Realized P&L
+$6.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.2K
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
487
Trades
11,234
lifetime
Volume
$408.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$66.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 10-31 07:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
43% 49% +$2,495
Politics
36% 61% +$2,945
Crypto
16% 50% +$531
Tech
4% 65% +$904
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,558 $3,442 97¢ $9.3K +$5,829 10-30 14:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,996 $4,459 99¢ $5.9K +$1,477 10-12 21:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6,046 $1,862 55¢ $3.3K +$1,479 10-30 14:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +3,721 $2,635 77¢ $2.9K +$230 10-30 08:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,137 $4,265 45¢ $2.7K -$1,518 10-30 14:08
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +2,829 $2,458 95¢ $2.7K +$234 10-25 17:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,775 $1,820 97¢ $2.7K +$872 10-30 01:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,581 $1,884 84¢ $2.2K +$297 10-28 07:51
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +2,602 $2,020 78¢ $2.0K +$22 10-31 07:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,385 $1,930 86¢ $2.0K +$109 10-30 01:22
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +2,665 $1,863 76¢ $2.0K +$176 10-21 13:30
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,017 $1,830 97¢ $2.0K +$133 10-15 10:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3,240 $1,040 60¢ $2.0K +$920 10-12 18:10
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +2,042 $1,598 96¢ $2.0K +$352 10-31 06:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,659 94¢ $1.9K +$221 09-20 16:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,246 $1,441 78¢ $1.7K +$299 10-31 02:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,500 82¢ $1.6K +$150 07-30 13:53
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,874 $1,317 86¢ $1.6K +$299 10-28 13:46
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,668 $991 95¢ $1.6K +$593 10-31 03:50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2,686 $1,319 55¢ $1.5K +$171 10-31 04:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +1,999 $1,278 72¢ $1.4K +$160 10-28 07:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,421 $1,027 100¢ $1.4K +$394 10-20 10:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +2,893 $1,435 48¢ $1.4K -$32 10-30 08:05
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1,425 $878 92¢ $1.3K +$426 10-30 08:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,240 $2,141 40¢ $1.3K -$862 10-15 11:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,406 $1,068 52¢ $1.3K +$195 10-31 06:55
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +1,465 $1,021 86¢ $1.3K +$231 09-10 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,253 $1,108 100¢ $1.3K +$144 09-21 11:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,886 $1,205 64¢ $1.2K -$7 10-29 16:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,585 $989 74¢ $1.2K +$176 10-21 12:40