Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

202

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 11-02 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 69% -$101

Other

18% 53% +$67

Politics

4% 50% -$123

Tech

1% 100% +$17

Sports

1% 50% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5,000	$10	0¢	$8	-$2	09-13 23:21
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+753	$10	1¢	$7	-$3	09-13 23:21
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+3,333	$10	0¢	$5	-$5	09-13 23:22
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+119	$38	1¢	$1	-$38	07-24 23:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?	3	$304	333	333	+0	Yes	+$104	09-30 20:32
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$228	674	674	+0	No	-$143	06-09 14:52
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	4	$220	171	171	+0	open	—	10-05 04:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:25 UTC	3	$220	227	0	+227	Up	+$7	09-29 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$210	227	0	+227	Up	-$8	09-28 04:18
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$206	107	107	+0	open	—	08-30 04:13
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$206	107	107	+0	open	—	09-01 14:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	2	$200	127	127	+0	No	+$0	10-13 22:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 05:00 UTC	2	$200	203	0	+203	Up	+$3	09-30 05:13
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2pm et	2	$200	206	0	+206	Down	+$6	09-30 18:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	2	$195	125	125	+0	Yes	-$5	09-06 02:10
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	2	$163	112	112	+0	No	-$37	10-28 18:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	2	$150	193	0	+193	Yes	-$150	10-22 16:05
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$134	78	78	+0	No	+$17	09-13 03:55
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	6	$130	176	0	+176	open	—	10-05 02:51
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?	2	$128	198	198	+0	open	—	09-03 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$121	119	12	+106	Down	+$7	10-08 13:49
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	2	$119	212	212	+0	Yes	+$51	08-26 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	2	$114	95	95	+0	No	+$34	08-28 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$110	113	0	+113	Up	+$3	10-08 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:05 UTC	2	$110	118	0	+118	Up	+$8	10-05 05:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:05 UTC	2	$110	120	0	+120	Down	-$8	09-29 00:09
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	2	$108	71	70	+0	Yes	+$25	06-25 16:50
bitcoin above 83400 on september 28 2026 6pm et	3	$106	109	7	+102	No	-$2	09-28 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	2	$105	108	0	+108	Up	+$3	10-05 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	2	$105	110	0	+110	Down	+$5	10-05 03:38
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026	2	$104	133	133	+0	Yes	+$24	08-27 14:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	2	$103	56	56	+0	No	+$3	09-14 23:11
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?	2	$103	170	170	+0	open	—	09-04 23:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC	3	$102	104	3	+101	Down	+$1	09-29 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:49:27	bitcoin above 78600 on november 1 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xda7e7b…
11-01 13:58:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0788aa…
10-29 05:19:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x4aeec1…
10-29 03:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbe66f3…
10-28 18:41:41	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	112	56¢	$63	0x9da4bb…
10-25 17:30:29	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0x61f08e…
10-25 12:58:41	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0x849449…
10-25 12:57:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xcdf407…
10-25 12:47:23	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	34	19¢	$7	0x508def…
10-25 12:46:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x19ce5a…
10-25 12:41:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x76e2af…
10-24 13:02:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1eecd4…
10-23 02:51:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xcdca3f…
10-22 16:05:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x228b3a…
10-21 19:13:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x78bde3…
10-21 11:22:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xe78353…
10-21 11:16:21	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4b3db2…
10-20 06:03:43	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x610623…
10-19 11:12:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x175774…
10-19 03:09:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb7efe0…
10-18 17:08:15	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x608319…
10-14 15:16:00	will bitcoin dip to 78k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc270f0…
10-13 22:10:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0x547a6f…
10-11 23:07:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe44c2d…
10-10 20:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e1d38…
10-10 20:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa1d233…
10-10 00:48:22	Another Codex outage in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0253f4…
10-08 18:35:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x1f4d92…
10-08 18:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0xa43069…
10-08 18:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x49bf9d…
10-08 18:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x339563…
10-08 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbc0712…
10-08 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x72150b…
10-08 18:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbfaf09…
10-08 17:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x823e50…
10-08 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xec721e…
10-08 13:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5c8368…
10-08 13:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x075cb2…
10-08 13:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0c91e5…
10-08 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xab6988…
10-08 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xe0a7ff…
10-08 13:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x12fa2d…
10-08 13:30:47	Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x1c6fbc…
10-08 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd0c066…
10-08 12:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x9655c4…
10-08 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0xfe22f1…
10-08 12:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb712d5…
10-08 12:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdc67e1…
10-08 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xf7b043…
10-08 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa2d6d8…
10-07 23:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf516e0…
10-07 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb16601…
10-07 18:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xe272f9…
10-07 18:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x307d1a…
10-07 18:04:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xb39aa2…
10-07 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xefd971…
10-07 18:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8a452b…
10-07 03:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2e410c…
10-07 02:20:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x91d50e…
10-06 18:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x29d284…
10-06 16:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x342fc0…
10-06 16:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7f97aa…
10-06 16:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xff1367…
10-06 16:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe66810…
10-06 15:35:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6e3098…
10-05 23:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d1071…
10-05 23:07:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5b031d…
10-05 23:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x8c5e9c…
10-05 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb54dad…
10-05 15:44:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf9b061…
10-05 05:08:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x86b833…
10-05 05:06:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x11ce3e…
10-05 04:56:32	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0xd32086…
10-05 04:48:38	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x9d7283…
10-05 03:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf84cd9…
10-05 03:58:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1816ac…
10-05 03:52:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4284be…
10-05 03:51:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0514a6…
10-05 03:49:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe73841…
10-05 03:38:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa09cd0…
10-05 03:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ab714…
10-05 03:33:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4241b3…
10-05 03:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xf46db4…
10-05 03:32:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x88cdbc…
10-05 03:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcab514…
10-05 03:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x32b1c4…
10-05 02:51:01	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x14711a…
10-05 02:49:37	Will José Luis Morey Requejo win the next Piura mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xa33563…
10-05 02:42:10	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x3d135c…
10-05 02:41:19	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x1304fb…
10-05 02:39:38	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x296201…
10-05 02:39:26	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb42682…
10-05 02:33:17	Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0xd8db4b…
10-04 18:34:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3c5bf9…
10-04 18:31:40	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 28 october 4 2026	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xcb1aa7…
10-04 15:46:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0da0d1…
10-03 23:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x880e75…
10-03 23:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa21a42…
10-03 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x38e7f5…
10-02 17:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x51cdb6…