Realized P&L
+$8.43K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.33K
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
499
Trades
11,310
lifetime
Volume
$413.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$60.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 11-01 07:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% +$4,032
Politics
36% 60% +$2,934
Crypto
17% 51% +$541
Tech
4% 66% +$921
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,996 $4,459 100¢ $6.0K +$1,537 10-12 21:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +6,046 $1,862 58¢ $3.5K +$1,660 10-30 14:10
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +3,807 $2,982 80¢ $3.0K +$45 11-01 02:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +3,721 $2,635 76¢ $2.8K +$212 10-30 08:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,775 $1,820 99¢ $2.7K +$927 10-30 01:58
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +2,829 $2,458 95¢ $2.7K +$235 10-25 17:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +6,137 $4,265 42¢ $2.6K -$1,703 10-30 14:08
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +2,304 $1,848 96¢ $2.2K +$352 11-01 06:46
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +2,581 $1,884 82¢ $2.1K +$232 10-28 07:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,385 $1,930 87¢ $2.1K +$145 10-30 01:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3,240 $1,040 62¢ $2.0K +$985 10-12 18:10
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +2,665 $1,863 74¢ $2.0K +$122 10-21 13:30
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,017 $1,830 97¢ $2.0K +$135 10-15 10:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,659 94¢ $1.9K +$231 09-20 16:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,246 $1,441 80¢ $1.8K +$367 10-31 02:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,500 83¢ $1.7K +$160 07-30 13:53
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,745 $1,064 94¢ $1.6K +$586 11-01 06:46
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,874 $1,317 86¢ $1.6K +$289 10-28 13:46
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +3,007 $1,499 52¢ $1.6K +$61 10-31 12:01
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1,693 $1,124 90¢ $1.5K +$408 11-01 06:45
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +2,099 $1,353 73¢ $1.5K +$178 10-31 17:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +2,397 $1,532 64¢ $1.5K -$10 10-31 23:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +2,937 $1,456 48¢ $1.4K -$32 10-31 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,253 $1,108 100¢ $1.3K +$144 09-21 11:25
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +1,465 $1,021 85¢ $1.2K +$224 09-10 07:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,240 $2,141 38¢ $1.2K -$926 10-15 11:25
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 Yes +2,406 $1,068 50¢ $1.2K +$123 10-31 06:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,585 $989 74¢ $1.2K +$176 10-21 12:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,782 $1,077 64¢ $1.1K +$73 10-31 07:29
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,351 $738 48¢ $1.1K +$393 10-30 14:26