Realized P&L
-$711
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
4,999
Trades
32,145
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$7
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-27 02:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
63% 29% -$478
Politics
21% 38% +$52
Crypto
8% 17% -$144
Sports
6% 27% -$139
Tech
2% 37% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +19 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-26 01:17
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +15 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-26 11:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 10-27 03:18
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +16 $1 3¢ $0 $0 10-26 13:35
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +13 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-26 13:46
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +9 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-27 01:35
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-26 23:47
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +13 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-26 17:11
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +9 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-26 19:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-27 01:56
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-26 20:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +15 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-26 03:36
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +4 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-24 19:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-26 00:02
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-25 13:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +4 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-24 09:51
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-26 23:28
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-21 16:03
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-18 23:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? Yes +33 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-19 01:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-27 03:18
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? No +1 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 10-19 19:28
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? No +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-18 20:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-24 08:47
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +8 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-24 20:03
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-17 13:11
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-24 03:31
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-26 21:53
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-25 02:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-20 06:21