Wilted-Conclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-11 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% +$5

Other

4% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772309400	5	$80	46	46	+0	open	—	02-28 20:14
btc updown 5m 1772310300	6	$40	40	40	+1	open	—	02-28 20:29
btc updown 5m 1772298300	5	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	02-28 17:11
btc updown 5m 1772304000	7	$38	50	29	+21	open	—	02-28 18:43
btc updown 5m 1772307900	7	$38	30	25	+5	open	—	02-28 19:49
btc updown 5m 1772306700	6	$38	56	44	+12	open	—	02-28 19:29
btc updown 5m 1772295000	2	$35	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 16:14
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$35	0	70	-70	open	—	06-10 15:04
btc updown 5m 1772305800	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	02-28 19:13
btc updown 5m 1772306100	6	$33	34	21	+14	open	—	02-28 19:18
btc updown 5m 1772310900	7	$30	28	22	+6	open	—	02-28 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$29	29	22	+7	Down	$-1	05-10 17:48
btc updown 5m 1772298600	4	$29	21	20	+0	open	—	02-28 17:15
btc updown 5m 1772309100	6	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	02-28 20:08
btc updown 5m 1772308500	4	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	02-28 19:57
btc updown 5m 1772299800	4	$23	27	10	+17	open	—	02-28 17:34
btc updown 5m 1772292600	5	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 15:34
btc updown 5m 1772306400	5	$22	24	17	+6	open	—	02-28 19:24
btc updown 5m 1772304900	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 19:00
btc updown 5m 1772292900	5	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	02-28 15:38
btc updown 5m 1772309700	4	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	02-28 20:19
btc updown 5m 1772307300	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	02-28 19:37
eth updown 15m 1772370900	5	$17	35	0	+35	open	—	03-01 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 11:52
btc updown 5m 1772295900	3	$14	25	11	+14	open	—	02-28 16:27
btc updown 5m 1772296200	3	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 16:33
btc updown 5m 1772317200	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 22:23
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 11:54
btc updown 5m 1772292300	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$13	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 02:15:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0xf2c066…
06-10 15:04:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xf85d4a…
06-10 15:04:07	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0xec8dfd…
06-10 15:04:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xfcfcc8…
06-01 13:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xacad51…
06-01 13:16:37	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x9ca8bc…
05-26 12:42:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2f53b9…
05-14 12:05:03	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd9122d…
05-14 11:54:34	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xf8c09a…
05-14 11:54:34	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xa33f0f…
05-14 11:53:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc07f27…
05-14 11:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x81f40d…
05-14 11:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x6b9831…
05-14 11:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x49f6ce…
05-14 11:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc1618b…
05-14 11:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xab2207…
05-13 16:55:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe36d3b…
05-11 12:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x8f6cce…
05-11 12:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x620bd1…
05-10 17:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd9f2c9…
05-10 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22	67¢	$14	0xc358af…
05-10 17:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9b0f50…
05-10 17:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3e7f90…
05-10 16:32:10	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x352801…
05-10 16:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1344d0…
05-09 18:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xd40a90…
05-09 18:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xccd7b4…
05-09 18:03:04	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x646bd9…
05-09 18:03:02	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xe5cf02…
05-09 18:01:52	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x45594a…
05-09 14:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe7a163…
05-09 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xb83e6d…
05-09 14:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc297d1…
04-12 05:34:03	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa78c1e…
04-12 05:33:41	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xfe06da…
04-12 05:32:09	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0b0f00…
04-12 05:31:23	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf42f7c…
03-01 14:46:17	btc updown 15m 1772376300	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfb5a3f…
03-01 14:46:17	btc updown 15m 1772376300	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x53fa6f…
03-01 14:46:17	btc updown 15m 1772376300	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x325008…
03-01 14:39:41	btc updown 15m 1772375400	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4d7922…
03-01 14:30:09	eth updown 15m 1772375400	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xb1e664…
03-01 14:19:23	eth updown 15m 1772374500	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6e3748…
03-01 14:19:17	eth updown 15m 1772374500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6cc48f…
03-01 14:10:17	btc updown 15m 1772373600	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xeba021…
03-01 14:10:09	btc updown 15m 1772373600	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdca3f5…
03-01 14:05:47	eth updown 15m 1772373600	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xeaeb63…
03-01 14:05:47	eth updown 15m 1772373600	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb22e99…
03-01 14:05:43	eth updown 15m 1772373600	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x141c6c…
03-01 13:51:21	eth updown 15m 1772372700	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xc6b156…
03-01 13:51:19	eth updown 15m 1772372700	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xca019a…
03-01 13:51:15	eth updown 15m 1772372700	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1d31e6…
03-01 13:40:11	btc updown 15m 1772371800	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf3b435…
03-01 13:40:11	btc updown 15m 1772371800	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8dd3d5…
03-01 13:32:21	eth updown 15m 1772371800	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb86c04…
03-01 13:19:11	eth updown 15m 1772370900	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf0e470…
03-01 13:19:09	eth updown 15m 1772370900	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x88eaa5…
03-01 13:16:51	eth updown 15m 1772370900	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x25dc6b…
03-01 13:16:41	eth updown 15m 1772370900	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x4a7456…
03-01 13:16:07	eth updown 15m 1772370900	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x033c3f…
03-01 10:25:25	sol updown 15m 1772360100	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xbff067…
03-01 10:25:21	xrp updown 15m 1772360100	Up	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x9453dd…
03-01 10:17:43	sol updown 15m 1772360100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcf4e8a…
03-01 10:17:33	xrp updown 15m 1772360100	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e6818…
03-01 10:16:17	xrp updown 15m 1772360100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc6c84e…
03-01 10:15:57	xrp updown 15m 1772360100	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xabf403…
03-01 10:15:45	xrp updown 15m 1772360100	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x24e992…
03-01 08:50:39	btc updown 5m 1772355000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbc0006…
03-01 08:48:17	xrp updown 15m 1772354700	Up	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x414edd…
03-01 08:46:23	xrp updown 15m 1772354700	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x123b9e…
03-01 08:45:53	xrp updown 15m 1772354700	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8314aa…
03-01 08:45:25	xrp updown 15m 1772354700	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa86129…
03-01 08:33:21	sol updown 15m 1772353800	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x3fccfa…
03-01 08:33:19	eth updown 15m 1772353800	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xe12996…
03-01 08:32:19	eth updown 15m 1772353800	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xcc02e7…
03-01 08:32:15	sol updown 15m 1772353800	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xaf20cf…
03-01 08:23:17	xrp updown 5m 1772353200	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xc4b69a…
03-01 08:20:59	xrp updown 5m 1772353200	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x1afe81…
03-01 08:03:19	sol updown 15m 1772352000	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x2b7f46…
03-01 08:03:17	xrp updown 15m 1772352000	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xb3920d…
03-01 08:03:17	eth updown 15m 1772352000	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x130cd2…
03-01 08:02:55	eth updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x621930…
03-01 08:02:09	sol updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf63f0c…
03-01 08:02:07	eth updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x02ba86…
03-01 08:01:45	eth updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7ba5df…
03-01 08:01:39	xrp updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x96e6ba…
03-01 08:00:59	xrp updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb369ec…
03-01 08:00:43	sol updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x5e6688…
03-01 08:00:37	eth updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xcef392…
03-01 08:00:27	xrp updown 15m 1772352000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7a3da…
03-01 07:58:17	sol updown 5m 1772351700	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xdd1154…
03-01 07:56:01	sol updown 5m 1772351700	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x658950…
03-01 07:53:17	sol updown 5m 1772351400	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x7a4440…
03-01 07:50:39	sol updown 5m 1772351400	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x59d67a…
03-01 07:48:17	sol updown 15m 1772351100	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x1e11d5…
03-01 07:45:41	sol updown 15m 1772351100	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5ae173…
03-01 07:43:17	eth updown 5m 1772350800	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x10351a…
03-01 07:40:41	eth updown 5m 1772350800	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe492e3…
03-01 07:33:19	eth updown 15m 1772350200	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa0ae7d…
03-01 07:33:17	xrp updown 15m 1772350200	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x27c132…