Hard-To-Find-Lip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

7,834

Trades

28,972

lifetime

Volume

$3.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$244

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 292 days

Categories

Other

92% 97% -$12,612

Sports

6% 66% -$15,321

Politics

2% 79% -$10,091

Tech

0% 90% -$42

Crypto

0% 89% -$158

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	+188	$183	97¢	$182	-$1	10-26 09:38
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	-53	-$51	98¢	$-52	-$1	08-26 01:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-10	-$10	98¢	$-10	$0	10-25 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba was det 2026 02 05	21	$45.8K	29,997	29,997	+0	Wizards	-$2,600	02-06 02:28
nba cha hou 2026 02 05	6	$41.8K	24,539	24,530	+9	Hornets	+$2,038	02-06 03:11
nba sas dal 2026 02 05	2	$41.7K	20,954	20,954	+0	Spurs	+$197	02-06 03:56
nba gsw phx 2026 02 05	3	$24.2K	19,818	19,818	+0	Warriors	-$13,296	02-06 05:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	41	$18.8K	17,183	17,076	+107	Yes	-$9,785	03-01 04:04
nba cle lac 2026 02 04	6	$16.3K	8,206	8,206	+0	Cavaliers	+$96	02-05 07:12
lol sge big1 2026 02 04	9	$14.2K	7,143	7,143	+0	Berlin International Gaming	+$57	02-05 02:50
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	17	$14.1K	7,329	7,129	+200	Yes	+$261	02-22 01:45
lol nip tt 2026 02 05	1	$13.5K	13,561	0	+13,561	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$24	02-05 10:42
lol al blg 2026 02 06 game1	2	$12.5K	6,465	6,465	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$395	02-06 10:32
lol cfo gz 2026 02 06 game2	7	$12.1K	6,069	6,069	+0	Ground Zero Gaming	+$60	02-06 10:09
lol ig1 wb 2026 02 06 game2	4	$11.6K	6,425	6,425	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$392	02-06 09:18
cs2 pcy crash 2026 02 04 game2	14	$10.3K	10,577	3,730	+6,847	Procyon Gaming	+$3,290	02-04 15:55
lol kt dnf 2026 02 06	11	$10.2K	15,492	0	+15,492	DN Freecs	-$10,152	02-06 12:12
lol ig1 wb 2026 02 06 game1	2	$10.0K	5,226	5,226	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$414	02-06 08:00
lol cfo gz 2026 02 06 game1	8	$9.5K	4,894	4,894	+0	CTBC Flying Oyster	+$260	02-06 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	25	$9.4K	4,775	4,775	+0	Yes	+$94	05-04 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	22	$9.2K	4,797	4,449	+348	No	+$86	05-17 16:18
lol tsw mvk 2026 02 06	3	$9.0K	4,812	4,812	+0	Team Secret Whales	+$615	02-06 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	11	$8.3K	4,174	4,174	+0	No	+$43	06-20 15:38
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	24	$8.1K	4,359	4,309	+50	No	-$38	02-28 22:35
highest temperature in seattle on february 5 2026 64 65f	3	$8.0K	3,989	3,989	+0	No	-$11	02-06 01:51
nba bos hou 2026 02 04	11	$7.9K	7,974	0	+7,974	Celtics	+$118	02-05 02:59
lol drx bro2 2026 02 06 game1	6	$7.4K	3,766	3,766	+0	DRX	+$79	02-06 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?	19	$7.2K	3,626	3,623	+3	No	+$22	05-11 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	51	$7.0K	3,523	3,522	+0	Yes	+$27	05-11 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	5	$6.9K	3,534	3,534	+0	Yes	+$113	05-06 00:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	6	$6.7K	3,382	3,382	+0	No	+$23	05-14 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	5	$6.6K	3,330	3,330	+0	Yes	+$35	05-14 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	10	$6.4K	3,235	3,234	+1	Yes	+$27	04-28 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1,781	100¢	$1,779	0xf305a3…
10-27 12:37:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 27?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0xe6bc20…
10-27 12:28:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x490ce4…
10-27 12:12:59	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0c3e04…
10-27 12:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5eb737…
10-27 12:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0xa995d3…
10-27 11:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ca93c…
10-27 11:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3a52…
10-27 11:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfde035…
10-27 11:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x37bc06…
10-27 11:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x33601b…
10-27 11:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90acd1…
10-27 10:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x73a2cd…
10-27 10:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20ae04…
10-27 10:07:17	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9a024c…
10-27 10:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1e47b4…
10-27 10:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f18a0…
10-27 09:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0xc2f06f…
10-27 09:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3fed9e…
10-27 09:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8891a…
10-27 09:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x3d0dd0…
10-27 09:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c2e7e…
10-27 09:17:44	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 6°C on October 27?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa44882…
10-27 09:17:38	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb4b323…
10-27 09:17:26	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 4°C or below on October 27?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1f0af7…
10-27 09:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0xc3a32b…
10-27 09:11:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ffd02…
10-27 09:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7644d1…
10-27 09:07:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xbb85c2…
10-27 09:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6db312…
10-27 09:07:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x4ea329…
10-27 09:04:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74fe00…
10-27 09:04:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa1c906…
10-27 09:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd224d7…
10-27 08:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x71db56…
10-27 08:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1e9cc5…
10-27 08:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd113b9…
10-27 08:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6fc4d1…
10-27 08:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x06b0b5…
10-27 08:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f0c8d…
10-27 03:16:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x359726…
10-27 02:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb5eca…
10-27 02:56:27	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa9a6bc…
10-27 02:55:38	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xf7ed60…
10-27 02:55:27	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x949948…
10-27 02:38:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7003ca…
10-27 02:37:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1d2785…
10-27 02:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0x83fe0f…
10-27 02:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a8bba…
10-27 01:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc45358…
10-27 01:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x08a1e1…
10-27 01:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6037a…
10-27 01:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa630ab…
10-27 01:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc604c1…
10-27 01:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd83ca8…
10-27 00:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a3e25…
10-27 00:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b6a23…
10-27 00:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xa279d6…
10-27 00:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x2de9bc…
10-27 00:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcd9d2f…
10-27 00:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xf81473…
10-27 00:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3a1f66…
10-27 00:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x708235…
10-27 00:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbba8e3…
10-27 00:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2242ef…
10-27 00:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x107d4b…
10-27 00:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7a573a…
10-27 00:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34c674…
10-27 00:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x8ca59e…
10-27 00:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x84a2cc…
10-27 00:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe1248…
10-27 00:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8efd96…
10-27 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9b6551…
10-27 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x2eba09…
10-27 00:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba637a…
10-27 00:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4dfe16…
10-27 00:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0381ea…
10-27 00:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x403f32…
10-27 00:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa3b39…
10-27 00:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb8a80d…
10-27 00:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x784e4a…
10-27 00:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x97c02c…
10-27 00:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,014	100¢	$1,013	0xbb49d9…
10-27 00:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9571c0…
10-27 00:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xe3e8c8…
10-27 00:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x143737…
10-27 00:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x68c870…
10-27 00:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0de7de…
10-26 23:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x767969…
10-26 16:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x47b0e7…
10-26 16:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4dbb8…
10-26 16:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x148d25…
10-26 16:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa4206e…
10-26 16:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x33ae5c…
10-26 16:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e2bd8…
10-26 16:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x7af0b5…
10-26 16:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ddaf2…
10-26 16:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6023cb…
10-26 16:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc0cd8c…
10-26 15:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0bcf74…