Realized P&L (7d)
+$365
Unrealized P&L
+$12.9K
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved (7d)
31
Trades (7d)
768
10,798 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$32.6K
$390.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$61.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 10-27 14:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
42% 49% +$2,365
Politics
37% 61% +$2,828
Crypto
16% 45% +$401
Tech
4% 65% +$904
Sports
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +9,549 $3,434 96¢ $9.2K +$5,733 09-28 06:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,996 $4,459 94¢ $5.7K +$1,207 10-12 21:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +5,956 $1,807 64¢ $3.8K +$1,987 09-28 07:40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +2,829 $2,458 93¢ $2.6K +$166 10-25 17:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,676 $1,735 94¢ $2.5K +$794 10-21 08:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +3,051 $2,114 76¢ $2.3K +$220 10-25 07:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +5,938 $4,184 36¢ $2.2K -$2,028 10-06 02:26
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +2,532 $1,843 84¢ $2.1K +$272 10-24 16:29
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +2,665 $1,863 78¢ $2.1K +$202 10-21 13:30
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,017 $1,830 98¢ $2.0K +$145 10-15 10:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,269 $1,831 84¢ $1.9K +$63 10-27 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,659 94¢ $1.9K +$221 09-20 16:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3,240 $1,040 57¢ $1.9K +$823 10-12 18:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,013 $1,250 89¢ $1.8K +$541 10-25 21:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,500 82¢ $1.6K +$150 07-30 13:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +1,748 $1,345 82¢ $1.4K +$97 10-25 00:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,240 $2,141 42¢ $1.4K -$764 10-15 11:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,421 $1,027 96¢ $1.4K +$345 10-20 10:19
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,509 $849 90¢ $1.4K +$509 10-19 01:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,253 $1,108 100¢ $1.2K +$141 09-21 11:25
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +1,465 $1,021 85¢ $1.2K +$224 09-10 07:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +2,437 $1,218 51¢ $1.2K +$24 10-21 13:51
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +1,806 $1,145 68¢ $1.2K +$91 10-27 09:12
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2,143 $962 55¢ $1.2K +$214 10-25 08:35
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 Yes +2,083 $913 56¢ $1.2K +$242 10-19 18:23
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1,327 $787 86¢ $1.1K +$347 10-25 08:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,585 $989 72¢ $1.1K +$144 10-21 12:40
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +1,215 $828 92¢ $1.1K +$290 10-22 09:27
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,133 $742 99¢ $1.1K +$375 10-16 08:24
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +1,142 $967 93¢ $1.1K +$90 10-22 07:20