Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
79.6%
Resolved (7d)
65
Trades (7d)
1,094
32,706 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$340
$11.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$10
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-30 14:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
63% 29% -$479
Politics
21% 38% +$52
Crypto
8% 17% -$144
Sports
6% 27% -$139
Tech
2% 37% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +48 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-30 14:08
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +33 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 10-30 15:13
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-30 08:53
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +18 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 10-30 08:40
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +46 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-30 04:49
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +15 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 10-29 17:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 10-30 14:07
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +14 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-27 13:29
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +8 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-30 15:16
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-30 02:23
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +26 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 22:03
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +9 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-30 06:36
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 22:00
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +4 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-24 19:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-30 09:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +15 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-30 05:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-30 10:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +11 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-30 02:13
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:41
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +9 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 08:57
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +18 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 19:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +4 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-24 09:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-30 05:23
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 23:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-28 10:46
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-21 16:03
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +9 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-29 19:59
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-25 13:16
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +27 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-29 22:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-29 11:59