Realized P&L
-$482
Unrealized P&L
+$64
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved
2,501
Trades
6,733
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$650
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-26 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Crypto
75% 48% -$461
Other
18% 53% -$24
Politics
5% 78% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% 20% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 458 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +113 $76 91¢ $103 +$27 10-26 07:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +65 $24 82¢ $54 +$30 10-26 08:37
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +40 $33 100¢ $40 +$7 10-25 16:39
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +45 $37 80¢ $36 -$1 10-25 22:03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +35 $25 91¢ $32 +$8 10-23 20:30
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? No +30 $26 99¢ $30 +$3 10-25 17:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +35 $23 84¢ $30 +$7 10-23 14:07
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +25 $11 98¢ $24 +$14 10-25 21:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +41 $9 57¢ $23 +$15 10-25 08:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +25 $20 88¢ $22 +$2 10-26 15:50
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +20 $14 96¢ $19 +$5 10-25 02:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +45 $34 43¢ $19 -$15 10-25 08:46
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +20 $14 93¢ $19 +$5 10-24 06:01
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +25 $19 73¢ $18 -$1 10-26 19:16
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +15 $12 98¢ $15 +$2 10-22 19:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +15 $13 97¢ $15 +$2 10-22 01:36
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +15 $11 95¢ $14 +$3 10-25 03:02
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +15 $14 89¢ $13 $0 10-25 23:19
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +20 $19 60¢ $12 -$7 10-23 13:26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? Yes +65 $39 18¢ $11 -$28 10-26 08:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-22 03:29
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$0 10-23 12:03
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +15 $11 70¢ $10 $0 10-26 01:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-24 22:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +115 $35 9¢ $10 -$25 10-26 07:21
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +10 $5 98¢ $10 +$5 10-21 19:09
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 10-23 07:31
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 10-27 01:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 10-21 20:07
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +45 $7 20¢ $9 +$1 10-25 21:54