Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.50K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.9K
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved (90d)
377
Trades (90d)
8,565
10,582 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$320.5K
$386.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$64.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 10-28 23:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
43% 49% +$2,365
Politics
37% 61% +$2,945
Crypto
16% 45% +$401
Tech
4% 65% +$904
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +9,549 $3,434 97¢ $9.3K +$5,829 09-28 06:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,996 $4,459 96¢ $5.8K +$1,327 10-12 21:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +5,956 $1,807 60¢ $3.5K +$1,739 09-28 07:40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +2,829 $2,458 95¢ $2.7K +$227 10-25 17:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,676 $1,735 96¢ $2.6K +$848 10-21 08:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +5,938 $4,184 40¢ $2.4K -$1,782 10-06 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +3,095 $2,148 76¢ $2.4K +$220 10-28 14:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +2,581 $1,884 86¢ $2.2K +$323 10-28 07:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3,240 $1,040 66¢ $2.1K +$1,082 10-12 18:10
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +2,665 $1,863 76¢ $2.0K +$176 10-21 13:30
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,017 $1,830 98¢ $2.0K +$137 10-15 10:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,269 $1,831 84¢ $1.9K +$86 10-27 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,659 94¢ $1.9K +$211 09-20 16:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,146 $1,364 86¢ $1.9K +$492 10-28 10:59
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2,520 $1,221 72¢ $1.8K +$582 10-28 15:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,500 82¢ $1.6K +$130 07-30 13:53
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,579 $909 96¢ $1.5K +$607 10-27 23:32
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,874 $1,317 77¢ $1.4K +$127 10-28 13:46
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +1,836 $1,415 78¢ $1.4K +$26 10-28 04:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,421 $1,027 100¢ $1.4K +$394 10-20 10:19
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +1,999 $1,278 68¢ $1.4K +$81 10-28 07:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,585 $989 80¢ $1.3K +$279 10-21 12:40
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1,327 $787 95¢ $1.3K +$473 10-25 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,253 $1,108 100¢ $1.2K +$141 09-21 11:25
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +1,465 $1,021 84¢ $1.2K +$216 09-10 07:11
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +1,215 $828 98¢ $1.2K +$356 10-22 09:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +2,437 $1,218 48¢ $1.2K -$37 10-21 13:51
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 Yes +2,083 $913 56¢ $1.2K +$242 10-19 18:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,240 $2,141 34¢ $1.1K -$1,024 10-15 11:25
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,133 $742 99¢ $1.1K +$375 10-16 08:24