Pessimistic-Hospital — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

18,312

Trades

42,981

lifetime

Volume

$208.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-27 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 67% +$3,389

Other

47% 74% +$214

Sports

1% 57% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	19	$1.2K	883	865	+18	Down	+$100	02-12 16:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:30 UTC	8	$1.2K	928	915	+14	Up	+$59	02-05 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:35 UTC	3	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$30	02-12 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	112	$664	488	488	+0	Yes	+$244	06-26 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?	84	$546	410	410	+0	Yes	+$221	06-24 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:40 UTC	168	$434	433	431	+2	Up	+$1	02-15 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	162	$406	367	356	+11	Up	-$15	03-01 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:00 UTC	106	$337	346	327	+19	Up	+$7	02-15 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:25 UTC	92	$320	333	324	+9	Up	-$2	02-15 21:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	115	$311	524	471	+53	Yes	+$40	06-27 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	20	$309	176	176	+0	Yes	+$32	07-25 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:15 UTC	100	$307	309	325	-16	Up	+$1	02-15 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:50 UTC	88	$301	295	386	-92	Down	-$37	02-15 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:40 UTC	87	$291	325	297	+28	Down	-$1	02-15 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?	90	$274	405	405	+0	Yes	-$54	07-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?	143	$252	650	650	+0	No	-$55	06-28 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:35 UTC	65	$251	248	252	-4	Up	+$1	02-15 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?	87	$243	375	375	+0	No	+$27	07-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	82	$239	405	0	+405	Yes	+$166	06-26 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	98	$235	225	228	-3	Down	-$4	03-08 23:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?	139	$234	635	589	+46	No	-$62	06-29 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 13:15 UTC	92	$225	211	225	-14	Down	-$5	02-28 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC	80	$201	195	203	-8	Up	-$10	03-01 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	88	$199	400	181	+219	No	-$66	06-30 11:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	78	$198	194	197	-2	Down	-$4	03-01 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?	51	$190	205	205	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 29?	81	$190	380	306	+74	Yes	+$45	06-29 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?	90	$189	439	100	+339	No	-$117	07-01 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:45 UTC	4	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	02-12 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	49	$188	208	208	+0	No	-$26	06-27 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x61642c…
10-27 07:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x36cd00…
10-27 07:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe0d924…
10-27 07:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb5cb05…
10-27 07:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x739e87…
10-27 07:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x09ad50…
10-27 07:15:48	highest temperature in chongqing on october 29 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0a064c…
10-27 07:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9483ab…
10-27 07:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x48cb9d…
10-27 06:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xc59dc7…
10-27 06:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x17ceb4…
10-27 05:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x35da09…
10-27 05:39:35	highest temperature in munich on october 29 2026 11c	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xa8e8c1…
10-27 05:37:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0xa3152a…
10-27 05:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x604c3d…
10-27 05:25:50	highest temperature in manila on october 29 2026 31c	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x53051c…
10-27 05:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2fffb5…
10-27 05:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x87a6d9…
10-27 05:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x050144…
10-27 05:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeaaf57…
10-27 05:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x873ba9…
10-27 05:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xaebcaf…
10-27 05:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x183c0b…
10-27 05:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x80caf3…
10-27 04:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf3a1cd…
10-27 04:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x440f6d…
10-27 04:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbc8ef9…
10-27 04:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfe6007…
10-27 04:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3a0c0a…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xcc8c23…
10-27 04:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xb0a44a…
10-27 04:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x709e3a…
10-27 04:13:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xaca074…
10-27 04:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfcefd2…
10-27 04:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x09491f…
10-27 04:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe6b227…
10-27 04:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf0f11d…
10-27 04:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x7339fc…
10-27 04:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x62d2d5…
10-27 03:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb0b1ea…
10-27 03:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xedad3a…
10-27 03:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xee1d39…
10-27 03:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x25855b…
10-27 03:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xcb29d6…
10-27 03:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x20ecce…
10-27 03:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4206be…
10-27 02:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2bc96c…
10-27 02:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x309fc8…
10-27 02:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xa4176e…
10-27 02:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x808f55…
10-27 02:11:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x71e1f7…
10-27 02:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x8f9b25…
10-27 01:51:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x6935b6…
10-27 01:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x0ee9f8…
10-27 01:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x15c423…
10-27 01:36:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x0cfb61…
10-27 01:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	44¢	$12	0x02e643…
10-27 01:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x090a2c…
10-27 01:31:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xc401a4…
10-27 01:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x998c20…
10-27 01:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x680095…
10-27 01:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x737bfc…
10-27 01:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa6e5d0…
10-27 01:05:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x8c15c3…
10-27 00:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x432514…
10-27 00:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xae3889…
10-27 00:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd8264f…
10-27 00:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x25ec14…
10-27 00:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbe5b60…
10-27 00:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xed29d7…
10-27 00:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x148f71…
10-27 00:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x56bcf1…
10-27 00:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x9cae2c…
10-27 00:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x903f07…
10-27 00:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8a40ed…
10-27 00:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xfee818…
10-27 00:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x145013…
10-27 00:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x86ae1b…
10-27 00:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6df955…
10-27 00:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xffe5da…
10-27 00:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb4127f…
10-27 00:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x179ff2…
10-27 00:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x40d3d4…
10-27 00:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe8c492…
10-27 00:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xde7024…
10-27 00:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9f5470…
10-27 00:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1413f5…
10-27 00:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xace981…
10-26 23:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x0f5672…
10-26 23:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3934f4…
10-26 23:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0125f5…
10-26 23:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe07d9c…
10-26 22:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x982fc9…
10-26 22:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x801c48…
10-26 22:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x073ec9…
10-26 22:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf9c3e2…
10-26 22:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x3c972b…
10-26 21:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x32b07b…
10-26 21:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x04cad4…
10-26 21:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xea5a76…