Realized P&L
-$723
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
52.2%
Resolved
5,107
Trades
33,126
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$6
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-03 07:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
63% 30% -$482
Politics
21% 39% +$45
Crypto
8% 17% -$145
Sports
6% 27% -$139
Tech
2% 39% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +17 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-31 19:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +25 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-31 20:10
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +18 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-30 08:40
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +14 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-27 13:29
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +9 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-02 17:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +4 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-31 19:38
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-02 00:46
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-03 01:02
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 22:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-01 19:44
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-02 16:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +15 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-30 17:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 11-02 17:43
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$1 10-31 18:34
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +18 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-02 12:30
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:41
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes +11 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-01 17:34
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +18 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 19:57
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-25 13:16
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +26 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 22:03
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-31 16:12
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-01 16:50
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-31 23:48
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +9 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 08:57
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +16 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-01 21:44
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-21 16:03
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 23:10
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-03 01:19
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-19 10:13
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-31 19:50