(anonymous) 0x4148f6…33c6a6 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$526
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
74
Trades
572
lifetime
Volume
$7.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-20
last 11-04 05:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
57% 68% +$527
Politics
34% 50% -$18
Crypto
5% 65% +$16
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +383 $274 89¢ $340 +$66 10-12 09:59
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +553 $304 56¢ $307 +$3 10-11 22:53
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +244 $145 86¢ $210 +$65 10-29 19:02
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? Yes +191 $132 88¢ $169 +$37 10-12 09:31
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +227 $146 66¢ $149 +$3 09-08 06:47
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +210 $151 54¢ $114 -$37 09-12 14:09
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +118 $92 92¢ $108 +$16 09-04 08:36
Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? No +103 $72 88¢ $91 +$19 10-20 18:02
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +197 $83 42¢ $84 +$1 11-04 05:45
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +257 $95 32¢ $83 -$12 09-05 00:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? No +67 $53 94¢ $63 +$9 10-20 18:13
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +170 $64 26¢ $44 -$20 09-07 19:45
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes +40 $28 99¢ $40 +$12 08-22 04:38
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +40 $14 99¢ $39 +$25 09-24 09:05
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +211 $57 16¢ $33 -$24 09-06 11:05
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +120 $18 21¢ $25 +$7 10-14 02:37
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +176 $9 12¢ $21 +$13 10-26 18:32
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +40 $23 52¢ $21 -$2 09-08 07:47
Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election? No — +15 $12 100¢ $15 +$3 09-03 05:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +35 $14 32¢ $11 -$3 09-11 23:48
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$1 08-19 11:08
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +63 $9 14¢ $9 -$1 08-28 02:26
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +92 $15 8¢ $8 -$7 09-12 01:05
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? Yes +6 $2 95¢ $6 +$4 08-29 15:32
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +5 $3 87¢ $4 +$1 08-18 21:12
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +60 $8 7¢ $4 -$4 09-21 00:11
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +50 $8 6¢ $3 -$6 08-31 22:40
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +88 $5 3¢ $3 -$3 09-13 22:56
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +40 $25 1¢ $1 -$24 09-24 08:58
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +0 $0 74¢ $0 +$0 09-06 00:12