(anonymous) 0x0dba2a…1e2db9
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$220
Unrealized P&L
+$302
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
5,390
Trades
22,923
lifetime
Volume
$79.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-28 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 50% -$272
Other
43% 45% +$495
Politics
4% 37% +$9
Tech
0% 21% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 1155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +157 $107 100¢ $156 +$49 10-28 00:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +127 $61 79¢ $100 +$39 09-21 18:14
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +60 $21 98¢ $59 +$37 10-12 17:37
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $55 75¢ $52 -$3 10-27 15:55
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 10-25 18:00
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +45 $8 92¢ $42 +$33 10-20 21:09
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $16 98¢ $39 +$23 10-13 22:07
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +40 $29 97¢ $38 +$9 10-20 20:44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +40 $33 94¢ $38 +$4 10-17 00:59
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +50 $29 72¢ $36 +$7 09-26 01:10
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +36 $34 96¢ $34 +$0 10-05 00:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $29 84¢ $33 +$4 10-25 22:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $29 66¢ $33 +$3 10-22 21:29
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +40 $33 82¢ $33 $0 10-25 19:13
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +32 $29 96¢ $31 +$2 10-19 20:23
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +30 $26 100¢ $30 +$4 10-25 13:02
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +31 $13 97¢ $30 +$17 10-26 22:13
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +30 $15 98¢ $30 +$15 10-10 06:46
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +30 $12 97¢ $29 +$18 09-28 05:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +30 $24 97¢ $29 +$6 10-27 17:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $30 72¢ $29 -$1 10-26 00:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +127 $58 21¢ $27 -$31 09-21 18:18
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $22 90¢ $27 +$5 10-18 17:37
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +30 $14 88¢ $27 +$12 10-23 21:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +27 $9 99¢ $26 +$17 10-09 00:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +26 $19 96¢ $25 +$6 10-22 14:21
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +30 $12 82¢ $25 +$13 10-10 02:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +24 $17 90¢ $22 +$5 10-27 21:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +30 $18 68¢ $21 +$3 10-23 13:38
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +80 $17 25¢ $20 +$3 10-28 00:04