Realized P&L (30d)
+$248
Unrealized P&L
+$743
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved (30d)
1,799
Trades (30d)
7,836
25,483 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$32.8K
$90.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-06 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 50% -$373
Other
45% 45% +$574
Politics
7% 44% +$59
Tech
0% 28% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 1155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +498 $186 98¢ $489 +$302 11-04 16:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +253 $105 97¢ $246 +$141 11-04 15:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +127 $61 91¢ $116 +$56 09-21 18:14
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +82 $64 99¢ $81 +$17 11-04 07:05
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +90 $72 90¢ $81 +$8 11-02 13:53
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $31 99¢ $69 +$38 10-29 17:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +63 $53 100¢ $63 +$10 11-04 07:41
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? No +50 $33 99¢ $50 +$17 11-04 00:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +50 $11 91¢ $45 +$35 11-04 05:47
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +46 $37 94¢ $43 +$6 11-04 02:08
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? No +42 $20 99¢ $42 +$22 10-08 17:52
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +80 $25 52¢ $42 +$17 11-04 08:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 11-03 20:53
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +83 $58 48¢ $40 -$18 11-06 02:24
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? No +40 $30 91¢ $37 +$7 10-17 12:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +50 $30 72¢ $36 +$6 10-29 12:55
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +40 $33 88¢ $35 +$3 10-25 19:13
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +36 $34 98¢ $35 +$1 10-05 00:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $30 87¢ $35 +$5 10-26 00:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $29 86¢ $34 +$5 10-25 22:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +47 $32 68¢ $32 $0 10-31 15:58
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +32 $29 98¢ $32 +$3 10-19 20:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +31 $14 98¢ $31 +$17 11-04 05:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +30 $24 98¢ $29 +$6 11-01 18:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +30 $24 96¢ $29 +$5 11-03 07:59
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +40 $28 72¢ $29 +$1 11-02 15:11
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +30 $24 93¢ $28 +$4 10-30 00:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +40 $14 69¢ $28 +$14 10-23 14:00
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +32 $17 85¢ $27 +$10 11-04 12:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +40 $29 68¢ $27 -$2 10-30 21:45