-06 03:33:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	55	58¢	$32	0x0352bf…
08-06 01:43:30	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0xf74265…
08-04 20:44:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x5fb31b…
08-04 17:57:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	63¢	$140	0x658a3e…
08-04 17:57:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x788d78…
08-04 17:57:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x2ede2f…
08-04 17:57:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf7ae6e…
08-04 17:57:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x90ca7c…
08-04 17:57:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	63¢	$62	0x6728d8…
08-04 17:57:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x41c123…
08-04 17:57:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0x02caf3…
08-04 17:57:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xfd3bc5…
08-04 17:57:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	63¢	$61	0xc1c5ad…
08-04 17:57:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7bbc84…
08-04 17:57:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x160202…
08-04 17:31:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x4f5f81…
08-04 17:23:02	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x79102c…
08-04 17:10:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x385c9a…
08-04 17:10:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x7ebc4a…
08-04 17:10:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x9394aa…
08-04 17:09:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xdf0934…
08-04 17:09:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xa0b1ab…
08-04 17:09:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x25f6c2…
08-04 17:09:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xc2209c…
08-04 17:09:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xb9edbc…
08-04 17:09:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xb8ba76…
08-04 17:09:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x9a2b95…
08-04 17:09:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x357575…
08-04 17:09:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x231917…
08-04 17:05:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xbac551…
08-04 17:04:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xea367f…
08-04 17:04:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x6f8f7a…
08-04 17:04:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xfa9606…
08-04 17:04:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x8dcce8…
08-04 17:04:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xc87a20…
08-04 17:04:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x86c942…
08-04 17:04:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x18e547…
08-04 17:04:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x179fbc…
08-04 17:04:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0x16bd34…
08-04 17:04:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x0928d6…
08-04 17:04:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xecc6c5…
08-04 17:04:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xc1d73d…
08-04 17:04:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xbe68e4…
08-04 17:04:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x9b58b2…
08-04 17:04:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x1792cf…
08-04 17:04:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x027047…
08-04 16:57:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0xef707e…
08-04 16:38:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0x1aef44…
08-01 03:47:18	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	196	45¢	$88	0x18b628…
07-31 15:25:54	mu above 850 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	51	80¢	$41	0x1c2c89…
07-31 14:17:12	mu above 850 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x4af525…
07-31 07:31:32	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	102	63¢	$64	0x17f5d8…
07-31 07:31:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x2ccf51…
07-28 09:43:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x5fb0e3…
07-27 19:08:40	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	SELL	108	48¢	$52	0x7a2d98…
07-27 19:08:31	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	SELL	117	89¢	$104	0x5d9488…