Realized P&L (7d)
+$91
Unrealized P&L
+$507
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved (7d)
453
Trades (7d)
1,891
24,052 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.88K
$84.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-01 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 50% -$354
Other
44% 45% +$539
Politics
5% 40% +$32
Tech
0% 28% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 1155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +449 $246 100¢ $448 +$202 10-31 18:33
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +146 $37 95¢ $139 +$101 10-28 16:11
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +144 $74 95¢ $137 +$63 10-29 17:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +127 $61 84¢ $107 +$46 09-21 18:14
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $31 98¢ $69 +$38 10-29 17:56
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $55 85¢ $59 +$4 10-27 15:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $20 99¢ $40 +$20 10-31 08:23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +40 $29 100¢ $40 +$10 10-20 20:44
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +50 $29 74¢ $37 +$8 09-26 01:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +40 $33 88¢ $35 +$3 10-25 19:13
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +36 $34 98¢ $35 +$1 10-05 00:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +50 $30 68¢ $34 +$4 10-29 12:55
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +47 $32 70¢ $33 +$1 10-31 15:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $29 81¢ $32 +$3 10-25 22:59
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +32 $29 97¢ $31 +$3 10-19 20:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1? No +30 $19 99¢ $30 +$11 10-30 01:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +31 $29 94¢ $29 +$1 10-30 17:58
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +30 $26 97¢ $29 +$3 10-29 17:51
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +40 $29 70¢ $28 -$1 10-30 21:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $30 69¢ $28 -$2 10-26 00:06
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +40 $33 68¢ $27 -$5 10-30 09:21
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $22 90¢ $27 +$5 10-18 17:37
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +30 $12 88¢ $26 +$15 10-10 02:49
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 10-30 00:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +40 $12 56¢ $22 +$11 09-30 20:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $29 44¢ $22 -$7 10-22 21:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +24 $17 86¢ $21 +$4 10-27 21:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +127 $58 16¢ $20 -$38 09-21 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 10-30 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 10-18 19:34