Low-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved (90d)

3,173

Trades (90d)

24,753

39,145 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$499.2K

$944.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$143

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 11-13 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

96% 74% -$8,061

Crypto

3% 96% -$285

Politics

1% 75% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 664 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	—	+61	$59	88¢	$54	-$5	11-13 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	No		+70	$46	66¢	$46	-$1	11-13 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 14?	No		+50	$40	86¢	$43	+$4	11-13 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 13?	No		+10	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-13 02:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 13c	34	$3.0K	1,526	1,518	+8	No	+$54	04-21 03:00
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 38 39f	5	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$14	03-17 04:00
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	35	$2.5K	1,345	1,345	+0	No	-$60	03-12 12:01
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 62 63f	44	$2.4K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	+$62	03-17 02:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 5c	48	$2.3K	1,421	1,198	+224	No	-$58	03-11 05:07
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	50	$2.2K	1,283	1,235	+48	Yes	-$48	03-24 08:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 60 61f	22	$2.1K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	+$96	03-17 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 29?	46	$2.1K	1,076	1,076	+0	No	+$29	04-29 16:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 26c	25	$2.0K	1,093	1,093	+0	No	+$78	03-24 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?	11	$2.0K	1,019	1,018	+1	No	+$12	04-26 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	91	$2.0K	1,264	1,264	+0	No	-$381	05-06 15:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 15c	27	$1.9K	1,000	997	+2	No	+$46	04-17 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	93	$1.9K	1,203	1,203	+0	Yes	+$66	04-30 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?	22	$1.8K	937	937	-0	No	+$24	05-02 02:06
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 7c	49	$1.8K	976	976	+0	No	+$14	03-11 06:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 12c	13	$1.8K	894	893	+1	No	+$18	04-21 00:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 13c	17	$1.7K	881	880	+1	No	+$13	04-22 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	21	$1.7K	868	868	+0	No	+$22	05-01 03:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	29	$1.6K	877	873	+4	Yes	+$45	04-09 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	22	$1.6K	819	816	+2	No	+$43	04-28 02:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	24	$1.6K	864	864	+0	No	+$55	04-01 16:55
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 29c	53	$1.6K	933	923	+10	No	+$110	04-13 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	17	$1.6K	795	794	+1	No	+$25	04-27 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	15	$1.5K	786	786	+0	No	+$27	05-07 03:17
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	60	$1.5K	1,077	901	+176	Yes	-$41	03-19 03:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 21c	9	$1.5K	796	793	+2	No	+$47	04-16 03:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 13 2026 8c	22	$1.5K	792	792	+0	No	+$25	03-13 02:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 8c	9	$1.5K	772	772	+0	No	+$18	03-20 02:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	32	$1.5K	896	896	+0	Yes	-$132	03-22 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	8	$1.5K	762	762	-0	No	+$17	05-08 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 05:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xaa848d…
11-13 05:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xed429f…
11-13 05:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee320c…
11-13 05:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 13?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xee8bf0…
11-13 05:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 13?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xac01b6…
11-13 04:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 13?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x043d0b…
11-13 04:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$111	0xde9615…
11-13 04:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd8c52b…
11-13 04:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x642695…
11-13 04:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xe4aa24…
11-13 04:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x79f5f1…
11-13 04:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfcad6e…
11-13 04:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	48	82¢	$39	0x415dbb…
11-13 04:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8c8eb…
11-13 04:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 13?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x9a2aab…
11-13 04:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	64	82¢	$53	0x824cc4…
11-13 04:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4991bf…
11-13 04:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x158a26…
11-13 04:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 14?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x54d42d…
11-13 04:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 14?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x41bdc8…
11-13 04:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x5dc05c…
11-13 03:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 13?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xe9cacd…
11-13 03:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x860ce0…
11-13 03:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 13?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xb7d543…
11-13 03:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x2fe1f1…
11-13 03:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4bcce9…
11-13 03:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x539e7f…
11-13 03:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c999b…
11-13 02:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7db66f…
11-13 02:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 13?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x7ffc69…
11-13 02:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 13?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xfa308f…
11-13 02:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 13?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x10d86b…
11-13 02:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 13?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x63af65…
11-13 02:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xbe0cff…
11-13 02:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x0c2fa1…
11-13 01:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd0fd25…
11-13 01:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x400f1f…
11-13 01:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	67	90¢	$60	0x4f4a2b…
11-13 01:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xacb244…
11-12 17:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x559140…
11-12 17:36:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xc85b3f…
11-12 17:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xe22b84…
11-12 17:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2ad00b…
11-12 17:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0xd47d05…
11-12 14:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ddc2a…
11-12 14:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfeb34a…
11-12 14:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	95	76¢	$72	0xfa1a5e…
11-12 14:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0xdb6fd5…
11-12 14:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a5fd2…
11-12 14:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0d80b7…
11-12 13:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	182	87¢	$159	0x659582…
11-12 13:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xc587db…
11-12 10:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xcef0ae…
11-12 10:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4a3955…
11-12 09:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf2d84c…
11-12 09:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x13e025…
11-12 09:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc44348…
11-12 09:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xb81758…
11-12 09:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x303696…
11-12 09:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x03591f…
11-12 09:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbc13da…
11-12 08:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfc7409…
11-12 08:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2dada6…
11-12 08:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9eceb5…
11-12 08:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8ce82d…
11-12 07:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xeb9678…
11-12 07:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x092b77…
11-12 07:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe39d36…
11-12 07:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x30b159…
11-12 07:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2ad9bc…
11-12 07:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x5cc252…
11-12 07:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 12?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x7f9d90…
11-12 07:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xa31f31…
11-12 07:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xce136d…
11-12 07:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf17354…
11-12 07:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xefc40c…
11-12 07:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x33c35d…
11-12 07:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1eed4a…
11-12 07:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x03c445…
11-12 07:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x62afa7…
11-12 07:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x1be43d…
11-12 07:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe8f746…
11-12 07:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 12?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xb64105…
11-12 06:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x47ab8c…
11-12 06:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xee8944…
11-12 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x80d6b2…
11-12 06:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32c5bb…
11-12 06:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xa8c30f…
11-12 06:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 12?	No	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x117f46…
11-12 06:16:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0xb329d2…
11-12 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xace1c8…
11-12 06:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf515b0…
11-12 06:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x88f6f0…
11-12 06:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7d295c…
11-12 06:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x0460ad…
11-12 06:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x78550f…
11-12 06:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xb70cc5…
11-12 06:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x03f5d3…
11-12 06:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7929bf…
11-12 06:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xcfd06f…