Realized P&L
+$542
Unrealized P&L
+$559
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
6,455
Trades
27,393
lifetime
Volume
$98.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-13 18:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
47% 45% +$732
Crypto
46% 50% -$291
Politics
7% 45% +$98
Tech
1% 32% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 1155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +253 $105 98¢ $247 +$142 11-04 15:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +137 $69 91¢ $124 +$55 11-13 04:43
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +100 $36 100¢ $100 +$63 11-08 07:01
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +90 $72 89¢ $80 +$8 11-02 13:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +80 $52 88¢ $70 +$18 11-11 03:13
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $31 98¢ $69 +$38 10-29 17:56
Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026? Yes +62 $28 98¢ $61 +$33 11-10 15:32
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +50 $36 99¢ $50 +$14 11-07 07:06
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +50 $11 95¢ $48 +$37 11-04 05:47
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +40 $33 98¢ $39 +$7 10-25 19:13
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? No +42 $20 92¢ $39 +$19 10-08 17:52
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? No +40 $30 95¢ $38 +$8 10-31 16:05
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? No +40 $30 92¢ $37 +$7 10-17 12:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +40 $14 90¢ $36 +$22 10-23 14:00
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +40 $32 90¢ $36 +$4 11-09 11:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $30 89¢ $35 +$6 10-26 00:06
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +36 $34 99¢ $35 +$1 10-05 00:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $29 86¢ $35 +$6 10-25 22:59
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +32 $29 98¢ $32 +$3 10-19 20:23
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +40 $28 79¢ $32 +$4 11-02 15:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +31 $14 98¢ $31 +$16 11-04 05:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +37 $27 81¢ $30 +$3 11-08 01:16
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +47 $32 65¢ $30 -$2 10-31 15:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +40 $12 76¢ $30 +$18 09-30 20:33
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +32 $17 94¢ $30 +$13 11-04 12:53
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +55 $35 52¢ $29 -$6 11-13 18:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +40 $19 72¢ $29 +$10 11-03 13:34
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +30 $24 94¢ $28 +$4 10-30 00:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +30 $27 93¢ $28 +$1 11-10 19:12
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +30 $21 92¢ $28 +$7 11-08 17:36