Low-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$3.47K

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved (30d)

1,075

Trades (30d)

8,133

39,420 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$153.1K

$948.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$51

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 11-14 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Other

96% 74% -$7,959

Crypto

3% 96% -$271

Politics

1% 75% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 664 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 15?	No	+50	$48	100¢	$50	+$2	11-14 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	+495	$14	0¢	$0	-$14	11-14 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 14?	Yes	+98	$15	0¢	$0	-$15	11-14 07:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 13c	34	$3.0K	1,526	1,518	+8	No	+$54	04-21 03:00
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 38 39f	5	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$14	03-17 04:00
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	35	$2.5K	1,345	1,345	+0	No	-$60	03-12 12:01
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 62 63f	44	$2.4K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	+$62	03-17 02:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 5c	48	$2.3K	1,421	1,198	+224	No	-$58	03-11 05:07
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	50	$2.2K	1,283	1,235	+48	Yes	-$48	03-24 08:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 60 61f	22	$2.1K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	+$96	03-17 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 29?	46	$2.1K	1,076	1,076	+0	No	+$29	04-29 16:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 26c	25	$2.0K	1,093	1,093	+0	No	+$78	03-24 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?	11	$2.0K	1,019	1,018	+1	No	+$12	04-26 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	91	$2.0K	1,264	1,264	+0	No	-$381	05-06 15:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 15c	27	$1.9K	1,000	997	+2	No	+$46	04-17 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	93	$1.9K	1,203	1,203	+0	Yes	+$66	04-30 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?	22	$1.8K	937	937	-0	No	+$24	05-02 02:06
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 7c	49	$1.8K	976	976	+0	No	+$14	03-11 06:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 12c	13	$1.8K	894	893	+1	No	+$18	04-21 00:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 13c	17	$1.7K	881	880	+1	No	+$13	04-22 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	21	$1.7K	868	868	+0	No	+$22	05-01 03:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	29	$1.6K	877	873	+4	Yes	+$45	04-09 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	22	$1.6K	819	816	+2	No	+$43	04-28 02:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	24	$1.6K	864	864	+0	No	+$55	04-01 16:55
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 29c	53	$1.6K	933	923	+10	No	+$110	04-13 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	17	$1.6K	795	794	+1	No	+$25	04-27 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	15	$1.5K	786	786	+0	No	+$27	05-07 03:17
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	60	$1.5K	1,077	901	+176	Yes	-$41	03-19 03:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 21c	9	$1.5K	796	793	+2	No	+$47	04-16 03:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 13 2026 8c	22	$1.5K	792	792	+0	No	+$25	03-13 02:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 8c	9	$1.5K	772	772	+0	No	+$18	03-20 02:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	32	$1.5K	896	896	+0	Yes	-$132	03-22 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	8	$1.5K	762	762	-0	No	+$17	05-08 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 15:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xae965e…
11-14 15:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1df8ed…
11-14 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xe867a9…
11-14 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc5f96f…
11-14 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x8ca9be…
11-14 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x88f433…
11-14 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x135dbb…
11-14 09:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x40cd66…
11-14 09:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x225e50…
11-14 09:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x95f0bc…
11-14 08:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x07396f…
11-14 08:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	BUY	65	67¢	$44	0xe476f4…
11-14 08:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x69175b…
11-14 08:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 15?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc9fbb3…
11-14 08:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x50b690…
11-14 07:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xd31554…
11-14 07:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$0	0xe00321…
11-14 07:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x8125e3…
11-14 07:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x8fc6c8…
11-14 07:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0xc5dd6d…
11-14 07:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0xbd83ad…
11-14 06:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9c0a97…
11-14 06:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf8b84d…
11-14 06:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xd634b1…
11-14 06:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	61	14¢	$8	0x059d78…
11-14 06:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x053de7…
11-14 06:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	323	2¢	$7	0xae912d…
11-14 06:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0xb60ed7…
11-14 06:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xdb83c0…
11-14 06:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x0e55fd…
11-14 04:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x1b4525…
11-14 04:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc3e4ea…
11-14 04:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 14?	No	BUY	83	55¢	$46	0x098e5e…
11-14 04:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 14?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xbf5e88…
11-14 04:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 14?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x0d7646…
11-14 04:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 14?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xc1ab46…
11-14 04:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x35093a…
11-14 03:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xcda100…
11-14 03:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 14?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9787a8…
11-14 03:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 14?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x56cb07…
11-14 03:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x573030…
11-13 17:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4ac418…
11-13 17:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0b841f…
11-13 17:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x73028c…
11-13 17:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	103	70¢	$72	0x528c5f…
11-13 17:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 14?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x03ac3d…
11-13 17:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 14?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x950d7f…
11-13 17:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf3f419…
11-13 17:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7da4e0…
11-13 17:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xa694cd…
11-13 17:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3d2875…
11-13 17:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x432722…
11-13 17:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 13?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xcc24a6…
11-13 14:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 13?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x007cd0…
11-13 14:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 14?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08cdfc…
11-13 14:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xacd124…
11-13 14:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 13?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xe5a80f…
11-13 14:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xc16fe8…
11-13 14:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 13?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0e97a7…
11-13 11:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 13?	No	BUY	58	83¢	$48	0x308309…
11-13 11:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x632e0d…
11-13 10:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe632a8…
11-13 10:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x7fd903…
11-13 10:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x4ec96d…
11-13 10:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2f56db…
11-13 10:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x42b294…
11-13 10:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb7fdea…
11-13 10:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x77da80…
11-13 10:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfd98d1…
11-13 10:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 13?	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x467d38…
11-13 10:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x2f3e14…
11-13 10:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ae50f…
11-13 10:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd21fae…
11-13 10:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5ffc47…
11-13 10:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x257253…
11-13 10:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x64d16f…
11-13 10:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xe34e43…
11-13 10:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x9578bc…
11-13 10:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x0bc259…
11-13 10:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9532a9…
11-13 10:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xb86042…
11-13 10:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd6b068…
11-13 10:14:12	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d9a77…
11-13 10:13:45	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe81cb…
11-13 10:13:16	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4124fe…
11-13 10:13:06	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8865a8…
11-13 10:13:06	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x190c29…
11-13 10:12:36	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x692a3f…
11-13 09:59:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70aee3…
11-13 09:59:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a652f…
11-13 09:59:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x730b04…
11-13 09:57:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf3b76…
11-13 09:57:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe1eb7a…
11-13 09:57:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7adee…
11-13 09:57:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x31efa6…
11-13 09:57:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc3c524…
11-13 09:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x69e694…
11-13 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x388a37…
11-13 09:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1b51a5…
11-13 09:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x34d077…