Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?
No won
Total volume
$15,655
$13,621 in 24h
Trades
1,723
Unique wallets
256
Liquidity
$442
End date
2026-10-25
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-25 12:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.4¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $3.8K
vs crowd: 36% YES on $12.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 41 | $1.0K | $4.4K | $3.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 61 | $1.2K | $1.6K | $419 |
| 🐟 Fish | 98 | $1.7K | $1.2K | +$527 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 56 | $485 | $549 | $64 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 42 | $1.1K | $2.7K | $1.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 63 | $1.2K | $1.4K | $173 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $47 | $214 | $167 |
| Median | 20 | $113 | $367 | $254 |
| Below median | 40 | $417 | $417 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 24 | $133 | $240 | $108 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 27 | $549 | $794 | $246 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 23 | $884 | $1.8K | $891 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | +851 | $850 | $850 | 4 | 10-25 06:50 |
| Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | +714 | $9 | $9 | 21 | 10-25 06:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | +544 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 10-24 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +499 | $320 | $320 | 25 | 10-25 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +484 | $114 | $114 | 30 | 10-25 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +464 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-25 11:08 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +426 | $425 | $425 | 3 | 10-25 10:18 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +368 | $275 | $275 | 24 | 10-25 05:39 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +309 | $196 | $196 | 13 | 10-25 04:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb123…8e0e | Yes | +291 | $230 | $230 | 5 | 10-25 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +259 | $182 | $182 | 13 | 10-25 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7eeb…b6bd | No | +258 | $149 | $176 | 17 | 10-25 03:30 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | +244 | $138 | $138 | 16 | 10-25 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb123…8e0e | No | +236 | $151 | $151 | 7 | 10-25 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +233 | $143 | $143 | 4 | 10-24 21:46 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +214 | $151 | $151 | 20 | 10-25 05:42 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | +211 | $50 | $93 | 14 | 10-25 04:51 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | +203 | $112 | $112 | 15 | 10-25 04:29 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +203 | $147 | $147 | 17 | 10-25 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1076…c0aa | Yes | +202 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 10-24 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x29da…2a19 | No | +195 | $148 | $148 | 6 | 10-24 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b29…f288 | Yes | +180 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-24 08:40 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | +177 | $45 | $45 | 11 | 10-25 05:40 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +173 | $95 | $95 | 14 | 10-25 05:05 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | +172 | $86 | $86 | 21 | 10-25 04:44 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | +172 | $41 | $41 | 13 | 10-25 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d64…07f8 | Yes | +171 | $50 | $50 | 12 | 10-24 12:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +167 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 10-25 05:40 |
| Pointed-Timeline 0x4079…7126 | No | +159 | $106 | $106 | 3 | 10-24 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +159 | $110 | $110 | 5 | 10-24 15:11 |
| Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | Yes | +157 | $97 | $296 | 24 | 10-25 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb1b…87c0 | No | +152 | $86 | $86 | 2 | 10-24 12:00 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | Yes | +151 | $52 | $52 | 13 | 10-25 00:29 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +150 | $95 | $95 | 13 | 10-25 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe419…8aed | Yes | +145 | $15 | $15 | 10 | 10-25 05:40 |
| Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | +144 | $61 | $61 | 18 | 10-25 05:42 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +143 | $105 | $105 | 30 | 10-24 20:47 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | +142 | $98 | $157 | 6 | 10-25 04:02 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | +141 | $59 | $59 | 11 | 10-25 04:51 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | +138 | $64 | $64 | 14 | 10-25 05:20 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | +136 | $53 | $53 | 17 | 10-25 03:53 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | +135 | $58 | $58 | 11 | 10-25 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…b44b | No | +133 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 10-24 15:57 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +131 | $76 | $76 | 12 | 10-25 04:09 |
| Waterlogged-Developer 0x89e3…7ff5 | Yes | +130 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-25 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | +128 | $36 | $36 | 10 | 10-24 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bd1…20bc | No | +121 | $114 | $114 | 3 | 10-25 04:42 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +115 | $25 | $25 | 20 | 10-24 23:52 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +109 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 10-25 03:30 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | +108 | $12 | $12 | 9 | 10-25 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7c3…36dd | No | +105 | $33 | $33 | 23 | 10-25 03:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7c3…36dd | Yes | +105 | $55 | $55 | 24 | 10-25 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b9…90d0 | Yes | +104 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-25 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a16…6004 | Yes | +104 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-24 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x33c8…de24 | Yes | +102 | -$4 | $241 | 30 | 10-25 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +102 | $79 | $79 | 8 | 10-25 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc084…785e | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-25 08:27 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +100 | $51 | $51 | 11 | 10-25 02:06 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +98 | $4 | $5 | 9 | 10-25 04:35 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +97 | $57 | $57 | 15 | 10-25 05:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 12:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…f995 | No | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x954de0… |
| 10-25 12:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x7287…5375 | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x954de0… |
| 10-25 12:22:44 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3502f2… |
| 10-25 12:22:44 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…f995 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3502f2… |
| 10-25 11:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…f995 | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x6a4a51… |
| 10-25 11:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6a4a51… |
| 10-25 10:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5ac35… |
| 10-25 10:18:05 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 400 | 100¢ | $399 | 0xb5ac35… |
| 10-25 09:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc84e13… |
| 10-25 09:01:11 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc84e13… |
| 10-25 09:01:06 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xef636a… |
| 10-25 09:01:06 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xef636a… |
| 10-25 08:47:32 | Impressionable-Novel 0x5a96…ee66 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf7310f… |
| 10-25 08:47:32 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf7310f… |
| 10-25 08:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x34131a… |
| 10-25 08:47:29 | Untried-Grandmom 0x3980…3b5e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x34131a… |
| 10-25 08:46:32 | Delectable-Goodwill 0xae5b…ab1b | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x58e762… |
| 10-25 08:46:32 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x58e762… |
| 10-25 08:46:15 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x50eae0… |
| 10-25 08:46:15 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | SELL | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x50eae0… |
| 10-25 08:28:24 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x08131b… |
| 10-25 08:28:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08131b… |
| 10-25 08:28:24 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x08131b… |
| 10-25 08:27:42 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9b6af3… |
| 10-25 08:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $66 | 0x9b6af3… |
| 10-25 08:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xc31f…f04a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9b6af3… |
| 10-25 08:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xc084…785e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9b6af3… |
| 10-25 08:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b6af3… |
| 10-25 07:20:50 | (anonymous) 0xb008…7781 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x91e135… |
| 10-25 07:20:50 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91e135… |
| 10-25 07:15:14 | Prudent-Mileage 0x5a83…497d | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc53514… |
| 10-25 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc53514… |
| 10-25 06:51:24 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5e471… |
| 10-25 06:51:24 | Plush-Refusal 0x6610…ff9b | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa5e471… |
| 10-25 06:50:09 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x05ecc7… |
| 10-25 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05ecc7… |
| 10-25 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | SELL | 132 | 100¢ | $132 | 0x05ecc7… |
| 10-25 06:49:26 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x25bf84… |
| 10-25 06:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xedbe…84d1 | No | SELL | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x25bf84… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Mean-Marketing 0x44aa…f3d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | True-Washbasin 0x9b62…042f | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x533b…aca9 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 318 | 100¢ | $317 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Automatic-Alert 0xf099…c6d1 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Wide-Eyed-Restroom 0x6ae8…5746 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x4dba…3de8 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | Waterlogged-Hubcap 0x2bb8…f2cf | No | SELL | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | No | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x680470… |
| 10-25 06:47:20 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bf135… |
| 10-25 06:47:20 | Incomparable-Statement 0x7bf1…3f67 | No | SELL | 128 | 100¢ | $128 | 0x6bf135… |
| 10-25 06:47:20 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 334 | 100¢ | $333 | 0x6bf135… |
| 10-25 06:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x1ba6…193a | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6bf135… |
| 10-25 06:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bf135… |
| 10-25 06:39:11 | (anonymous) 0xcc4f…4926 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x823528… |
| 10-25 06:39:11 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x823528… |
| 10-25 06:33:32 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x274a48… |
| 10-25 06:33:32 | Waterlogged-Developer 0x89e3…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x274a48… |
| 10-25 06:33:32 | Incomparable-Statement 0x7bf1…3f67 | No | BUY | 128 | 100¢ | $128 | 0x274a48… |
| 10-25 06:12:44 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x043213… |
| 10-25 06:12:44 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x043213… |
| 10-25 06:07:18 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71d461… |
| 10-25 06:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xcc4f…4926 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x71d461… |
| 10-25 06:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x1ecf…c99e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e5b52… |
| 10-25 06:01:21 | Sour-Astrakhan 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7e5b52… |
| 10-25 05:54:30 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xbe8c1f… |
| 10-25 05:54:30 | (anonymous) 0x65e6…3289 | No | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xbe8c1f… |
| 10-25 05:53:53 | Clean-Gathering 0xf4d8…4c91 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x164f54… |
| 10-25 05:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x164f54… |
| 10-25 05:53:24 | Sizzling-Paramedic-Collector 0x7bbe…b95e | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x56830f… |
| 10-25 05:53:24 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x56830f… |
| 10-25 05:52:14 | (anonymous) 0xd188…c773 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb4fdc1… |
| 10-25 05:52:14 | Sizzling-Paramedic-Collector 0x7bbe…b95e | No | SELL | 110 | 99¢ | $109 | 0xb4fdc1… |
| 10-25 05:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb4fdc1… |
| 10-25 05:52:02 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x04ffc5… |
| 10-25 05:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x04ffc5… |
| 10-25 05:47:38 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x004d51… |
| 10-25 05:47:38 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x004d51… |
| 10-25 05:47:24 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30a692… |
| 10-25 05:47:24 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30a692… |
| 10-25 05:47:00 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e9fae… |
| 10-25 05:47:00 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e9fae… |
| 10-25 05:46:59 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c29c4… |
| 10-25 05:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c29c4… |
| 10-25 05:42:35 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb58d3b… |
| 10-25 05:42:35 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb58d3b… |
| 10-25 05:42:35 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xb58d3b… |
| 10-25 05:42:35 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb58d3b… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb257bc… |
| 10-25 05:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x79fc…aecc | Yes | SELL | 213 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb257bc… |