(anonymous) 0x11f8a2…a0ed31
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.90K
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
209
Trades
2,047
lifetime
Volume
$189.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$26.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-22 16:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
71% 58% -$3,926
Tech
18% 66% +$158
Politics
6% 52% -$2,410
Crypto
5% 61% +$1,435
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +11,064 $7,343 78¢ $8.7K +$1,343 10-18 15:43
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,843 $3,275 88¢ $3.4K +$88 10-13 20:59
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,808 $301 99¢ $2.8K +$2,468 09-30 18:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +21,288 $2,063 12¢ $2.7K +$598 10-06 16:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +2,528 $1,576 68¢ $1.7K +$130 10-08 18:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,628 $1,047 91¢ $1.5K +$431 10-02 00:20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +1,027 $513 98¢ $1.0K +$493 10-08 17:58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +1,906 $1,497 32¢ $620 -$878 10-13 16:09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,572 $1,380 38¢ $589 -$791 10-07 17:45
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +569 $76 98¢ $556 +$481 09-30 13:18
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,466 $529 22¢ $530 +$1 10-13 20:53
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +672 $490 57¢ $386 -$104 09-11 17:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +332 $213 85¢ $283 +$70 10-02 00:20
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $232 38¢ $247 +$16 09-26 08:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +594 $138 26¢ $157 +$19 10-16 20:10
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +265 $151 57¢ $152 +$2 07-15 21:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +182 $77 82¢ $150 +$74 07-22 18:53
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +163 $134 78¢ $127 -$7 07-16 21:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +934 $290 12¢ $117 -$173 10-03 15:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +173 $15 62¢ $108 +$92 10-07 05:27
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +232 $80 41¢ $95 +$15 07-08 23:07
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +97 $72 92¢ $89 +$17 07-30 16:29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +116 $73 72¢ $84 +$11 07-11 16:38
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +573 $40 15¢ $83 +$43 08-12 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +193 $81 42¢ $82 +$1 09-29 18:31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +90 $56 86¢ $77 +$21 07-10 19:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +867 $128 8¢ $65 -$63 08-05 12:12
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +4,084 $538 1¢ $57 -$481 10-13 16:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +152 $29 33¢ $51 +$22 09-29 18:33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +410 $72 8¢ $35 -$37 07-23 13:31