Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 14?
open
Total volume
$459
$401 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,203
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-11-14
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-13 06:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+26.7¢
(top1%: 45% YES on $142
vs crowd: 18% YES on $414)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $10 | $134 | $124 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $61 | $98 | $37 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $3 | $84 | $81 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | $22 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $64 | $78 | $14 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $53 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $6 | $3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $4 | $154 | $150 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | +243 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 11-13 04:00 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +48 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x79c2…e5c1 | No | +38 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 11-13 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a29…729e | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 11-13 06:00 |
| Snoopy-Investor 0x7ff1…e002 | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | +22 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| Vital-Debate 0x9f25…5f62 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-13 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf2…a469 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-12 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-12 07:29 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 11-13 03:28 |
| Pessimistic-Hospital 0xcef6…2ade | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-12 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 11-13 03:29 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 06:00 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-13 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa996…67f1 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-12 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 00:08 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 11-12 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xecff…5645 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-12 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fb4…76e9 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-12 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1557…a648 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cd11 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-12 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9367…6eaf | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 06:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8ae1b4… |
| 11-13 06:00:06 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8ae1b4… |
| 11-13 06:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x9a29…729e | No | BUY | 24 | 89¢ | $22 | 0x8ae1b4… |
| 11-13 06:00:06 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8ae1b4… |
| 11-13 05:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x83ea47… |
| 11-13 05:27:43 | Vital-Debate 0x9f25…5f62 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x83ea47… |
| 11-13 04:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0x54d42d… |
| 11-13 04:00:37 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0x54d42d… |
| 11-13 04:00:27 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x41bdc8… |
| 11-13 04:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x41bdc8… |
| 11-13 03:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x1557…a648 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x436004… |
| 11-13 03:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x436004… |
| 11-13 03:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x436004… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 40 | 77¢ | $31 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | Snoopy-Investor 0x7ff1…e002 | No | BUY | 23 | 76¢ | $17 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf2…a469 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | BUY | 22 | 76¢ | $17 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 48 | 77¢ | $37 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 03:28:58 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 243 | 23¢ | $56 | 0xd0e76f… |
| 11-13 00:53:24 | (anonymous) 0x9367…6eaf | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x7dae11… |
| 11-13 00:53:24 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7dae11… |
| 11-13 00:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x79c2…e5c1 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x7edfc5… |
| 11-13 00:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7edfc5… |
| 11-13 00:09:55 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7edfc5… |
| 11-13 00:08:48 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x91eb60… |
| 11-13 00:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x79c2…e5c1 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x91eb60… |
| 11-12 23:01:13 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xc3f396… |
| 11-12 23:01:13 | (anonymous) 0xa996…67f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc3f396… |
| 11-12 21:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x6fb4…76e9 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xe91c24… |
| 11-12 21:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe91c24… |
| 11-12 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xecff…5645 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x5d125a… |
| 11-12 20:36:34 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x5d125a… |
| 11-12 20:36:34 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x5d125a… |
| 11-12 19:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2b5469… |
| 11-12 19:05:49 | Pessimistic-Hospital 0xcef6…2ade | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x2b5469… |
| 11-12 16:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cd11 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xfddccc… |
| 11-12 16:07:27 | (anonymous) 0xa996…67f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xfddccc… |
| 11-12 07:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xa6214e… |
| 11-12 07:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x79c2…e5c1 | No | BUY | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0xa6214e… |