Realized P&L (30d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved (30d)
116
Trades (30d)
2,229
32,911 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$613
$11.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$10
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-01 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
63% 29% -$479
Politics
21% 38% +$52
Crypto
8% 17% -$145
Sports
6% 27% -$139
Tech
2% 39% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes +32 $1 5¢ $2 +$0 11-01 01:16
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +18 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 10-30 08:40
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-30 08:53
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +25 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-31 20:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-31 07:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +17 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-31 19:39
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 11-01 00:25
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +14 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-27 13:29
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +27 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-29 22:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +15 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-30 17:12
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-31 16:12
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +15 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-31 23:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +4 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 10-24 09:51
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 22:00
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$1 10-31 18:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +15 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-30 05:41
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +9 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 08:57
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:41
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +4 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-31 19:38
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-25 13:16
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +18 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 19:57
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 23:10
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +9 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-29 19:59
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-21 16:03
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +26 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-28 22:03
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-17 13:11
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +2 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-19 10:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-31 05:46
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-31 19:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-25 13:37