Realized P&L
+$473
Unrealized P&L
+$1.33K
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
352
lifetime
Volume
$104.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$297
Open exposure
$43.1K
11 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-30 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
52% 88% +$392
Tech
34% 88% +$81
Politics
14% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +17,422 $15,681 95¢ $16.5K +$862 10-10 03:15
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +10,745 $9,644 92¢ $9.8K +$188 10-30 21:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +5,801 $5,560 99¢ $5.7K +$166 10-27 07:44
US recession by end of 2026? No +3,000 $2,790 94¢ $2.8K +$15 10-23 11:39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +3,015 $2,588 86¢ $2.6K -$10 10-25 04:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +2,300 $2,090 90¢ $2.1K -$31 10-30 21:51
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +1,358 $1,292 96¢ $1.3K +$11 10-23 18:43
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +1,361 $1,260 93¢ $1.3K +$0 10-28 06:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,000 $930 94¢ $935 +$5 10-25 23:10
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $10 45¢ $9 -$1 10-28 20:28
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1 -$123 68¢ $1 +$124 10-07 14:24