Low-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

4,635

Trades

35,295

lifetime

Volume

$865.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-26 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Other

96% 74% -$7,350

Crypto

3% 96% -$120

Politics

1% 75% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 664 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 13c	34	$3.0K	1,526	1,518	+8	No	+$54	04-21 03:00
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 38 39f	5	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$14	03-17 04:00
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	35	$2.5K	1,345	1,345	+0	No	-$60	03-12 12:01
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 62 63f	44	$2.4K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	+$62	03-17 02:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 5c	48	$2.3K	1,421	1,198	+224	No	-$58	03-11 05:07
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	50	$2.2K	1,283	1,235	+48	Yes	-$48	03-24 08:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 60 61f	22	$2.1K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	+$96	03-17 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 29?	46	$2.1K	1,076	1,076	+0	No	+$29	04-29 16:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 26c	25	$2.0K	1,093	1,093	+0	No	+$78	03-24 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?	11	$2.0K	1,019	1,018	+1	No	+$12	04-26 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	91	$2.0K	1,264	1,264	+0	No	-$381	05-06 15:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 15c	27	$1.9K	1,000	997	+2	No	+$46	04-17 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	93	$1.9K	1,203	1,203	+0	Yes	+$66	04-30 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?	22	$1.8K	937	937	-0	No	+$24	05-02 02:06
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 7c	49	$1.8K	976	976	+0	No	+$14	03-11 06:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 12c	13	$1.8K	894	893	+1	No	+$18	04-21 00:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 13c	17	$1.7K	881	880	+1	No	+$13	04-22 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	21	$1.7K	868	868	+0	No	+$22	05-01 03:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	29	$1.6K	877	873	+4	Yes	+$45	04-09 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	22	$1.6K	819	816	+2	No	+$43	04-28 02:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	24	$1.6K	864	864	+0	No	+$55	04-01 16:55
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 29c	53	$1.6K	933	923	+10	No	+$110	04-13 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	17	$1.6K	795	794	+1	No	+$25	04-27 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	15	$1.5K	786	786	+0	No	+$27	05-07 03:17
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	60	$1.5K	1,077	901	+176	Yes	-$41	03-19 03:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 21c	9	$1.5K	796	793	+2	No	+$47	04-16 03:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 13 2026 8c	22	$1.5K	792	792	+0	No	+$25	03-13 02:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 8c	9	$1.5K	772	772	+0	No	+$18	03-20 02:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	32	$1.5K	896	896	+0	Yes	-$132	03-22 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	8	$1.5K	762	762	-0	No	+$17	05-08 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x27f5c1…
10-26 18:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0x0802bf…
10-26 18:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xf0826e…
10-26 16:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xc37177…
10-26 16:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6b6060…
10-26 16:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x16c767…
10-26 16:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xeb19d9…
10-26 16:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xec32ac…
10-26 16:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x35186d…
10-26 16:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca682b…
10-26 16:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	48	92¢	$45	0xf336c9…
10-26 16:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1e832f…
10-26 16:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe90704…
10-26 16:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf99ec5…
10-26 16:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8545ea…
10-26 16:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xea9f36…
10-26 16:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5449e2…
10-26 15:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xffe332…
10-26 15:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x40832c…
10-26 15:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x4d2e70…
10-26 15:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xa61aa7…
10-26 15:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x65c138…
10-26 15:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	132	63¢	$83	0x5ff40c…
10-26 15:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xc1d423…
10-26 15:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd8625d…
10-26 15:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xe89f00…
10-26 15:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x0a728d…
10-26 15:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	SELL	80	88¢	$71	0x1a335c…
10-26 15:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x890b57…
10-26 15:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x75e06d…
10-26 15:29:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xeb588f…
10-26 15:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa9a631…
10-26 15:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x7ecc6e…
10-26 15:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0xef5d39…
10-26 15:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xafe2f7…
10-26 15:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x9d7988…
10-26 15:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x45f372…
10-26 15:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xbacaf4…
10-26 15:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4f78a2…
10-26 15:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$24	0x04dfb8…
10-26 15:21:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xfd8788…
10-26 15:20:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd8b642…
10-26 15:19:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc22dde…
10-26 15:09:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0f31b7…
10-26 14:58:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb1fe93…
10-26 14:58:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f4af8…
10-26 14:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdb985b…
10-26 14:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x52a423…
10-26 14:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xac2774…
10-26 14:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x5d315b…
10-26 14:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9359c8…
10-26 14:51:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xc69efd…
10-26 14:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x265578…
10-26 14:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1fb79a…
10-26 14:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xe18925…
10-26 13:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x323a12…
10-26 13:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x5fbd73…
10-26 13:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x5c0ed9…
10-26 12:56:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 26?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7a36b7…
10-26 11:12:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xec3dc0…
10-26 11:12:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde7d7c…
10-26 11:12:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x259662…
10-26 11:11:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x607401…
10-26 11:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe2b692…
10-26 11:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x6a3ccc…
10-26 11:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x856ae1…
10-26 11:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xea2537…
10-26 10:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x12f817…
10-26 10:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x5a5716…
10-26 10:30:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdbb07d…
10-26 10:29:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xa8fa9f…
10-26 10:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36ba7f…
10-26 10:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf18bf…
10-26 10:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x76ffdb…
10-26 10:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb84d97…
10-26 10:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x7d0fd4…
10-26 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa5742b…
10-26 10:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdb6f6d…
10-26 09:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x36263c…
10-26 09:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x0f5258…
10-26 06:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x43fa67…
10-26 06:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbde175…
10-26 06:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5d915c…
10-26 06:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa55ec9…
10-26 06:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x589e11…
10-26 06:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x5f08a3…
10-26 06:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x3f92a8…
10-26 06:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x6543cd…
10-26 06:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x0bd469…
10-26 06:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc7bddc…
10-26 06:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x2892ef…
10-26 06:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x668bb8…
10-26 06:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xa6baaf…
10-26 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xb89105…
10-26 06:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd98067…
10-26 06:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x81eae5…
10-26 06:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x621b4a…
10-26 06:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x6c418f…
10-26 06:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa5b61d…
10-26 06:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0xd30640…