Realized P&L
+$6.50K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.9K
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
443
Trades
10,734
lifetime
Volume
$386.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$61.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 10-26 21:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
42% 49% +$2,365
Politics
38% 61% +$2,828
Crypto
16% 45% +$401
Tech
4% 65% +$904
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +9,549 $3,434 94¢ $9.0K +$5,590 09-28 06:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,996 $4,459 92¢ $5.5K +$1,087 10-12 21:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +5,956 $1,807 64¢ $3.8K +$1,984 09-28 07:40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +2,829 $2,458 94¢ $2.7K +$193 10-25 17:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,676 $1,735 88¢ $2.4K +$634 10-21 08:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +3,051 $2,114 76¢ $2.3K +$220 10-25 07:02
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +2,665 $1,863 81¢ $2.2K +$296 10-21 13:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +5,938 $4,184 36¢ $2.2K -$2,025 10-06 02:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3,240 $1,040 64¢ $2.1K +$1,049 10-12 18:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,532 $1,843 82¢ $2.1K +$234 10-24 16:29
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,017 $1,830 98¢ $2.0K +$143 10-15 10:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,659 94¢ $1.9K +$211 09-20 16:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,136 $1,719 84¢ $1.8K +$64 10-24 23:00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,013 $1,250 88¢ $1.8K +$511 10-25 21:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,500 80¢ $1.6K +$110 07-30 13:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,748 $1,345 82¢ $1.4K +$89 10-25 00:24
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,509 $849 94¢ $1.4K +$562 10-19 01:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,421 $1,027 96¢ $1.4K +$330 10-20 10:19
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2,143 $962 61¢ $1.3K +$335 10-25 08:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,253 $1,108 100¢ $1.2K +$141 09-21 11:25
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +1,465 $1,021 84¢ $1.2K +$216 09-10 07:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +2,437 $1,218 50¢ $1.2K +$12 10-21 13:51
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1,327 $787 90¢ $1.2K +$400 10-25 08:15
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +1,215 $828 96¢ $1.2K +$332 10-22 09:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,240 $2,141 36¢ $1.2K -$991 10-15 11:25
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,133 $742 99¢ $1.1K +$374 10-16 08:24
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1,117 $886 97¢ $1.1K +$198 10-13 16:19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,142 $967 93¢ $1.1K +$94 10-22 07:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,083 $943 50¢ $1.1K +$109 10-21 12:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +1,048 $691 100¢ $1.0K +$352 10-20 13:52