Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$212
$1,011 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$2,950
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 09:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $93 | $64 | +$29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $12 | $8 | +$4 |
| Median | 10 | $29 | $16 | +$13 |
| Below median | 12 | $19 | $28 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| unranked | 4 | $12 | $4 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank-Communion 0x8537…0534 | Yes | +70 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-09 11:50 |
| Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Impartial-Autumn 0x0e3c…63d2 | Yes | +31 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 09:31 |
| Wilted-Conclusion 0xce49…8029 | Yes | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:12 |
| Weekly-Bolero 0x0619…0379 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 04:46 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 01:31 |
| Judicious-Bar 0x8ed9…de73 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 14:53 |
| Sneaky-Food 0x189d…51d3 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:06 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 01:31 |
| Torn-Pass 0x3d45…097d | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:16 |
| Well-Groomed-Drudgery 0x8600…8b65 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 09:50 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:10 |
| Familiar-Piglet 0x7f8e…8d8a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x94de…a147 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:34 |
| Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 18:21 |
| Anchored-Controversy 0x6d23…f984 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf21f…b62b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:17 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 18:49 |
| Trained-Pet-Embassy 0x0a15…8e9e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:19 |
| Loud-Juggernaut 0x025e…bb39 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Strange-Solution 0x0b2b…df2e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:42 |
| Shy-Couple 0x1bcd…7056 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Academic-Solitaire 0x4abc…b10d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:21 |
| Frightening-Manufacturing 0x0242…aa29 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:18 |
| Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:08 |
| Raw-Decrease 0x1b9b…3e8e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:31:42 | Impartial-Autumn 0x0e3c…63d2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x9bea47… |
| 05-10 09:31:28 | Impartial-Autumn 0x0e3c…63d2 | No | SELL | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x3cde3a… |
| 05-10 09:21:47 | Academic-Solitaire 0x4abc…b10d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xafa64e… |
| 05-10 09:18:40 | Frightening-Manufacturing 0x0242…aa29 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x18dd58… |
| 05-10 08:47:50 | Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x894afe… |
| 05-10 08:46:33 | Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xd2a59f… |
| 05-10 08:42:25 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x0b9d1c… |
| 05-10 08:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x94de…a147 | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd8b0ff… |
| 05-10 08:33:07 | Loud-Juggernaut 0x025e…bb39 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x15e30e… |
| 05-10 08:23:08 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x3ad5cb… |
| 05-10 08:23:03 | Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x6677a9… |
| 05-10 08:19:01 | Trained-Pet-Embassy 0x0a15…8e9e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x66127c… |
| 05-10 08:12:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc2109b… |
| 05-10 08:12:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x12aa0f… |
| 05-10 08:06:52 | Sneaky-Food 0x189d…51d3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0xe68378… |
| 05-10 07:36:33 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 11 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xe0b67c… |
| 05-10 06:23:16 | Ecstatic-Work 0x3eb8…3706 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb07359… |
| 05-10 06:21:31 | Ecstatic-Work 0x3eb8…3706 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x0a3a75… |
| 05-10 06:16:52 | Torn-Pass 0x3d45…097d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xdbbe9f… |
| 05-10 06:07:13 | Familiar-Piglet 0x7f8e…8d8a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf17151… |
| 05-10 06:07:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8115dd… |
| 05-10 05:17:47 | (anonymous) 0xf21f…b62b | No | BUY | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xcade6c… |
| 05-10 05:12:49 | Wilted-Conclusion 0xce49…8029 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xe93412… |
| 05-10 05:02:51 | Shy-Couple 0x1bcd…7056 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x67375f… |
| 05-10 04:46:55 | Weekly-Bolero 0x0619…0379 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x8a31ef… |
| 05-10 04:22:11 | Well-Groomed-Drudgery 0x8600…8b65 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xb68962… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xe5e47f… |
| 05-10 04:11:10 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xee5264… |
| 05-10 04:11:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x10b331… |
| 05-10 04:10:40 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x4f893e… |
| 05-10 04:10:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x2d6c30… |
| 05-10 02:00:35 | Well-Groomed-Drudgery 0x8600…8b65 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xf3a3a3… |
| 05-10 01:31:09 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x980ff0… |
| 05-10 01:31:01 | Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | BUY | 11 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xf7c2e9… |
| 05-10 00:54:05 | Anchored-Controversy 0x6d23…f984 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xe114d8… |
| 05-10 00:09:12 | Raw-Decrease 0x1b9b…3e8e | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xe4b4b3… |
| 05-09 19:22:38 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x119bb0… |
| 05-09 18:49:41 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xe884c1… |
| 05-09 18:42:00 | Strange-Solution 0x0b2b…df2e | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xca2770… |
| 05-09 18:21:34 | Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x71fc80… |
| 05-09 15:08:57 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xf82dc8… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xc3f378… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Judicious-Bar 0x8ed9…de73 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x2e5b34… |
| 05-09 11:50:23 | Frank-Communion 0x8537…0534 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 30¢ | $21 | 0xd98429… |
| 05-09 11:50:23 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xca8058… |
| 05-09 10:10:06 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xe7fff0… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xc0868d… |